Would you take a vandy loss for a Georgia win? And if that scenario played out, would we be in the cfp?
The scenarios are really hard to place with no divisions, but I think that If we beat UGA and lose to Vandy, I am pretty sure that the SECCG would be a repeat of Texas/Texas A&M, regardless of the outcome of the Texas/ TAMU game in the final week of the regular season. Due to records against common opponents UT has H2H over Bama, so Bama is out of the SECCG in that scenario. And with wins against LSU and Arky, A&M has the better record over common opponents in regards to us and OM with wins.
Why? If we go 10-2 then in order for us NOT to get in then Penn State/ Indiana/ Notre Dame and 3 SEC schools---Bama/ OM and A&M would ALL have to go undefeated. (Meaning Indiana would have to lose to another school besides OSU) If VA were to beat ND.... we would be in at 10-2 before we even kick off in Athens. Some you folks dont remember 2007 when LSU got in with 2 losses in a TWO team playoff because 3 teams in front of them got beat in the last 2 weekends....despite getting little help from the SECCG because they beat a 3 loss Tennessee team. Crazy stuff always happens. They did serious math on this before the season and the simulation showed only 2 SEC teams that probably wouldn't get in with two losses. Missouri and OM. They didn't factor in OM having a win over UGA...but they also didn't factor in them losing to KY. At 10-2....I'll put money on one of these teams in the field losing before I worry about UT not getting in.we aren't getting in at 10-2 regardless of who we lose too