GAME THREAD: SEC Tournament vs. Ala-damn-bama, Greenville, SC, 3/5, 8:30 pm, SECN

#1

RetroVol

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#1
I'm going through a severe hopium withdrawal. Only remedy (as @glv98 and I have agreed even when we differed) is Quality Wins. Despite this being the SEC Tournament, this would be a W, not a QW. It doesn't give any momentum to end the season on. A loss, on the other hand...

From ChatGPT:

Alabama vs (6) Tennessee — SEC Tournament (2nd Round)[/b][/size]
Thursday, March 5, 2026 | 8:30 PM ET (7:30 CT) | SEC Network
Bon Secours Wellness Arena (Greenville, SC)

ONE-SENTENCE SUMMARY
Tennessee got the bye because its SEC record earned it—not because it’s “better” right now—and Alabama just showed it can turn a tight game into a fourth-quarter blowout.

WHERE THIS ONE SITS
Tennessee: 16–12 (8–8 SEC), No. 6 seed
Alabama: 22–9 (7–9 regular-season SEC), No. 11 seed
Why Tennessee got the bye (even with Alabama getting more national attention): SEC Tournament seeding is driven by conference results/tiebreakers—UT’s 8–8 finished above Alabama’s 7–9, even though Alabama had been ranked recently and Tennessee wasn’t.
NET (updated through March 4): Tennessee #21, Alabama #27
AP poll context (Mar. 2 update): Alabama dropped from the Top 25; both teams are in “others receiving votes.”

WHY IT MATTERS
• Texas[/b] Friday night.
Tennessee: You can’t limp into Selection Sunday on a six-game skid and expect a friendly seed line. Reports have UT at six straight losses and nine losses in its last 11.
Alabama: You’re sitting right on the “solid at-large / improve your line” zone—recent bracket projections have Alabama around a 6 seed and Tennessee around a 7 seed, meaning this game is literally seed-line leverage.

RECENT FORM (LAST 5 GAMES)
Alabama: W vs Missouri 65–48 (neutral, SEC Tourney) • L vs Texas 72–65 • L @ Vanderbilt 85–60 • W @ Florida 76–71 • L vs South Carolina 76–57
Tennessee: L vs Vanderbilt 87–77 • L @ LSU 89–73 • L @ Oklahoma 100–93 • L vs Texas A&M 82–74 • L @ Ole Miss 94–81

ALABAMA “LAST GAME” TELL (vs Missouri, Wednesday night)
• Alabama didn’t just win—it buried Missouri in the 4th, 24–11.
Ace Austin: 14 points, all in the 4th quarter (including four 3s).
Karly Weathers: career-high 16 rebounds + 6 assists (even while shooting 1-of-9).
• Missouri shot 29% FG; Alabama won the boards 48–36.

TENNESSEE “LAST GAME” TELL (vs Vanderbilt, Sunday)
• Tennessee led by as many as 7 in the 3rd… then Vanderbilt shredded them with 69% shooting in that quarter.
Cooper 23, Barker 17, Robertson 12, Spearman 10.
Mia Pauldo: 7 points in 18 minutes (back in the starting group).

AVAILABILITY / ROTATION WATCH
Tennessee: Freshman Deniya Prawl listed inactive on the availability report for today.
Tennessee off-court: Reports say reserve guard Kaiya Wynn left the program this week.

LIKELY STARTING LINEUPS (MOST RECENT STARTERS)
ALABAMA (vs Missouri)
G Jessica Timmons — primary scorer (but went 3-of-16 vs Missouri)
G Ta’Mia Scott — downhill guard; plays through contact
G/F Karly Weathers — rebound/playmaking wing (16 boards vs Missouri)
F Diana Collins — perimeter pop (13 points vs Missouri)
F Essence Cody — inside finisher/physical presence

TENNESSEE (vs Vanderbilt)
G Mia Pauldo — ball-handler/spacing
G Nya Robertson — secondary scoring
F Janiah Barker — physical mismatch + boards
F Zee Spearman — spacing big
F/G Alyssa Latham — connector/defense
(And yes: Cooper will play starter minutes in a “starter off the bench” role.)

