2025 Seed Watch Party Thread

#53
#53
Nice attempt by Iowa State. Wish they could have pulled it off. Going to need some help in the Big 12 if we don’t want Houston to get that last 1-seed. Need Texas Tech to beat them Monday.
 
#60
#60
#61
#61
You must’ve missed this last Saturday. Here are the Selection Committee’s actual rankings. Houston was THREE spots behind us. We are in the drivers seat.
I did not realize they were a whole three spots behind us. They’ve won @ Arizona and at home against Iowa state since then (plus @ Arizona state), but that does make me feel better. Let’s hope they picks up a few more losses anyway just to make sure
 
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#62
#62
Done these every year for quite awhile, another one was started but doesn’t appear to be getting kept up with or updated so figured I would start my annual one which is also a bit of a different format. Again I like to use bracket matrix, for those that don’t know they use 100+ brackets from some of the best around the world, they then combine those and essentially create a seed list off the averages of all these brackets. For years this has proven to be the most accurate source of info, and while each year someone pretty much nails it dead on, nobody year after year is usually more accurate than their formula, so they are typically my source of info for bracketing. I will post stuff that’s from other respected folks, but for the seed lists I post it will always be bracketmatrix.

Right not Tennessee sits as the #6 overall seed which is obviously a 2 seed, team rankings gives Tennessee a 87.2% chance at a 3 seed or better as of today, and 95.2% at a 4 seed or better, so for the sake of this seed list I’ll include 1-4 seeds, and games for those teams, hopefully we can win Saturday and move that number up and look at a 3 seed as a floor going forward, but for now I’ll include 4 seeds.


Current seed list:
1. Auburn
2. Duke
3. Alabama
4. Florida
——————————
5. Houston
6. TENNESSEE
7. Texas A&M
8. Purdue
——————————
9. Wisconsin
10. Iowa State
11. Kentucky
12. Texas Tech
——————————
13. Michigan
14. Arizona
15. St. John’s
16. Michigan State




Using yesterday’s schedule this is what daily updates will look like, bolded will be the team we want to root for to win as Tennessee fans.

Oklahoma vs. Florida
Houston vs. Arizona State
Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State
Colorado
vs. Iowa State
Texas Tech vs. TCU
Illinois
vs. Wisconsin
Purdue vs. Michigan State

Oklahoma lost
Arizona State lost
Mississippi State won
Colorado lost
TCU won
Illinois lost
Michigan State won
I know you’re using Bracket Matrix for these rankings, which shows an aggregate snapshot of all bracket predictions in existence. I want to point out the Selection Committee’s official S-Curve last Saturday had us #5 and Houston #8, so the idea they are ahead of us is not true in reality. Based on results of this past week, I would guess they’ve moved up to #6 while we’re still at #5 (unless they dropped Alabama for losing at Missouri).

My point is we’re in the driver’s seat for a #1 seed as long as we keep winning, which includes beating Alabama next Saturday. Houston is not a threat unless we lose a game.
 
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#65
#65
#72
#72
is it crazy to suggest we could finish AP #2 if we win out?
Absolutely we could, but we’d need Alabama to beat Florida and Duke to drop one over the next two weeks. Being #2 in the AP poll is nice but it doesn’t mean a hill of beans compared to where we are on the Committee’s S-curve March 16th.
 
#73
#73
I can’t believe Duke is number 1 in kenpom. Auburn has played a far tougher schedule and has a better record. I’m sure Duke has controlled their crappy ACC better but it’s illogical.
Duke beat Auburn, which isn’t even considered in KenPom. Your wins and losses aren’t considered. It’s all about efficiency, adjusted for opponent.
 

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