Rickyvol77
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Of the teams who have a realistic shot at making the playoff (And no, Vanderbilt has absolutely no shot, so don't be ridiculous with that crap)
SEC
Georgia (3-1,1-1) - Kentucky, @ Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (5-0, 3-0) - Washington St, @ Georgia, @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Texas (3-1, 0-0) - @ Florida, Oklahoma, @ Kentucky, @ Mississippi St, Vanderbilt, @ Georgia, Arkansas, Texas A&M
Tennessee (4-1, 1-1) - Arkansas, @ Alabama, @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (4-0, 1-1) - Kent State, Texas, @ South Carolina, Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
LSU (4-1, 1-1) - South Carolina, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, @ Alabama, Arkansas, Western Kentucky, @ Oklahoma
Texas A&M (4-0, 1-0) - Florida, @ Arkansas, @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (3-1, 1-0) - Vanderbilt, @ Mizzou, Tennessee, @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Mizzou (5-0, 1-0) - Alabama, @ Auburn, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas
Anyone goes 11-1, they are guaranteed obviously
Georgia, Ole Miss, Texas, Tennessee, Oklahoma, LSU and Alabama are the teams that likely get in the playoffs with 10-2 records (obviously only 4 of these teams can get that since they play each other). 2 of these teams also play for the SEC title.
- Georgia outside of two upset losses is a lock
- Ole Miss has two difficult road games and if they don't get beat anywhere else they are a lock
- Texas loses two SEC games, they are out of the playoffs unless they win the SEC title
- Tennessee goes 6-1 with a loss to Bama or Oklahoma, they are in; if they go undefeated they play in the SEC title
- Oklahoma has a tough schedule unlikely to win Texas, Ole Miss, UT, Bama, Mizzou, LSU - they are likely out
- LSU loses two games they are out
- Texas A&M plays three tough road games in row and Texas at end, they aren't making it
- Mizzou has had an easy schedule but likely loses 3 games
Big Ten
Oregon (5-0, 2-0) - Indiana, @ Rutgers, Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington
Ohio St (4-0, 1-0) - Minnesota, @ Illinois, @ Wisconsin, Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (5-0, 2-0) - @ Oregon, Michigan St, UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
Penn St (3-1, 0-1) - @ UCLA, Northwestern, @ Iowa, @ Ohio St, Indiana, @ Michigan St, Nebraska, @ Rutgers
USC (4-1, 2-1) - Michigan, @ Notre Dame, @ Nebraska, Northwestern, Iowa, @ Oregon, UCLA
Michigan (3-1, 1-0) - Wisconsin, @ USC, Washington, @ Michigan St, Purdue, @ Northwestern, @ Maryland, Ohio St
Illinois (4-1, 1-1) - @ Purdue, Ohio St, @ Washington, Rutgers, Maryland, @ Wisconsin, Northwestern
- Oregon and Ohio St are locks
- Penn St at 10-2 is a lock, but not at 9-3
- Indiana is a lock at 10-2, but if they lose a 3rd game they are done
- USC has a good shot if they win 2 of 3 vs ND, Michigan, Oregon
- Michigan has an outside shot at 10-2
- Illinois has an outside shot even though they are mediocre due to schedule
Washington, Nebraska, Maryland, Michigan St could play their way in but not likely at all
ACC
Miami (4-0, 0-0) - @ Florida St, Louisville, Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech (5-0, 2-0) - Virginia Tech, @ Duke, Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Florida St (3-1, 0-1) - Miami, Pittsburgh, @ Stanford, Wake Forest, @ Clemson, Virginia Tech, @ NC State, @ Florida
Louisville (4-0, 1-0) - Virginia, @ Miami, Boston College, @ Virginia Tech, California, Clemson, @ SMU, Kentucky
Virginia (4-1, 2-0) - @ Louisville, Washington St, @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia
Due to the uneven ACC schedule, there are several teams (even California and Duke) who have a shot at the title game; however the ACC has a small chance of getting two teams in the playoffs
