Do conference tournaments predict national championships?

#1
MAD

MAD

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#1
Do conference tournaments predict national championships?

5B00022A-77F0-4F40-A870-3C6C6EE759A8.jpeg

  • From 1998-2011, it was very smart to put your faith in teams that performed well in the conference tournament. Of the 14 national champions in that time, all but four went the distance in their conference tournaments.
  • Since then, things have really turned around. Seven of the last nine champions all fell in their conference tournaments.
  • Overall in this 27-year span, 12 of the 25 participating national champions were also conference tournament champions.
  • What about just reaching the finals in your conference? Only eight of the 24 national champions since 1993 that participated in a conference tournament were bounced prior to the championship game.
  • But no team since 1993 has fallen short of the semifinals, so be wary of a team that is upset early on.
  • North Carolina doesn't sweat ACC tournament losses at all: In the Tar Heels' four national championship seasons since 1993, they have zero conference tournament titles and only reached the ACC tournament final once.
  • Duke, on the other hand, has won the ACC tournament in three of its last four national championship years, with only its most recent national championship featuring a loss in the ACC tournament.
 
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#2
#2
Nah.

In my opinion, you are better off losing one right before NCAA tourney. For example, the South Carolina women are now all set to win the NCAA tournament.
 
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#3
#3
mad4vols said:
Do conference tournaments predict national championships?

View attachment 437887

  • From 1998-2011, it was very smart to put your faith in teams that performed well in the conference tournament. Of the 14 national champions in that time, all but four went the distance in their conference tournaments.
  • Since then, things have really turned around. Seven of the last nine champions all fell in their conference tournaments.
  • Overall in this 27-year span, 12 of the 25 participating national champions were also conference tournament champions.
  • What about just reaching the finals in your conference? Only eight of the 24 national champions since 1993 that participated in a conference tournament were bounced prior to the championship game.
  • But no team since 1993 has fallen short of the semifinals, so be wary of a team that is upset early on.
  • North Carolina doesn't sweat ACC tournament losses at all: In the Tar Heels' four national championship seasons since 1993, they have zero conference tournament titles and only reached the ACC tournament final once.
  • Duke, on the other hand, has won the ACC tournament in three of its last four national championship years, with only its most recent national championship featuring a loss in the ACC tournament.
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Sometimes yes, sometimes no. There as some really strong conference where the winner has better than average odds of winning it all. Some other winners of Conference titles have list or no chance to win it all. It is hard to predict the winner of the SEC, but at least 3 of the 4 top seeds have a decent chance to be th best.
 
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#4
#4
It does for UConn. Every time they get hot at the end of the year they win. Their run in 2011 was something else. Between the Big East Tournament and the NCAAT they beat the 22nd, 3rd, 11th, 14th, 6th, 17th, and 11th ranked teams in the country. One of the best runs I can ever recall. IMO it was more impressive that they won all 5 of those games in consecutive days to win the Big East Tournament than the NCAAT. I still can’t believe they pulled that off.
 
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