Chase Clinching Scenarios

#1
Burhead

Burhead

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#1
Denny Hamlin can win his first series championship either by winning Sunday or finishing second while clinching most laps lead. I'm too lazy to look it up but I read that there is a potential for a tie depending on how Jimmie and Denny finishes. With the championship still going to Denny since he has more wins than the 48 bunch.
 
#4
#4
My prediction of Harvick winning looks a bit lame, but he is closer than he was, so he still can win. All Hamlin has to do is just stay in front of both of them, and where they finish is irrelevant.

The 15 point gap can be overcome by as few as two positions and a lap in the lead if they are in the top 6. or as many as five if no laps led and they are lower than 12th position.

Johnson finishing either two places ahead of Hamlin and both in the top 6 with a lap led by Johnson, or three places without a lap led would result in a tie. The points drop by five through the first six positions, by four from seventh through twelfth, and by three from 13th to last.

This schedule tells us another tie scenario would be a difference of five positions if both are below 12th. There is one more set of positions that would result in a tie, can you describe it?
 
#5
#5
One question I have is that if the scenario happens that Jimmie HAS to win Homestead to win the championship, can he? I'm pretty sure he can, but he has never won there, for one because he has never really had to. He usually goes into the Homestead race just cruising and doing enough in the race to hold the points lead. He hasn't actually had to "race" there much.

All I know is, if Johnson wins that damn thing again, I'm going to go find myself a dark corner and cry.
 
#6
#6
Does anyone else get the feeling that the 'trash talk' between 11 & 48 seems a bit forced from both sides?

Off topic, I know, but didn't seem worthy of a thread.
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I would guess Joe Gibbs is discouraging trash talk, and the 48 team just isn't very good at it.

Or Hamlin is too busy laying blame on his team to do any.
 
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#7
#7
TheSyxxSynse said:
One question I have is that if the scenario happens that Jimmie HAS to win Homestead to win the championship, can he? I'm pretty sure he can, but he has never won there, for one because he has never really had to. He usually goes into the Homestead race just cruising and doing enough in the race to hold the points lead. He hasn't actually had to "race" there much.

All I know is, if Johnson wins that damn thing again, I'm going to go find myself a dark corner and cry.
Click to expand...

I don't think you will be alone.
 
#8
#8
The 25th place finish at Louden to start the chase is haunting the 48 team. It just goes to show how important every race is to win the championship and why the chase is just as hard to win as the old points system.
 
#9
#9
I still think Hamlin will have the best car this week, but I won't pick against Johnson after what he's accomplished the previous 4 seasons.
 
#10
#10
I really don't want Johnson to win the championship again but I swear I would take him over Hamlin. I have grown to disdain everything Hamlin stands for over the past few years. I know from being around some that race that even when he said he was a struggling pavement late model racer he had better equipment than most. And he's always been a, "it's not my fault/whiner" type his entire life. I just can't stand that.

After yesterday's temper tantrum I think he may have lost the points for himself too. That was a classic meltdown and that kind of crushing defeat brings out the pessimist in Denny. Now instead of riding confidence going into Homestead he's going to be worrying about all the ways they can lose the title and still sore about what happened yesterday.

I would prefer Harvick win it but I swear I would even take Johnson over Hamlin with the way he acts. And I think Hamlin may have put the gun to his head yesterday and pulled the trigger yesterday. The team is going to have to get him some good therapy this week if they hope he can rebound from this funk.
 
#12
#12
doozer said:
I don't want any of them to win. At all.
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My feelings too, of the chasers I would take Burton, Boyer, Kurt Busch, Stewart, Biffle and Kenseth over all three. But my real favorite is Martin.
 
#13
#13
rbroyles said:
My feelings too, of the chasers I would take Burton, Boyer, Kurt Busch, Stewart, Biffle and Kenseth over all three. But my real favorite is Martin.
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I agree Mark, he was the reason I got into racing. I had hoped 2009 was his year, I'm hoping he can close out his Hendrick career with a championship next year. Would be a perfect ending and good for the sport.
 
#15
#15
doozer said:
I don't want any of them to win. At all.
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I can understand that. I like Johnson but get why people are tired of seeing him win it the past 4 years. As far as Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin, they already think they're God's gift to auto racing so I can't imagine how bad they would be with a championship.
 
#16
#16
Obviously I'm a big time Harvick fan, but if Johnson does win I will love listening to the people that constantly whine about him and Knaus.
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