- Miami/FSU winner may be a lock to the ACC title game, if either lose 2 games they are putting themselves close to being out
- Ga Tech has the schedule to make the ACC title game, 10-2 may get them in the playoffs, esp if win is vs UGA
- UL/UVA/Duke/Cal etc only make it with ACC title win
Big XII
Arizona St (4-1, 2-0) - @ Utah, Texas Tech, Houston, @ Iowa St, WVU, @ Colorado, Arizona
Texas Tech (4-0, 1-0) - @ Houston, Kansas, @ Arizona St, Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU
Iowa State (5-0, 2-0) - @ Cincinnati, @ Colorado, BYU, Arizona St, @ TCU, Kansas, @ Oklahoma St
BYU (4-0, 1-0) - WVU, @ Arizona, Utah, @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Houston (4-0, 1-0) - Texas Tech, @ Oklahoma St, Arizona, @ Arizona St, WVU, @UCF, TCU, @ Baylor
Utah (4-1, 1-1) - Arizona St, @ BYU, Colorado, Cincinnati, @ Baylor, Kansas St, @ Kansas
Really, just like the ACC, it doesn't matter who wins this average midmajor conference; they are only getting one team in unless there are two undefeated teams in the title game, which is highly unlikely:
- Tx Tech, Iowa St, Arizona St, Utah, BYU etc are all about the same so no real advantage at this point, whoever wins road games gets to the title game
Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (2-2) - Boise St, NC State, USC, @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford
UNLV (4-0, 0-0) - @ Wyoming, Air Force, @ Boise St, New Mexico, @ Colorado St, Utah St, Hawaii, @ Nevada
Navy (4-0, 3-0) - Air Force, @ Temple, FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (4-1, 1-0) - East Carolina, Army, @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
North Texas (5-0, 1-0) - USF, UTSA, @ Charlotte, Navy, @ UAB, @ Rice, Temple
Memphis (5-0, 1-0) - Tulsa, @ UAB, USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy
- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given; but any more losses and they are done; I don't see them winning out even with their weak schedule
- UNLV has a shot if they go undefeated, but it still might not be enough schedule wise to grab the G5 spot over the AAC champ
- The AAC Champ will go pretty much as long as they are 11-2 are better (any of the four teams could win it, they are all basically the same garbage at this point)
PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS
First Round
(9) Ole Miss vs. (8) Texas Tech
(12) Tulane vs. (5) Penn State
(11) LSU vs. (6) Texas
(10) Indiana vs. (7) Tennessee
2nd Round
Ole Miss vs. (1) Oregon (Rose Bowl)
Penn State vs. (4) Ohio State (Cotton Bowl)
Texas vs. (3) Miami (Orange Bowl)
Tennessee vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)
Final 4
Oregon vs. Ohio State (Fiesta Bowl)
Tennessee vs. Miami (Peach Bowl)
NC - Tennessee vs. Oregon (Miami)
SEC
Georgia (3-1,1-1) - Kentucky, @ Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (5-0, 3-0) - Washington St, @ Georgia, @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Texas (3-1, 0-0) - @ Florida, Oklahoma, @ Kentucky, @ Mississippi St, Vanderbilt, @ Georgia, Arkansas, Texas A&M
Tennessee (4-1, 1-1) - Arkansas, @ Alabama, @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (4-0, 1-1) - Kent State, Texas, @ South Carolina, Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
LSU (4-1, 1-1) - South Carolina, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, @ Alabama, Arkansas, Western Kentucky, @ Oklahoma
Texas A&M (4-0, 1-0) - Florida, @ Arkansas, @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (3-1, 1-0) - Vanderbilt, @ Mizzou, Tennessee, @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Mizzou (5-0, 1-0) - Alabama, @ Auburn, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas
Anyone goes 11-1, they are guaranteed obviously
Georgia, Ole Miss, Texas, Tennessee, Oklahoma, LSU and Alabama are the teams that likely get in the playoffs with 10-2 records (obviously only 4 of these teams can get that since they play each other). 2 of these teams also play for the SEC title.