MATCHUP THEMES (THE REAL BATTLEFIELDS)
1) Rebounding and second chances
Alabama just put up 48 rebounds and won on volume; Weathers alone grabbed 16. Tennessee has to finish possessions—because a neutral-court game with a tired Alabama becomes dangerous if Alabama keeps getting extra shots.

2) Can Tennessee create chaos without self-destructing?
Tennessee’s identity is pressure/steals. But if UT’s pressure turns into fouls + broken-floor runouts, Alabama’s guards will take the free points.

3) The Timmons problem (and the “don’t let her bounce-back” rule)
Timmons is Alabama’s season scoring leader, and she’s coming off a rough shooting night (3-of-16, 0-of-8 from three) in a win. That’s the classic “due” spot—Tennessee can’t let her find rhythm early.
Also: she dropped 34 at Florida on Feb. 22—she can absolutely torch you.

KEYS TO THE GAME
Tennessee MUST:

1. Rebound with violence. If Weathers is vacuuming 50/50 balls again, this becomes a long night.
2. Win the guard shot-making minutes. Cooper’s been the heater lately. You need that—plus one more guard to show up.
3. Make Alabama’s legs matter. Bama played Wednesday night; Tennessee didn’t. Push pace early and see who still has lift late.

Tennessee AVOID:
Letting Ace Austin get loose. She just flipped a game in six minutes with four straight threes.
A flat first quarter. Alabama led Missouri 31–20 at half after Missouri’s ugly first half—if UT sleepwalks, Alabama will happily bank an early lead.

X-FACTOR:
Mia Pauldo vs. Karly Weathers.
Pauldo’s return to real minutes changes Tennessee’s ball movement and spacing; Weathers is the “board + assist + disrupt” glue that can steal possessions in bulk.

BOTTOM LINE
On paper, Tennessee is the higher seed and the predictor leans UT.
In reality, this is “who stops bleeding first”: Tennessee is fighting a skid and roster turbulence; Alabama is playing with fresh momentum and a guard who just detonated Missouri in the 4th. If UT doesn’t control the glass and the early shot quality, the bye won’t matter.
 
#2
#2
Both these teams are way too unpredictable to predict this game. I have no idea who will win. As always , key for us will be hitting shots consistently. Also playing decent half court and at the rim defense.

Often the advantage of the extra rest you get with a bye is offset by the fact that the other team has a game under their belt. They've had a chance to shake off the tourney jitters and to actually play on that floor on those rims. It's usually the 3rd and 4th games in a row where the tired legs set in so I don't think that's much of a factor.
 
#5
#5
I'm going through a severe hopium withdrawal. Only remedy (as @glv98 and I have agreed even when we differed) is Quality Wins. Despite this being the SEC Tournament, this would be a W, not a QW. It doesn't give any momentum to end the season on. A loss, on the other hand...

From ChatGPT:

Alabama vs (6) Tennessee — SEC Tournament (2nd Round)[/b][/size]
Thursday, March 5, 2026 | 8:30 PM ET (7:30 CT) | SEC Network
Bon Secours Wellness Arena (Greenville, SC)

ONE-SENTENCE SUMMARY

Tennessee got the bye because its SEC record earned it—not because it’s “better” right now—and Alabama just showed it can turn a tight game into a fourth-quarter blowout.

WHERE THIS ONE SITS
Tennessee: 16–12 (8–8 SEC), No. 6 seed
Alabama: 22–9 (7–9 regular-season SEC), No. 11 seed
Why Tennessee got the bye (even with Alabama getting more national attention): SEC Tournament seeding is driven by conference results/tiebreakers—UT’s 8–8 finished above Alabama’s 7–9, even though Alabama had been ranked recently and Tennessee wasn’t.
NET (updated through March 4): Tennessee #21, Alabama #27
AP poll context (Mar. 2 update): Alabama dropped from the Top 25; both teams are in “others receiving votes.”

