Full Season Opponent Preview

#1

LouderVol

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#1
TL;DR incoming: *trigger warning, if you don't like Athlon Sports you won't like this threat*

I wanted to share the previews for each opponent throughout the year.. most are from Athlon Sports to try and get a consistent opinion/source, instead of relying on home town reporting.

UTC: High expectations in the FCS this year. Got back a now senior starting QB. Solid at most positions but DB and pass rush. sounds like they are replacing a lot of good players at those spots.

NC State: Also high expectations. kinda sounds like they are expecting to win or challenge for the ACC. Should be a good to great offense. Lots of good offensive transfers in to go with their best player, WR KC Conception. Defense sounds like it is replacing a lot, especially at LB with 3 new starters, but they do have their best CB back, but rest of the secondary is new.

Kent State: Sounds like they were real bad on both lines last but they expect some improvement. their entire line were first time staters last year on offense and they are all back, but they were terrible last year. good WRs. they lost their top DL and LB, but like who they have coming back. DBs were good last year, but are all gone now.

Oklahoma: qb has been extremely hot and cold, throwing good TDs, but also bad picks, was a true freshman, maybe settled down. O-line is brand new and should be weak. WRs all return and were decent. RBs were solid but no big threat. Lots of production back on Defense, 11 of their top 13 tacklers, INT leader. sounds like they were really good most of the time, but had some head scratching moments on Defense, but it should be their strength.

Arkansas: 2023 Offense was a struggle, and D was decent but overwhelmed by bad offense leaving them on the field all the time. Bobby Petrino as new OC, solid returning skill position, but transfer QB from Boise State. 2 returners on OL, 3 transfers with mixed experience at mixed levels. D line returns some good players, LBs should be solid but not special, DBs return guys who produced.

Florida: looking at the hardest schedule in football next season, HC future is in question. Good returning QB, sounds like they are replacing their top guys at the skill positions but like who they have coming back, with some experienced transfers coming in. some questions at OL after they struggled last year. New defensive coaches after a bad end to the last season on D. sounds like they have a good bit of experience returning on defense, but guys were either inconsistent, or dealing with injuries.

Bama: New coach obviously, probably a lot of changes to what we have come to expect from Bama. new head coach had a great passing attack last year, and will likely try to get *Milroe* to throw deep more. new WRs and OL, RB and TE should be to standard. On defense they are returning guys at each level, but lost their top 2 pass rushers, and top 2 corners. still plenty of talent, and some good transfers.

Kentucky: brought in lots of skill position talent via transfer, including QB from UGA, but lines will be a question. WRs are both back, including their best in Brown. Return a really good DT, and CB, got a starting LB from Georgia, and solid pieces around those guys.

Mississippi State: New HC & staff, new QB, but HC is an offensive guy with success in the past. Transfer QB, 2 transfer WRs likely to start, but returning their #1 WR. Lost 7 of their top 8 tacklers, they have a lot to replace all over. but secondary may be the strength.

UGA: what you expect to see from UGA. lots of returning really talented players and coaches. returning QB, 4 returning starters on OL, experienced WRs and TE but no real star power yet, got Florida's starting RB. defense returns a lot of starters as well, especially at LB. secondary has guys to replace, but plenty of talent.

UTEP: they are replacing a lot of their top guys, including HC. brought in a lot of transfers from the HC last school, Austin Pea. sounds like many are expected to start on offense. returning maybe their best defender a DE/LB, but nothing else on defense of note.

Vandy: ehh its Vandy. sounds like they are bringing in some option scheme on offense, and will move their OL around a lot. doesn't sound like they are returning anyone of note on offense, lots of transfers. HC is taking over defensive play calling.....pass defense was a struggle, but they have more experience and some decent transfers.

and for funsies, their thoughts on Tennessee. Their words, not mine: like the promise of Nico, believe DL will be really good, but how far we go will be determined by skill position and secondary play. they seem to believe in the promise of our QB and WRs but want to see them perform before saying we make the playoffs. notes we are talented but thin at RB, notes OL should be good, but depends on how our transfer Heard plays at LT. Notes that DL should be elite, but need to play better against the best talent. notes the whole new secondary, nothing about LBs.
 
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#2
#2
I actually find most of the stuff form Athlon to be fair and not riddle with a ton of bias.
Most of this is pretty solid insight.

NC State may be sneaky good and will challenge for the ACC this year, but not sure if that's NC St or the ACC being on a decline.

I honestly feel that we have a chance in every game this year, obvoiously a few are going to be tougher sledding than the rest like UGA, Bama, OK, and Fla because of the psychological mind block.
 
