Currently a 27 RPI, 10 top-100 wins, no bad losses, I'd think they would be in pretty comfortably at 20-10 (10-8).
I had them pegged to go 8-10 and miss. Good week for them after stopping their skid.
Cuonzo may have another skid left in him though. He loves the bubble. His team last year was 18-6 and missed the tourney.