I'm thinking Florida (away).
Here's why: there's an apparent trend running in the Vols-Gators rivalry over the past decade or so. And if that trend is valid, one would expect us to beat Florida at their house sometime in the next few years. If it happens this year, it's kind of a rough confirmation.
And the trend is this: our program is rising, while Florida's is falling. Subtly, but one is on the up swing, and the other is slowly falling relative to the other.
Consider this set of theoretical data points:
..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
First five dots are all blue. Next five, one is orange. Next five, two are. And so on. Over time, slowly, the blue field is turning orange.
Now look at the Vols versus the Gators in our past 15 games:
..... ..... .....
The orange dots aren't in exactly the same spots, but the trend perfectly matches the theoretical version. Between 11 and 15 years ago, we never beat FL. From 6 to 10 years ago, we beat them once. In the past five years, we've gotten them twice.
BUT for the trend to continue, we have to start winning away games. You can't get past 3 wins out of 5, at most, only winning home games.
...
Our history against Florida isn't like the rivalry with Bama. Vols-Bama is streaky. Like turning the lights off, and them staying off several years. Then turning them on, and leaving them on a lot of years in a row. Florida-Vols is more subtle. Like the theoretical line of dots.
So for me, yah, the Florida game in the Swamp this year is a key data point for our program's climb back to dominance.
Go Vols!