WHY IT MATTERS
• Texas[/b] Friday night.
Tennessee: You can’t limp into Selection Sunday on a six-game skid and expect a friendly seed line. Reports have UT at six straight losses and nine losses in its last 11.
Alabama: You’re sitting right on the “solid at-large / improve your line” zone—recent bracket projections have Alabama around a 6 seed and Tennessee around a 7 seed, meaning this game is literally seed-line leverage.

RECENT FORM (LAST 5 GAMES)
Alabama: W vs Missouri 65–48 (neutral, SEC Tourney) • L vs Texas 72–65 • L @ Vanderbilt 85–60 • W @ Florida 76–71 • L vs South Carolina 76–57
Tennessee: L vs Vanderbilt 87–77 • L @ LSU 89–73 • L @ Oklahoma 100–93 • L vs Texas A&M 82–74 • L @ Ole Miss 94–81

ALABAMA “LAST GAME” TELL (vs Missouri, Wednesday night)
• Alabama didn’t just win—it buried Missouri in the 4th, 24–11.
Ace Austin: 14 points, all in the 4th quarter (including four 3s).
Karly Weathers: career-high 16 rebounds + 6 assists (even while shooting 1-of-9).
• Missouri shot 29% FG; Alabama won the boards 48–36.

TENNESSEE “LAST GAME” TELL (vs Vanderbilt, Sunday)
• Tennessee led by as many as 7 in the 3rd… then Vanderbilt shredded them with 69% shooting in that quarter.
Cooper 23, Barker 17, Robertson 12, Spearman 10.
Mia Pauldo: 7 points in 18 minutes (back in the starting group).

AVAILABILITY / ROTATION WATCH
Tennessee: Freshman Deniya Prawl listed inactive on the availability report for today.
Tennessee off-court: Reports say reserve guard Kaiya Wynn left the program this week.

LIKELY STARTING LINEUPS (MOST RECENT STARTERS)
ALABAMA
(vs Missouri)
G Jessica Timmons — primary scorer (but went 3-of-16 vs Missouri)
G Ta’Mia Scott — downhill guard; plays through contact
G/F Karly Weathers — rebound/playmaking wing (16 boards vs Missouri)
F Diana Collins — perimeter pop (13 points vs Missouri)
F Essence Cody — inside finisher/physical presence

TENNESSEE (vs Vanderbilt)
G Mia Pauldo — ball-handler/spacing
G Nya Robertson — secondary scoring
F Janiah Barker — physical mismatch + boards
F Zee Spearman — spacing big
F/G Alyssa Latham — connector/defense
(And yes: Cooper will play starter minutes in a “starter off the bench” role.)

MATCHUP THEMES (THE REAL BATTLEFIELDS)
1) Rebounding and second chances
Alabama just put up 48 rebounds and won on volume; Weathers alone grabbed 16. Tennessee has to finish possessions—because a neutral-court game with a tired Alabama becomes dangerous if Alabama keeps getting extra shots.

2) Can Tennessee create chaos without self-destructing?
Tennessee’s identity is pressure/steals. But if UT’s pressure turns into fouls + broken-floor runouts, Alabama’s guards will take the free points.

3) The Timmons problem (and the “don’t let her bounce-back” rule)
Timmons is Alabama’s season scoring leader, and she’s coming off a rough shooting night (3-of-16, 0-of-8 from three) in a win. That’s the classic “due” spot—Tennessee can’t let her find rhythm early.
Also: she dropped 34 at Florida on Feb. 22—she can absolutely torch you.

KEYS TO THE GAME
Tennessee MUST:


1. Rebound with violence. If Weathers is vacuuming 50/50 balls again, this becomes a long night.
2. Win the guard shot-making minutes. Cooper’s been the heater lately. You need that—plus one more guard to show up.
3. Make Alabama’s legs matter. Bama played Wednesday night; Tennessee didn’t. Push pace early and see who still has lift late.

