Vols are still a 5 seed in last night's Bracketology

#1
Freak

Freak

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#1
Update: That bracket below was from Friday night. This is the latest from Lunardi. Look like three SEC teams on that five line right now.




South Region in Uconn's bracket. Playing Liberty in the first round and Texas Tech in the second. Updated at 9:30 pm last night.

www.espn.com

Men's Bracketology: What the SEC's bloated bubble means for the overall field

The conference could finish with anywhere from nine to 12 bids with Texas, Oklahoma and Auburn in question.
www.espn.com
 
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#3
#3
If past NCAA tournament history holds, you don't want to be a 5 or 6 seed.

It's going to be about match-ups, if Tennessee plays a small team, they should be good.

If they're matched up with someone who has the size to achieve a stalemate on the glass, it will be difficult.
 
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#4
#4
Yea it wasn’t a “bad” loss but it probably took us out getting up to a 4 seed now. Unless teams ahead of us just fall apart. And who knows if this year the committee will care about the conference tournaments.
 
#7
#7
SGMVols said:
I’d almost rather be a 6 than a 5. Keeps you away from a 1 seed until the Elite Eight.

Our first EE team was a 6 seed
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It's what the previous poster mentioned regarding the whole 5/12 thing. When you are a 5/6 seed, you are basically getting matched up with the best mid-majors in the country. those teams are usually better than the teams at the bottom of major leagues that squeezed their way into the tournament.
 
#8
#8
Freak said:
Update: That bracket below was from Friday night. This is the latest from Lunardi. Look like three SEC teams on that five line right now.




South Region in Uconn's bracket. Playing Liberty in the first round and Texas Tech in the second. Updated at 9:30 pm last night.

www.espn.com

Men's Bracketology: What the SEC's bloated bubble means for the overall field

The conference could finish with anywhere from nine to 12 bids with Texas, Oklahoma and Auburn in question.
www.espn.com
Click to expand...


How is it possible for anyone to still include Auburn in the bracket?
 
#9
#9
How often have 12 seeds upset 5 seeds?

Since the NCAA tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985, a 12-seed has upset a 5-seed 57 times. This frequently predicted first-round upset occurs in roughly 35% of matchups, with at least one 12-seed advancing in 34 of the last 40 tournaments, including two in 2024 (James Madison and Grand Canyon).

12-5 Record: Since 1985, No. 12 seeds have a 57-103 record against No. 5 seeds.

Recent History: In 2024#12 Grand Canyon beat #5 Saint Mary's and #12 James Madison beat #5 Wisconsin.

Frequency: At least one 12-seed has won a game in 33 of the last 39 tournaments.

Multiple Wins: In 2019, 2014, 2013, 2009, 2002, and 1999, three or more 12-seeds won their first-round matchups.

Exceptions: The only years since 1985 with no 12-seed upsets are 1988, 2000, 2007, 2015, 2018, and 2023.
 
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#11
#11
99gator said:
It's what the previous poster mentioned regarding the whole 5/12 thing. When you are a 5/6 seed, you are basically getting matched up with the best mid-majors in the country. those teams are usually better than the teams at the bottom of major leagues that squeezed their way into the tournament.
Click to expand...
Your Gators might be playing their way into that last 1 seed. It’s impressive improvement after some early bumps.
 
#17
#17
If everyone wins their conf. tourneys as expected here will definitely be our opponents by seed:

if we are 4-seed: one of UNC-Wilmington, Stephen F Austin, High Point, Utah Valley
if we are 5-seed: one of Yale, USF, Liberty, Belmont
if we are 6-seed: one of Miami, OH, Santa Clara, San Diego St, New Mexico, TCU, Cincinnati, California, Virginia Tech, Ohio State, USC, Indiana, VCU, or Seton Hall
 
#18
#18
Thunder Good-Oil said:
How often have 12 seeds upset 5 seeds?

Since the NCAA tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985, a 12-seed has upset a 5-seed 57 times. This frequently predicted first-round upset occurs in roughly 35% of matchups, with at least one 12-seed advancing in 34 of the last 40 tournaments, including two in 2024 (James Madison and Grand Canyon).

12-5 Record: Since 1985, No. 12 seeds have a 57-103 record against No. 5 seeds.

Recent History: In 2024#12 Grand Canyon beat #5 Saint Mary's and #12 James Madison beat #5 Wisconsin.

Frequency: At least one 12-seed has won a game in 33 of the last 39 tournaments.

Multiple Wins: In 2019, 2014, 2013, 2009, 2002, and 1999, three or more 12-seeds won their first-round matchups.

Exceptions: The only years since 1985 with no 12-seed upsets are 1988, 2000, 2007, 2015, 2018, and 2023.
Click to expand...
What’s even more common is an 11 beating a 6.
 
#19
#19
99gator said:
I don't know, but they are cooked because there are always 2-4 teams that "steal" bids.
Click to expand...

Let's assume zero bids get "stolen." I get that Auburn has played the toughest schedule in the country. But surely you have to be better than 1 game over .500 against that schedule to be considered for the tourney. I don't know how someone could watch the barn lose 7 of 8 and get reamed at home by a Quad 3 team and say "that's a tournament team."
 
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#24
#24
I feel very good about us being a 5 on Selection Sunday. If we make the SECT championship game there's an outside shot at a 4.
 
#25
#25
VolCalls said:
I feel very good about us being a 5 on Selection Sunday. If we make the SECT championship game there's an outside shot at a 4.
Click to expand...
We have an outside shot at a 4 as it stands today. Winning the SECT tourney wouldn’t just put us at an outside shot. We’d probably be a 4-seed. We can still be a 4-seed without winning the SEC tourney with some help elsewhere IMO.
 
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