Offense prediction question

#1

Nocleats

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#1
1st let me say I don't know the actual stat, but, if for every 100 plays last year, Tenn ran it 60 times and threw it 40, (again just a guess) what do you think the ratio will be this year, at least for the first 6 games?

I'm thinking more like 70 runs to 30 pass?
 
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#3
#3
I would love to see more running plays if we can open some holes up. Owning the line of scrimmage controlling the clock! 70 runs to 30 passes would be great. Giving defense a break letting offense run long drives.
 
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#4
#4
For the record/good measure, we ran 69 offensive plays per game, with a 40 run/29 pass per game split last year.

Or, we ran it 58% of the time, threw it 42% of the time. Just saying.
 
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#5
#5
I predict the Vols will miss Josh Dobbs the most, out of all the players from 2016 and it won't even be close:loco:
 
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#6
#6
Jones Offense 2008-2016 (missing his 1st year at CMU)

Year = #Rush #Pass

2016 = 517R 379P
2015 = 617R 371P
2014 = 524R 453P
2013 = 460R 344P
2012 = 492R 371P
2011 = 500R 392P
2010 = 402R 435P
2009 = 518R 478P
2008 = 484R 480P
 
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#8
#8
These are the numbers when Larry Scott was Interim HC at Miami (6 games)

Duke 39R 29P W
VA 33R 26P W
UNC 32R 43P L
GT 28R 26P W
Pitt 40R 35P W
WSU 30R 32P L
 
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#9
#9
1st let me say I don't know the actual stat, but, if for every 100 plays last year, Tenn ran it 60 times and threw it 40, (again just a guess) what do you think the ratio will be this year, at least for the first 6 games?

I'm thinking more like 70 runs to 30 pass?

A lot of those runs were called pass plays and Dobbs tucked it and ran.
 
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#10
#10
with that line, we should be able to run effectively. Hope chandler is a legit second threat.

If Dormady can be accurate, watch out. If he isn't, we are in trouble. personally think JG is a better fit long-term.
 
#12
#12
I disagree. I think QD will be a breath of fresh air.

I agree, but CBJ will never give QD the opportunity. Like I said on another post, CBJ is just stringing QD along and will have him riding the bench! What a waste of talent! I am really disappointed in the games that CBJ is playing with QD!
 
#13
#13
I agree, but CBJ will never give QD the opportunity. Like I said on another post, CBJ is just stringing QD along and will have him riding the bench! What a waste of talent! I am really disappointed in the games that CBJ is playing with QD!

What makes you think that?
 
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#14
#14
What makes you think that?

Don't bite.
5f8.gif
 
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#15
#15
I agree, but CBJ will never give QD the opportunity. Like I said on another post, CBJ is just stringing QD along and will have him riding the bench! What a waste of talent! I am really disappointed in the games that CBJ is playing with QD!

Inisider then, yeah?
 
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#16
#16
I agree, but CBJ will never give QD the opportunity. Like I said on another post, CBJ is just stringing QD along and will have him riding the bench! What a waste of talent! I am really disappointed in the games that CBJ is playing with QD!

s-l1000.jpg
 
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#18
#18
I agree, but CBJ will never give QD the opportunity. Like I said on another post, CBJ is just stringing QD along and will have him riding the bench! What a waste of talent! I am really disappointed in the games that CBJ is playing with QD!

Like I said in another post, u are wrong and have it bass ackwards. Butch is stringing JG along so he doesn't transfer. This will be QDs show and JG will get 8-12 snaps to keep him happy enough not to transfer. Now, if JG is more productive in his limited snaps he will get more and have the chance to pass QD. But, I seriously doubt it. QD balls out and gets drafted after the 2018 season in the top 3 rounds. Then we get the JG show if he has the patience to wait his turn, if not, Adrian Martinez begins the return of glory for UT football with multiple SEC East championships and our 1st SEC championship in 20+ years. If JG waits his turn, he returns us to the SEC championship game and may even pull off a win. Then JG gets recognition as the man to return UT to glory. Either way, QD is the immediate future at QB for UT
 
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#19
#19
I agree, but CBJ will never give QD the opportunity. Like I said on another post, CBJ is just stringing QD along and will have him riding the bench! What a waste of talent! I am really disappointed in the games that CBJ is playing with QD!

Alrighty then.
 
#20
#20
I was thinking about this and am guessing the raw numbers of #rushes vs #passes are likely skewed due to among other things, sacks (pass plays that are ultimately scored in the rushing stats) and garbage time running out the clock plays. As someone already noted scramble plays when the called pass play fails also inflates the perception of more running plays being called. I looked at 2 other sets of numbers, yards from rushing/passing, and TDs from rushing/passing with Butch's offense.

Yards
2016 2668R 3100P
2015 2908R 2582P
2014 1903R 2914P
2013 2261R 1979P
2012 2619R 3104P
2011 2321R 2699P
2010 1880R 3128P
2009 2357R 3577P
2008 1738R 3767P

TDs
2016 31R 28P
2015 32R 17P
2014 20R 23P
2013 18R 12P
2012 25R 25P
2011 28R 20P
2010 15R 27P
2009 29R 28P
2008 19R 28P

So to the OP's question, I think play calling will probably be well balanced but the numbers in the final stats could be skewed by a number of different variables. Another question that might be asked is given our personnel this year and given our list of opponents, do you thing we will likely be more productive running the ball or passing it?

With so many questions yet unanswered, if I had to bet today, I'd go with passing, regardless of which QB carries the load. That doesn't mean I think the stats will say we called more pass plays - just that I'm hopeful for our pass protection and I like our QBs and Jennings, Byrd, Wolf, and Calloway. Production in either phase is impacted greatly by our personnel among other things and right now I like our pass game talent more than our run game talent, admittedly, not much of either yet proven. jmo.
 
#21
#21
These are the numbers when Larry Scott was Interim HC at Miami (6 games)

Duke 39R 29P W
VA 33R 26P W
UNC 32R 43P L
GT 28R 26P W
Pitt 40R 35P W
WSU 30R 32P L


As Scott was the Interim HC at Miami, they ran the ball about 51% of the time and passed the other 49. Should it be concerning that in the game vs UNC, while Charlton Warren was the DB coach, they instead passed 58% of the game?
 
#22
#22
As Scott was the Interim HC at Miami, they ran the ball about 51% of the time and passed the other 49. Should it be concerning that in the game vs UNC, while Charlton Warren was the DB coach, they instead passed 58% of the game?

Miami was down 31-0 at the half and lost the second half 28-21. Playing from behind often forces the team to pass more. UNC did pick off one of those Miami passes fwiw. :)
 
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#23
#23
Miami was down 31-0 at the half and lost the second half 28-21. Playing from behind often forces the team to pass more. UNC did pick off one of those Miami passes fwiw. :)

May have helped if I looked at the result of 2015's game rather than 2016. Valid point, and I'm a bonehead :crazy:
 
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#24
#24
I would love to see more running plays if we can open some holes up. Owning the line of scrimmage controlling the clock! 70 runs to 30 passes would be great. Giving defense a break letting offense run long drives.

Over the weekend I heard on radio that the Tide defense played over 90 plays in the Clemson game.
Most of this was because Tide could not make 1st downs,
the defense was gassed.
 
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#25
#25
I agree, but CBJ will never give QD the opportunity. Like I said on another post, CBJ is just stringing QD along and will have him riding the bench! What a waste of talent! I am really disappointed in the games that CBJ is playing with QD!

Say what??????:loco:
 
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