BCS Standings

#1

allvol

Eternally Optimistic
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Aug 10, 2004
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#1
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Polls/Ratings through dates
Through 10/9: AP, Coaches, Billingsley, Colley, Massey, Sagarin, Anderson-Hester.
Not Yet Available: Wolfe.

1 Southern Cal 0.969
2 Oklahoma 0.967
3 Miami-Florida 0.930
4 Auburn 0.888
5 Florida St 0.723
6 Purdue 0.704
7 Virginia 0.677
8 Utah 0.658
9 Tennessee 0.597
10 Georgia 0.562
11 Texas 0.544
12 California 0.537
13 Wisconsin 0.503
14 Arizona St 0.489
15 Oklahoma St 0.468
16 Michigan 0.457
17 Boise St 0.407
18 Louisville 0.339
19 West Virginia 0.234
20 Minnesota 0.222
21 LSU 0.216
22 Southern Miss 0.190
23 Florida 0.136
24 Texas A&M 0.132
25 Navy 0.090
26 UAB 0.067
27 Ohio State 0.053
28 Missouri 0.034
29 Virginia Tech 0.031
30 UCLA 0.023
 
#2
#2
Jeff Sagarin' College Football Ratings

Jeff Sagarin
Rates all DI teams, both IA and IAA. The BCS will not be using the ratings Sagarin is famous for, but rather a rating system he calls "Elo Chess," which does not include MOV. Presumably, he named it "Elo Chess" because it is based on the rating system used for chess players developed by Arpad Elo. Home field advantage is considered.


1 Auburn
2 Miami-Florida
3 Southern Cal
4 Florida St
5 Tennessee
6 Louisville
7 Oklahoma
8 Utah
9 Boise St
10 Arizona St
11 California
12 Oklahoma St
13 Virginia
14 Southern Miss
15 Purdue
16 Georgia
17 Navy
18 UAB
19 North Carolina
20 Texas
21 LSU
22 Texas A&M
23 Louisiana Tech
24 Wisconsin
25 UTEP
 
#3
#3
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Massey Ratings

Kenneth Massey
Rates all NCAA and NAIA teams. Starts everyone at zero and starts publishing at the beginning of the season. The formula does not consider homefield advantage or game date.


1 Miami-Florida
2 Southern Cal
3 Oklahoma
4 Auburn
5 Arizona St
6 Florida St
7 Utah
8 Tennessee
9 Oklahoma St
10 Boise St
11 California
12 Georgia
13 Virginia
14 Texas
15 Texas A&M
16 Southern Miss
17 Purdue
18 Louisville
19 UAB
20 Navy
21 Michigan
22 Wisconsin
23 LSU
24 North Carolina
25 Notre Dame
 
#4
#4
The Anderson & Hester College Football Computer Rankings

Jeff Anderson-Chris Hester
Rates D1A teams only. Factors in conference strength, which is based on how conference teams do in non-conference play. It also appears to give weight to how a team performs against better opposition. Does not consider game location. Does not publish until after 5th week.


1.Miami, Fla.
2.Oklahoma
3.USC
4.Utah
5.Auburn
6.Arizona State
7.Oklahoma State
8.Purdue
9.Virginia
10.Southern Miss
11.Florida State
12.Tennessee
13.Boise State
14.Wisconsin
15.Louisville
16.Texas A&M
17.Michigan
18.Georgia
19.Navy
20.California
21.Texas
22.UCLA
23.Minnesota
24.UAB
25.Notre Dame
 
#5
#5
Billingsley Report on Major College Football

Richard Billingsley
Rates D1A teams only. Carries a team's rank over from previous year and values early part of season more highly. Also gives slight emphasis to recent performance. If a team does not play, its raw rating (as opposed to ranking) does not change that week. If a team wins, it goes up and if it loses, it goes down. Has a detailed explanation on his site, although he does not provide his formula.


1 Oklahoma
2 Southern Cal.
3 Miami, Fla.
4 Auburn
5 Boise State
6 Tennessee
7 Michigan
8 Georgia
9 Texas
10 Florida State
11 Purdue
12 LSU
13 Utah
14 Arizona State
15 Southern Miss.
16 Oklahoma State
17 Minnesota
18 Wisconsin
19 Virginia
20 Ohio State
21 Texas Tech
22 Florida
23 California
24 Arkansas
25 Iowa
 
#6
#6
"Colley's Bias Free Matrix Rankings"

Wes Colley
Rates D1A teams only, plus provisional 1A teams (like Troy St in 2001). His ratings only consider games between I-A opponents. Publishes his formula on his website, but you need to be a math geek to understand it. Publishes ratings at the beginning of the season, but uses no prior season data. Everyone starts at 0.5.


