ESPN FPI Numbers UT vs UF

[ItsAllVols]

As you can see its close enough to be a toss up.

 

[NoogaVFL]

I don't know about anyone else, but I could absolutely not give two sh!ts about this "FPI" thing that ESPN has going on. It is completely meaningless.

 

[joevol33]

I've heard several say this one could go either way. I hope they are as wrong as they wrote about Georgia blowing us off the field. I look for a double digit win by our boys.

 

[WilliamDuVOL]

I think we win by 10 points or so. Florida realizes they need this win, but let's face it, with the schedule they have following us, the public dissonance seen (the receiver tweeting about a QB change), and god only knows what kind of internal dissonance, the only talk from them about beating us at this point is just that, talk. They have too much to focus on, too little faith in each other and the coach, and most probably want a coaching change earlier in their careers so it's not too late to succeed. This game has perfect storm written all over it. I obviously won't rule out the possibility they win, anything can happen, but this team doesn't have the mentality that past teams have. Having so many players that have never played Florida may be the best possible thing we have going for us this game.

 

[VolPack22]

As you can see its close enough to be a toss up.

So we have a better chance of beating Alabama than Ole Miss and only a 38% chance of beating USCe. Makes a lot of sense ESPN

 

[RiseToTheTop]

the FPI thing ESPN does is ridiculous most of the time.

 

[DL916]

Honestly I'd throw out the two games for us and the one they had against ECU. Just compare the two best opponents. For us OU and UGA for them UK and Bama. I'd guess the stats are even or in our favor. Which is a great sign considering that we've played a tougher two game schedule.

 

[VOLsome]

So we have a better chance of beating Alabama than Ole Miss and only a 38% chance of beating USCe. Makes a lot of sense ESPN

Probably the difference to playing at home versus away.....just my 2 cents

 

[VOLsome]

Honestly I'd throw out the two games for us and the one they had against Eastern Mich. Just compare the two best opponents. For us OU and UGA for them UK and Bama. I'd guess the stats are even or in our favor. Which is a great sign considering that we've played a tougher two game schedule.

FYP....ECU would've beat FU.

 

[ItsAllVols]

You also need to realize that UF 1st game in which the blew their opponent out skews the numbers, it the reason to take these number with a grain of salt, but as a measuring strick

 

[ItsAllVols]

We need at least our freak WR Person to help expose the DB on UF, they are strong unit and if we can spread them out it will help the running game. Of course if Josh Smith could make it back that would also be great.

 

[RockyTopDC]

I don't know about anyone else, but I could absolutely not give two sh!ts about this "FPI" thing that ESPN has going on. It is completely meaningless.

Completely agree. They do not count for 102,455 angry fans in the General's house, which I think will make all the difference. Muschamp's career is done with after Saturday.

 

[DL916]

FYP....ECU would've beat FU.

Thanks for the correction. ECU would pound Florida's biscuit and not in a good way.

 

[VonVol]

Is this the same formula ESPN used to determine we were going to lose to Utah State?

 

[Volnut]

Completely agree. They do not count for 102,455 angry fans in the General's house, which I think will make all the difference. Muschamp's career is done with after Saturday.

Any concerns that Lanes Kifferling might emerge as a replacement for Muschamp? He did marry John Reeves daughter.

 

[FLVOL_79]

UF's about to get crushed.

 

[Stevorino]

If Tennessee plays like they did vs Georgia and Worley is healthy all 4 quarters, Tennessee wins by more than a TD.

The only way I see Tennessee losing this game is if they don't show up to play hard for four quarters, or if Worley isn't healthy.

 

[Ostrich]

According to those numbers the UK game is looking particularly ominous.

 

[WilliamDuVOL]

According to those numbers the UK game is looking particularly ominous.

The transitive rule doesn't apply to football, but I'll say this anyway. UK just struggled to hang 17 on Vandy and required many turnovers to do so at Kentucky, while UK also managed to hang over 400 yards of offense on UF at Florida and should've won. Florida's vaunted defense gave up over 400 yards to Kentucky AT HOME and then a school historical high to Bama. Yes it's Bama, but come on, over 600 yards and they're supposed to be a defensive team? It seems to me UF really is just that bad this year. Their stats are padded by beating Eastern Michigan, who is 1-3 with a 31-28 win over Morgan State. We should get more yardage versus them AT HOME than we did versus a BETTER UGA defense AT GEORGIA. See my point? This game could not have come at a better time for us.