Games of Interest Week 12 and 13 for UT Playoff Chances

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MSCE09

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#1
Week 12

Illinois (7-3) @ 3 Michigan (10-0)
2 Ohio State (10-0) @ Maryland (6-4)
(look ahead game would be awesome if one pulled the upset)

4 TCU (10-0) @ Baylor (6-4)
(probably not a lot of hope for Baylor but stranger upsets have happened)
24 Oklahoma State (7-3) @ Oklahoma (5-5)
(OKSt winning out and going to the BigXII seems like the best case, closes game TCU played all season, 3 loss BigXII champ would be nice, see BigXII Armageddon scenario below though)

Georgia Tech (4-6) @ 13 UNC (9-1)
Miami (5-5) @ 9 Clemson (9-1)
(a 2 loss ACC champion would be great)

7 USC (9-1) @ 16 UCLA (8-2) (UCLA win in the battle of LA should kill the PAC12's playoff hopes)
10 Utah (8-2) @ 12 Oregon (8-2) (probably doesn't matter but the least sexy PAC12 team Utah somehow winning the PAC12 with a bad loss to Florida would be the best case scenario for the us in the PAC12)

UAB (5-5) @ 6 LSU (8-2) (lol, why not)

if it comes down to SOS beauty contest...
Boston College (3-7) @ 18 Notre Dame (7-3) (Notre Dame is/could be a 1-loss Ohio State and USC's 2nd best win. Would be awesome if they could end unranked.)
11 Penn State (8-2) @ Rutgers (4-6) (Upset lowers Ohio State/Michigan Loser SOS, would be nice to see Penn State out of the top 10)
14 Ole Miss (8-2) @ Arkansas (5-5) (Upset hurts LSU's case)
Florida (6-4) @ Vanderbilt (4-6) (Would love to see Florida crack the top 25 to end the season if it comes down to a 1-loss beauty contest)

Week 13
18 Notre Dame (7-3) @ 7 USC (9-1)
3 Michigan (10-0) @ 2 Ohio State (10-0) (if they both win next week, I think our chances of Michigan falling to 5 than Ohio State falling to 5. Hope who ever wins, does so by 3 scores)

Iowa State (4-6) @ 4 TCU (10-0)
South Carolina (6-4) @ 9 Clemson (9-1)
NC State (7-3) @ 13 UNC (9-1)
Texas A&M (3-7) @ 6 LSU (8-2)

if it comes down to SOS beauty contest...
Mississippi State (6-4) @ 14 Ole Miss (8-2) (Root for the Pirate to further hurt one of LSU's signature wins and an opponent that we do not share)
16 UCLA (8-2) @ Cal (3-7) (Not happening but we can dream)
Auburn (4-6) @ 9 Alabama (8-2) (our signature win needs to keep looking good)
Florida (6-4) @ 20 Florida State (7-3) (If FSU finishes unranked makes LSU's other loss look worse, If we can somehow get Florida ranked to end the season will help our SOS)
Michigan State (5-5) @ 11 Penn State (8-2) (same as the other week, lowering Penn State's ranking makes the 1 loss Mich/OSU loser look worse)

A reminder that the BigXII Sucks... Our rooting interest is for the most mediocre 2nd place team possible to be in the championship game. This is a possible scenario for 2nd place.
If Baylor or Iowa State fails to beat TCU: Up to a 6 way tie for 2nd in BigXII at 7-5 could happen and all but nukes TCU's SOS and renders the BigXII championship almost meaningless
Week 12
Kansas State (7-3) @ West Virginia (4-6)
Texas (6-4)
@ Kansas (6-4)
Texas Tech (5-5) @ Iowa State (4-6)
Oklahoma State (7-3) @ Oklahoma (5-5)
and Week 13
Baylor (6-4) @ Texas (6-4)
Kansas (6-4) @ Kansas State (7-3)
Oklahoma (5-5) @ Texas Tech (5-5) (either works)
West Virginia (4-6) @ Oklahoma State (7-3)

Would end up with Kansas State, Texas, Baylor, Kansas, Oklahoma State and winner of Oklahoma/Texas Tech all tied for 2nd at 7-5.
 

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