Top 25 -- Oct 10
1. OKLAHOMA
2. MIAMI
3. AUBURN
4. ARIZONA ST
5. SOUTHERN CAL
6. UTAH
7. OKLA ST
8. PURDUE
9. TENNESSEE
10. FLORIDA ST
11. BOISE ST
12. VIRGINIA
13. WISCONSIN
14. TEXAS
15. SOUTHERN MISS
16. GEORGIA
17. MICH
18. TEXAS A&M
19. LOUISVILLE
20. UAB
21. NAVY
22. MINNESOTA
23. CALIFORNIA
24. UCLA
25. NOTRE DAME

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Wolfe Computer Ranking

Peter Wolfe
Rates all NCAA and NAIA teams. Does not publish rankings until the week of the first release. Rankings based on actual outcome vs probability of that outcome occuring. Game location is a factor.


The first ratings will be posted October 18, 2004.
 
#8
#8
for those not up on the BCS, here is an explanation of the formula (from collegebcs.com)

What is the formula?
The BCS formula has been changed again. The 2004 version takes three basic factors:

Point total in the AP poll.
Point total in the coaches' poll.
Ranking in the six selected computer ranking systems, after throwing out the best and worst ranking for each team.
In the polls, a team's score is its point total divided by the best possible point total for that poll. In 2003, there were 65 AP voters and 63 coaches voting, which meant that the best possible score for the AP poll was 1625 (65 voters x 25 points for a first place vote) and in the coaches' poll, the best possible score was 1575.

The four computers for each team will be treated like voters in a mini-poll. That means, the team ranked #1 in a computer ranking will get 25 points. The #2 team will receive 24, and so on, down to the #25 team in a computer getting one point. Each team's four computer scores (after tossing the best and worst) will be added and divided by 100 (the best possible score) to give the computer average.

The, the three numbers will be averaged for the total BCS score, highest being better.

Here is an example of how to calculate the BCS ratings, using Miami-Ohio's final regular season total from 2003:

In the AP poll, the Redhawks had 756 points. That was good enough for the #14 ranking, but that doesn't matter. Their score for the AP poll part of the formula is 756/1625 or .4652.
In the coaches' poll, Miami had 664 points, which is then divided by 1575 to give a score of .4216.
Miami had computer rankings of 3, 4, 4, 6, 9 and 10. When you throw out the best and the worst, you are left with 4, 4, 6 and 9. Those rankings are worth 22, 22, 20 and 17 points respectively in the mini-poll, which adds up to 81 points. That is then divided by 100 for a total of .81.
The Redhawks final BCS score then is the average of those three numbers, or (.4652 + .4216 + .81) / 3 = .5656.

(also note that some ranking data in this thread is from collegebcs.com as well as the various computer rankings websites.)
 
#10
#10
Thanks for all the updates allvol. At least we are in the top 10 overall. I think the others will catch up.
 
#13
#13
has anyone seen that Tennessee is #1 in the RPI rankings. The same system used by NCAA basketball. I know it doesn't matter here, but I thought it was Cool.
 
#14
#14
Originally posted by Tnvolfan68@Oct 12, 2004 8:48 PM
has anyone seen that Tennessee is #1 in the RPI rankings. The same system used by NCAA basketball. I know it doesn't matter here, but I thought it was Cool.

Got a link??
 
#17
#17
yep that's it just scroll down to where Tennessee is ranked 13th then scroll right to see the rest of the rankings in all the polls
 
#18
#18
Originally posted by Tnvolfan68@Oct 12, 2004 9:20 PM
yep that's it just scroll down to where Tennessee is ranked 13th then scroll right to see the rest of the rankings in all the polls

I found it.

Cool. :cool:
 
#20
#20
Originally posted by Tnvolfan68@Oct 12, 2004 9:27 PM
kinda makes yo wonder bout them puters don't it

:banghead:

Makes me wonder why that's the only correct one and all the others are so off??
 
#21
#21
lol, that's a pretty good one... But Tennessee is far from being a championship team... But I am highly doubtful of anything beyond making it to the SEC championship game, and maybe reciprocating to Auburn.
 

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