- Georgia outside of two upset losses is a lock
- Ole Miss has two difficult road games and if they don't get beat anywhere else they are a lock
- Texas loses two SEC games, they are out of the playoffs unless they win the SEC title
- Tennessee goes 6-1 with a loss to Bama or Oklahoma, they are in; if they go undefeated they play in the SEC title
- Oklahoma has a tough schedule unlikely to win Texas, Ole Miss, UT, Bama, Mizzou, LSU - they are likely out
- LSU loses two games they are out
- Texas A&M plays three tough road games in row and Texas at end, they aren't making it
- Mizzou has had an easy schedule but likely loses 3 games
Big Ten
Oregon (5-0, 2-0) - Indiana, @ Rutgers, Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington
Ohio St (4-0, 1-0) - Minnesota, @ Illinois, @ Wisconsin, Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (5-0, 2-0) - @ Oregon, Michigan St, UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
Penn St (3-1, 0-1) - @ UCLA, Northwestern, @ Iowa, @ Ohio St, Indiana, @ Michigan St, Nebraska, @ Rutgers
USC (4-1, 2-1) - Michigan, @ Notre Dame, @ Nebraska, Northwestern, Iowa, @ Oregon, UCLA
Michigan (3-1, 1-0) - Wisconsin, @ USC, Washington, @ Michigan St, Purdue, @ Northwestern, @ Maryland, Ohio St
Illinois (4-1, 1-1) - @ Purdue, Ohio St, @ Washington, Rutgers, Maryland, @ Wisconsin, Northwestern
- Oregon and Ohio St are locks
- Penn St at 10-2 is a lock, but not at 9-3
- Indiana is a lock at 10-2, but if they lose a 3rd game they are done
- USC has a good shot if they win 2 of 3 vs ND, Michigan, Oregon
- Michigan has an outside shot at 10-2
- Illinois has an outside shot even though they are mediocre due to schedule
Washington, Nebraska, Maryland, Michigan St could play their way in but not likely at all
ACC
Miami (4-0, 0-0) - @ Florida St, Louisville, Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech (5-0, 2-0) - Virginia Tech, @ Duke, Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Florida St (3-1, 0-1) - Miami, Pittsburgh, @ Stanford, Wake Forest, @ Clemson, Virginia Tech, @ NC State, @ Florida
Louisville (4-0, 1-0) - Virginia, @ Miami, Boston College, @ Virginia Tech, California, Clemson, @ SMU, Kentucky
Virginia (4-1, 2-0) - @ Louisville, Washington St, @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia
Due to the uneven ACC schedule, there are several teams (even California and Duke) who have a shot at the title game; however the ACC has a small chance of getting two teams in the playoffs
- Miami/FSU winner may be a lock to the ACC title game, if either lose 2 games they are putting themselves close to being out
- Ga Tech has the schedule to make the ACC title game, 10-2 may get them in the playoffs, esp if win is vs UGA
- UL/UVA/Duke/Cal etc only make it with ACC title win
Big XII
Arizona St (4-1, 2-0) - @ Utah, Texas Tech, Houston, @ Iowa St, WVU, @ Colorado, Arizona
Texas Tech (4-0, 1-0) - @ Houston, Kansas, @ Arizona St, Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU
Iowa State (5-0, 2-0) - @ Cincinnati, @ Colorado, BYU, Arizona St, @ TCU, Kansas, @ Oklahoma St
BYU (4-0, 1-0) - WVU, @ Arizona, Utah, @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Houston (4-0, 1-0) - Texas Tech, @ Oklahoma St, Arizona, @ Arizona St, WVU, @UCF, TCU, @ Baylor
Utah (4-1, 1-1) - Arizona St, @ BYU, Colorado, Cincinnati, @ Baylor, Kansas St, @ Kansas
Really, just like the ACC, it doesn't matter who wins this average midmajor conference; they are only getting one team in unless there are two undefeated teams in the title game, which is highly unlikely:
- Tx Tech, Iowa St, Arizona St, Utah, BYU etc are all about the same so no real advantage at this point, whoever wins road games gets to the title game
Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (2-2) - Boise St, NC State, USC, @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford
UNLV (4-0, 0-0) - @ Wyoming, Air Force, @ Boise St, New Mexico, @ Colorado St, Utah St, Hawaii, @ Nevada
Navy (4-0, 3-0) - Air Force, @ Temple, FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (4-1, 1-0) - East Carolina, Army, @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
North Texas (5-0, 1-0) - USF, UTSA, @ Charlotte, Navy, @ UAB, @ Rice, Temple
Memphis (5-0, 1-0) - Tulsa, @ UAB, USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy
- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given; but any more losses and they are done; I don't see them winning out even with their weak schedule
- UNLV has a shot if they go undefeated, but it still might not be enough schedule wise to grab the G5 spot over the AAC champ
- The AAC Champ will go pretty much as long as they are 11-2 are better (any of the four teams could win it, they are all basically the same garbage at this point)
PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS
First Round
(9) Ole Miss vs. (8) Texas Tech
(12) Tulane vs. (5) Penn State
(11) LSU vs. (6) Texas
(10) Indiana vs. (7) Tennessee
2nd Round
Ole Miss vs. (1) Oregon (Rose Bowl)
Penn State vs. (4) Ohio State (Cotton Bowl)
Texas vs. (3) Miami (Orange Bowl)
Tennessee vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)
Final 4
Oregon vs. Ohio State (Fiesta Bowl)
Tennessee vs. Miami (Peach Bowl)
NC - Tennessee vs. Oregon (Miami)
