Championship weekend permutations

[Section KK]

The order of these teams is set:
Notre Dame
Ohio State
Tennessee
Indiana - in
Alabama
Miami - out

Things that can change:
SMU v Clemson
If SMU wins, they lock in 3 seed, Boise State 4 seed.
If Clemson wins, they lock in 4 or 12 seed,
Boise State moves to 3 seed,
SMU is in play for 11 seed (if they “don’t punish conference championship losers).

Texas v Georgia
If Texas wins, they lock in 1 or 2. Georgia falls 0-5 spots (large range here, because they may not “punish conference championship losers” but they may also not put a 3-loss SEC team in front of a 1-loss B10 team (Indiana))
If Georgia wins, they lock in 2. Texas moves to ~6 behind ND

Oregon v Penn State
If Oregon wins, they lock in 1 seed, Penn State falls behind at least Ohio State. Because Tennessee and Ohio state are essentially tied, hopefully they also fall below Tennessee, and they could in theory fall below Indiana (unlikely?).
If Penn State wins, they lock in 1 or 2 seed behind Texas. Oregon drops to 5

11 seed options
SMU - non-punished ACCCG loser
Alabama - current place holder
Army - only unseeded 1-loss Conference Champion (they have added this exclusive club status tonight, would be 12 seed)
South Carolina - if Clemson wins ACC, they would get a small bump on their resume - also the scariest team on this short list. If home field advantage is worth 3 points, then they were the better team @Alabama.

 

[scvolguy]

The Big 12 teams are currently ranked higher so it’s possible that winner would receive the bye instead of Clemson.

 

[General Jack]

I bet they will find a way to justify no in-conference match-ups in the first round. I bet we go to Penn St or tOSyou.

 

[BLUTickbusdriver]

So cliff notes version…who could potentially help us by winning? OR, TX, and Clemson right?

 

[WoodsmanVol]

All the ballyhoo, and jibber-jabber aside, we will open CFB play vs. Indiana. The Hoes Hoosiers' defense will play their hearts out, the offense will manage to pull off a giant-killer performance and win. I want OSU, but IU will back room lobby for a bowl rematch with the Vols and get it. Nathan, my dog, and the crack crystal ball joined to outvote me on this, so there's that.

 

[swampfoxfan]

So cliff notes version…who could potentially help us by winning? OR, TX, and Clemson right?

Im goimg with clemson, at least that would knock out undeserving alabubba

 

[swampfoxfan]

All the ballyhoo, and jibber-jabber aside, we will open CFB play vs. Indiana. The Hoes Hoosiers' defense will play their hearts out, the offense will manage to pull off a giant-killer performance and win. I want OSU, but IU will back room lobby for a bowl rematch with the Vols and get it. Nathan, my dog, and the crack crystal ball joined to outvote me on this, so there's that.

whoa boy hope you are right, we kil them again

 

[Section KK]

I bet they will find a way to justify no in-conference match-ups in the first round. I bet we go to Penn St or tOSyou.

Agree with this. Georgia will either be 7 or 10 if they lose, I suspect. 7 seems more likely.

 

[Kicker82]

It would not make any sense to me today if Texas and Oregon win by double digits and the vols don’t move up at all

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Oh, good. I was hoping someone would get to the bottom of this.

 

[gobravesvols16]

I’m betting no matter what happens today we will be on the road and Bama will be in

 

[#1n51&98]

I'm hoping for Clemson to win ugly by 1 point and Texas and Oregon to win big !

 

[volfan102455]

Almost 100% that Bama is in - if SMU wins they are in. If Clemson wins, SMU doesn't have the big win, Bama does so I think Bama is in. Still a chance for SMU in that situation but they would need to be very impressive in a loss.

Two teams above us are going to lose. As such there will be movement.

The combination of who wins, who loses and by how much coupled with certain movement destroys the marquee matchups.

 

[volfan102455]

I’m betting no matter what happens today we will be on the road and Bama will be in

If Georgia loses and we are still on the road it will be a Tennessee at Georgia rematch.

 

[volfan102455]

So cliff notes version…who could potentially help us by winning? OR, TX, and Clemson right?

Yes, Yes and Yes - and the bigger the margin of victory the better.

That said a very lopsided Georgia win might also be helpful.

 

[BJWeeks]

Alabama thinks that if Georgia loses that they jump everyone and get a home playoff game

 

[Vfl2407]

I'm hoping for Clemson to win ugly by 1 point and Texas and Oregon to win big !

Theoretically, that’s what would help us the most.
That is, unless the Committee already knows who they want the 5-8 host teams to be no matter what happens today and they will stick with them.

 

[Section KK]

Theoretically, that’s what would help us the most.
That is, unless the Committee already knows who they want the 5-8 host teams to be no matter what happens today and they will stick with them.

“the committee” hasn’t decided but the individuals members probably have. Today, will hopefully help the members who want to help us have more influence.

 

[volfannga]

Think the Pac12 leaders see themselves as failures? ASU wins the Big XII and Oregon should win the Not-so-Big X.

 

[VolPack22]

I think whenever Penn State loses, they will drop one spot behind Ohio State and we will be going to Child Molestation University, I mean Happy Valley…

 

[Section KK]

Think the Pac12 leaders see themselves as failures? ASU wins the Big XII and Oregon should win the Not-so-Big X.

Another question if Clemson wins and goes to 12, who will get the Fiesta Bowl, ASU (home game) or Boise State?