Tennessee AVOID:
Letting Ace Austin get loose. She just flipped a game in six minutes with four straight threes.
A flat first quarter. Alabama led Missouri 31–20 at half after Missouri’s ugly first half—if UT sleepwalks, Alabama will happily bank an early lead.

X-FACTOR:
Mia Pauldo vs. Karly Weathers.

Pauldo’s return to real minutes changes Tennessee’s ball movement and spacing; Weathers is the “board + assist + disrupt” glue that can steal possessions in bulk.

BOTTOM LINE
On paper, Tennessee is the higher seed and the predictor leans UT.
In reality, this is “who stops bleeding first”: Tennessee is fighting a skid and roster turbulence; Alabama is playing with fresh momentum and a guard who just detonated Missouri in the 4th. If UT doesn’t control the glass and the early shot quality, the bye won’t matter.
LVs 86--Bama 64. GBO.
 
#7
#7
Alabama looked like garbage for the first two quarters of last night's game. If that team shows up, I think we can win. I think we will struggle if they are shooting from three like they were in the third and fourth quarter.

I was thinking the same. Mizzou was playing some inspired defense, but Alabama got a lot of good outside looks that weren't falling. Despite Slaughter having her worst game of the season and Dowell not making a field goal, it was anybody's game in the fourth. Then freshman Ace Austin cut loose with four consecutive threes, and that was it.

The danger for Tennessee is that Alabama now has warmed up, adjusted to the rims, found the range, got the jitters out. They didn't look at all tired. We better be ready from the jump.
 
#8
#8
I was thinking the same. Mizzou was playing some inspired defense, but Alabama got a lot of good outside looks that weren't falling. Despite Slaughter having her worst game of the season and Dowell not making a field goal, it was anybody's game in the fourth. Then freshman Ace Austin cut loose with four consecutive threes, and that was it.

The danger for Tennessee is that Alabama now has warmed up, adjusted to the rims, found the range, got the jitters out. They didn't look at all tired. We better be ready from the jump.
Missouri had to go to Zone
Jordan Reisma just couldn't play her usual 33-36
and she was healthy
early in the season when he needed
there was no one else big enough
Stop Cody easy baskets.

Dowling Catholic high getting play semi state tournament
After 11:00 game game
there's a channel broadcasting all Iowa girls basketball tournament YouTube

Iowa has a shot clock
and grade the official
the best ones get the postseason
imagine that
@creekdipper
didn't mean to post in the game thread
 
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#9
#9
One odd thing that we noticed was that Bama's players kept slipping . Lost count of how many times their players, including normally sure-footed ones like Weathers, dropped to both knees with the ball. Didn't seem to affect Mizzou. Managers need to put on some retreads before tonight or sew in some antiperspirant pads into the unis.
 
#13
#13
Sort of adds some support to the rumor going around, "y'all".

If true and that is a big IF, losing player, even a promising one, just is not the blow it once was, It is just part of the musical chairs that now is "the portal".
The news would be losing two at this point in time. Didn’t want to wait a few more games thru the tourneys. You don’t see that much.
 
#14
#14
It’s post-season, which is every team’s annual opportunity to turn the page on the regular season if they want to and start again with a new attitude and energy. Whatever happens, happens, and no matter what that might be really matters very little in the grand scheme of things. I’m just ready to get on with it.
 
#16
#16
I would like to see this team play Texas again. Hopefully the girls can find a way to get this W tonight.
I would also love to see that, 7thGVF. A second crack at them would be amazing, but yeah, we all know a second meeting against Alabama is going to be tough and could go either way. We just have to hope for equal parts energy AND luck tonight. 🤞🏻🤞🏻
 
#24
#24
…due to injury. After all the negative speculation. We deserve a collective Pulitzer for Misinvestigative Reporting…
y'all, it ain't a rumor , y'all, if you can get other people to believe it, y'all.

[Addendum: y'all, this is a strangely addictive style of writing, y'all]
 
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