I think 9-3 is the most likely outcome with a losses to Georgia, Alabama, and either LSU or someone we should probably have beaten. If this happens, I think it was still a very impressive season and I’m completely satisfied.
I think 10-2 is also very possible, especially if we win the LSU game. The key in that situation will be to prepare correctly for each game and take none of them for granted. I haven’t seen any issues with that under Heupel. If we go 10-2 then I’m thrilled.
Anything better than that is gonna require some very special conditions. I’ll be through the moon if we go 11-1 or 12-0 but I do not believe those are reasonable expectations.
I think the absolute floor right now is 8-4 with losses to the big 2, LSU, and someone else. If this happens then we definitely had something go wrong that should not have that cost us a game. While I would be somewhat disappointed, this would still be a progress and shows improvement.
Anything lower than that would be disconcerting. That feeling of “oh no.. I don’t like where this is going..” would be hard to ignore.