I've got a small amount on the initial spread, but that's only my heart not my head in it. We've lost 15 in a row. 15.
Repeat. 15.
So odds are we'll lose. Again, this is my brain speaking, not my heart.
BUT...
(1) Better bets are on our 1st quarter and 1st half scoring. We tend to come out of the chute scoring well. IIRC we were the #1 scoring offense in Q1 last season, and we still are doing it (except FL, lost $ on that). If you use Bovada, you can make these types of bets in advance of the game.
(2) Also, on a game like this, we usually can't run well against Bama (who can?), so we'll be forced to pass alot. Especially if we get behind. Look (and bet) for Hooker to pass for 300+ yards. Honestly, 375 yards is possible if he goes crazy.
(3) Lastly, if you feel compelled to bet on the spread or the moneyline, wait until the game is underway. The odds change during the game on Bovada, so if we start getting pummeled, you can get much better odds on both the spread and moneyline.
Good luck bro.