They'll still get blown out. The biggest joke about the expanded playoff is that it will be like March Madness, with some big upsets. CFB is a completely different animal than CBB - you can get on a run in March Madness with a unique scheme or riding a hot shooter, but in CFB it is talent, size, and depth that win, period. And aside from the SEC and a handful of teams in the Big 10 and ACC, that high level talent and depth of talent just doesn't exist. The best players are going to the best programs, even if they have to sit for a year.