#3
#3
Most of my Tennessee buds are most concerned about NC State early, road game, young QB and ??? secondary. If we beat NC State by 25, I’m on board for a close win at OU. I’m good with Football Time in Tennessee. Fair and balanced.
 
#4
#4
TL;DR incoming: *trigger warning, if you don't like Athlon Sports you won't like this threat*

I wanted to share the previews for each opponent throughout the year.. most are from Athlon Sports to try and get a consistent opinion/source, instead of relying on home town reporting.

UTC: High expectations in the FCS this year. Got back a now senior starting QB. Solid at most positions but DB and pass rush. sounds like they are replacing a lot of good players at those spots.

NC State: Also high expectations. kinda sounds like they are expecting to win or challenge for the ACC. Should be a good to great offense. Lots of good offensive transfers in to go with their best player, WR KC Conception. Defense sounds like it is replacing a lot, especially at LB with 3 new starters, but they do have their best CB back, but rest of the secondary is new.

Kent State: Sounds like they were real bad on both lines last but they expect some improvement. their entire line were first time staters last year on offense and they are all back, but they were terrible last year. good WRs. they lost their top DL and LB, but like who they have coming back. DBs were good last year, but are all gone now.

Oklahoma: qb has been extremely hot and cold, throwing good TDs, but also bad picks, was a true freshman, maybe settled down. O-line is brand new and should be weak. WRs all return and were decent. RBs were solid but no big threat. Lots of production back on Defense, 11 of their top 13 tacklers, INT leader. sounds like they were really good most of the time, but had some head scratching moments on Defense, but it should be their strength.

Arkansas: 2023 Offense was a struggle, and D was decent but overwhelmed by bad offense leaving them on the field all the time. Bobby Petrino as new OC, solid returning skill position, but transfer QB from Boise State. 2 returners on OL, 3 transfers with mixed experience at mixed levels. D line returns some good players, LBs should be solid but not special, DBs return guys who produced.

Florida: looking at the hardest schedule in football next season, HC future is in question. Good returning QB, sounds like they are replacing their top guys at the skill positions but like who they have coming back, with some experienced transfers coming in. some questions at OL after they struggled last year. New defensive coaches after a bad end to the last season on D. sounds like they have a good bit of experience returning on defense, but guys were either inconsistent, or dealing with injuries.

Bama: New coach obviously, probably a lot of changes to what we have come to expect from Bama. new head coach had a great passing attack last year, and will likely try to get Milton to throw deep more. new WRs and OL, RB and TE should be to standard. On defense they are returning guys at each level, but lost their top 2 pass rushers, and top 2 corners. still plenty of talent, and some good transfers.

Kentucky: brought in lots of skill position talent via transfer, including QB from UGA, but lines will be a question. WRs are both back, including their best in Brown. Return a really good DT, and CB, got a starting LB from Georgia, and solid pieces around those guys.

Mississippi State: New HC & staff, new QB, but HC is an offensive guy with success in the past. Transfer QB, 2 transfer WRs likely to start, but returning their #1 WR. Lost 7 of their top 8 tacklers, they have a lot to replace all over. but secondary may be the strength.

UGA: what you expect to see from UGA. lots of returning really talented players and coaches. returning QB, 4 returning starters on OL, experienced WRs and TE but no real star power yet, got Florida's starting RB. defense returns a lot of starters as well, especially at LB. secondary has guys to replace, but plenty of talent.

UTEP: they are replacing a lot of their top guys, including HC. brought in a lot of transfers from the HC last school, Austin Pea. sounds like many are expected to start on offense. returning maybe their best defender a DE/LB, but nothing else on defense of note.

Vandy: ehh its Vandy. sounds like they are bringing in some option scheme on offense, and will move their OL around a lot. doesn't sound like they are returning anyone of note on offense, lots of transfers. HC is taking over defensive play calling.....pass defense was a struggle, but they have more experience and some decent transfers.

and for funsies, their thoughts on Tennessee. Their words, not mine: like the promise of Nico, believe DL will be really good, but how far we go will be determined by skill position and secondary play. they seem to believe in the promise of our QB and WRs but want to see them perform before saying we make the playoffs. notes we are talented but thin at RB, notes OL should be good, but depends on how our transfer Heard plays at LT. Notes that DL should be elite, but need to play better against the best talent. notes the whole new secondary, nothing about LBs.
Nice write-up, but under Bama I think they meant to say Milroe, not Milton..lol. At least I hope so.
 
#6
#6
I actually find most of the stuff form Athlon to be fair and not riddle with a ton of bias.
Most of this is pretty solid insight.

NC State may be sneaky good and will challenge for the ACC this year, but not sure if that's NC St or the ACC being on a decline.

I honestly feel that we have a chance in every game this year, obvoiously a few are going to be tougher sledding than the rest like UGA, Bama, OK, and Fla because of the psychological mind block.
agreed. I was trying to get a feel for how we should stack up against everyone positionally.

need the OL to prove themselves against better teams, UGA has eaten their dinners recently. that needs to change.
 
#7
#7
"TL;DR incoming: *trigger warning, if you don't like Athlon Sports you won't like this threat*"

Threat?
Is Athlon threatening UT now?
Who do they think they are - the NCAA?
 
#8
#8

Surprisingly close

Here is the FPI’s recent track record of preseason projections for the Vols:

  • 2018: Gave Tennessee a better than 50% chance of winning five games and the Vols went 5-7 (the Auburn upset and Vanderbilt loss were the lone “misses” from the preseason projection).
  • 2019: Projected win total for Tennessee was 7.6 and the Vols had a better than 50% chance of winning in nine games – they won seven in the regular season even after losing to Georgia State and BYU
  • 2020: Predicted the Vols would go 4-6 after the move to the SEC-only schedule, and they went 3-7
  • 2021: Projected win total was 6.6 – the Vols won seven games, including two they were given around a 40% chance of winning.
  • 2022: Projected win total was just 7.1 games and Tennessee won 10 games, notching victories against Pittsburgh (37.3% win chance in preseason), LSU (32.3%) and Alabama (11.9%) and climbing from a No. 25 preseason ranking to the No. 5 spot to end it.
  • 2023: Projected win total was 8.2 games and Tennessee went 8-4 in the regular season, dropping their two likeliest losses (Georgia and Alabama), splitting toss-up games against Florida (48.3% preseason chance of winning), Texas A&M (68.7%), Kentucky (53.2%) and Missouri (65.9%) and sweeping their projected likeliest wins
The FPI has Tennessee at No. 9 going into the 2024 season. Its analytics put the projected win total for the Vols at 8.6 games. Tennessee’s chances of winning the SEC are just 5.5% per the FPI, but it gives the Vols a 36.9% chance of making the Playoff.
 
#9
#9

Surprisingly close

Here is the FPI’s recent track record of preseason projections for the Vols:

  • 2018: Gave Tennessee a better than 50% chance of winning five games and the Vols went 5-7 (the Auburn upset and Vanderbilt loss were the lone “misses” from the preseason projection).
  • 2019: Projected win total for Tennessee was 7.6 and the Vols had a better than 50% chance of winning in nine games – they won seven in the regular season even after losing to Georgia State and BYU
  • 2020: Predicted the Vols would go 4-6 after the move to the SEC-only schedule, and they went 3-7
  • 2021: Projected win total was 6.6 – the Vols won seven games, including two they were given around a 40% chance of winning.
  • 2022: Projected win total was just 7.1 games and Tennessee won 10 games, notching victories against Pittsburgh (37.3% win chance in preseason), LSU (32.3%) and Alabama (11.9%) and climbing from a No. 25 preseason ranking to the No. 5 spot to end it.
  • 2023: Projected win total was 8.2 games and Tennessee went 8-4 in the regular season, dropping their two likeliest losses (Georgia and Alabama), splitting toss-up games against Florida (48.3% preseason chance of winning), Texas A&M (68.7%), Kentucky (53.2%) and Missouri (65.9%) and sweeping their projected likeliest wins
The FPI has Tennessee at No. 9 going into the 2024 season. Its analytics put the projected win total for the Vols at 8.6 games. Tennessee’s chances of winning the SEC are just 5.5% per the FPI, but it gives the Vols a 36.9% chance of making the Playoff.
TL; read all of it! Posi Bomb dropped at the end!
 
#10
#10
We face 19 of the Top 100 players per ESPN. I am shocked Florida didn't have anyone. figured at least Mertz would be on there.

Total Per team, individual ranking and position.

Chattanooga:
NC State: 2, #98 CB, #48 WR,
Kent State:
Oklahoma: 3, #74 WR, #73 S, #32 LB,
Arkansas: 1, #76 DE,
Florida:
Bama: 4, #99 Safety, #68 OL, #60 LB, #31 OL,
Kentucky: 2, #84 CB, #21 DT,
Mississippi State:
UGA: 7, #82 RB, #67 LB, #30 DE, #22 QB, #17 OL, #10 S, #7 QB,
UTEP:
Vandy:

Ours: #92, Nico. #1 Pearce.

 
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