General thoughts on 2010

#1

DownNDirty

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#1
It seems every year when the season ends I'm ready for it to be over. But by about, oh, now, I'm ready for racing again. Ready for it but know I have to wait the entire month of January which is my least favorite month in all of sports. I mean I like NCAA basketball but its just not the same without football and racing. So I'm about to enter into that stretch of the year where I really start getting amped up for Daytona more and more. At least they have the NASCAR Irwindale All Star North/South/East/West deal the last weekend of January.

So why not pass some of the time by looking ahead at the 2010 campaign and having some friendly discussion about what's going on here in the offseason and what might happen next year.

Sprint Cup

I guess the biggest talking point next year will be who if anyone can unseat Jimmie Johnson. Every year I think someone will do it and yet every year no one can answer the challenge once it gets Chase time. As long as JJ/Knaus are together they are going to be hard to beat. Bad luck will eventually have to catch up with them at some point with a broken engine and a couple of crashes in the Chase to keep them from winning but will it be this year?

I don't really care for JJ/Knaus much but I'm also in the mindset that what they are doing is pretty remarkable. Rick Hendrick can spout off all he wants to about all teams sharing notes and no teams hiding anything from the other teams but that 48 team has to be doing something that the other Hendrick cars aren't. Chad has found some secret he's not sharing. He may share most of his information but there is something with that 48 car that just makes it stand out from the crowd. If they are able to cheat somehow and not get caught more power to them with NASCAR's tight rule procedures.

Now that we are into another full season with the COT will the racing improve any more at all? I honestly doubt it will get much better until they tweak the car just a little bit. When Dale Jarrett, Rusty Wallace, DW, Petree, McReynolds, current crew chiefs, drivers, and all of these NASCAR writers weekly call for these minor tweaks maybe just maybe NASCAR will implement some of them in 2011. I think they are going to see how all of these changes work on the Nationwide COT first. Everything that these guys have been clamoring for as far as changes to the COT will be addressed with the Nationwide COT. Those may be the most intriguing races of the year and be the biggest indicator of whether NASCAR will change the Cup car in 2011.

With their being little changes to the rules or to the COT next year I'm of the opinion that the competition should be tighter next year. There's only so much they can do with the cars right now that I think other teams are catching on to what makes these cars go. I see Gibbs, MWR, Childress, Roush, and Petty all being better next year. RCR really came on towards the end of last year with their new technology cars as well as MWR. Roush has to bounce back and be strong and Petty switching to Ford power will make that team much stronger going into next season.

2010 is likely the most pivotal season for Dale Jr in his Cup career as well. If things don't turn around next year it may get pretty ugly on that front. I don't think Hendrick would just dump him or anything but he needs to run well next season or its just going to get worse.

How many teams from last year may shut down or scale way back next year? I'm sad to see that Robby Gordon may only be in 8 races due to lack of funding. RCR is probably going to have to drop the 07 car after Daytona. McMurray gets the 1 ride with Bass Pro Shops but for how many races? Will Earnhardt/Ganassi pull the plug on this team after Bass Pro Shops fulfills their contracted races? Hall of Fame racing and the 96 looks to be history.

Nationwide

The biggest question will have to be how will the Nationwide COT work out this year in its select races? Seems NASCAR is using this car and taking all of the info the Cup guys want for the Cup COT and plugging it into this one. That about has to be the biggest story of 2010. Well, and she who shall not be named. My father-in-law was down in Daytona testing yesterday for ARCA and he said there was a posse of bodyguards escorting her everywhere she went. Said he thought the media coverage was crazy for Dario at Dega a couple of years ago but this is insanity.

How many start and parks will be in Nationwide next year? Will Marty Reid ever have the hammer dropped on him for his utter loathing of the start and park cars?

Another big story will be the drivers going for the Championship and how many Cup guys will run full Nationwide schedules next year. Carl Edwards, Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, and Clint Bowyer may all be full time next season.

RCR takes the Zaxby's money of John Wes Townley to field a car for him for 2010. How many times will he crash out? I'd venture to bet the over/under would be 12-14 judging from last year.

Rusty partnering with Gibbs should actually make Stevie boy and Brendan both pretty competitive next year. It would be good to see a couple of Nationwide only guys do well next season against the Cup onslaught. This team along with Braun may both be able to hold their own from time to time. Braun may have 4-5 full time teams depending on sponsorship.

Trucks

Could 2010 be an up year for the trucks? Last year IMO was a pretty down year with a huge drop off in quality of trucks through the field. There were 4-5 pretty elite trucks, another 10 or so decent trucks, and the rest were really just basically junk. This coming year we will have some more good trucks enter the mix with RCR fielding two full time entries - one for his grandson Austin Dillon. The new team of Turner Motorsports will get help from KHI and Ricky Carmichael will be full time and James Buscher will be a part time truck for the team. Justin Lofton moving up from ARCA into a full time deal in a new truck should be pretty competitive. Mario Gosselin's team will improve with full sponsorship for 2010 and he even had a couple of pretty decent runs last year. Kyle Busch's new team will have 2 full time entries and maybe 3 if a sponsor could be found for Johnny Benson (which I hope comes to such a good guy). Even though Busch left Billy Ballew he's not giving up and will still have one full time truck with Aric Almirola and maybe a second truck as well with Ted Musgrave as the driver. Bill Venturini may run Alli Owens with her sponsor for about half of the truck races along with the full ARCA schedule. And Parker Klingermann may run about half the Truck schedule under the Brad Keselowski Racing banner.

All of these improvements will have to help the truck fields next year. However, there are a few teams that may shut down if sponsors aren't found including HT Racing with David Starr, the 81 ride for Randy Moss Motorsports, and Stacey Compton's Wyler Racing 60 truck.

All in all I'd say the trucks are upgrading for next season and should have better fields overall than they did last year. If some of these second or third teams do happen then it will definitely make the 2010 truck field much stouter than last year.
 
#2
#2
Great read as always.

Also, what are your thoughts on the announcement today of the Nationwide going to Road America in place of the June 19th Milwaukee Mile date?
 
#3
#3
I liked the tradition of Milwaukee and its a shame to see it go as was with some other tracks like Nazareth, South Boston, and Myrtle Beach. However, replacing this with Road America is a good move IMO. I like the road courses and Road America should definitely be an interesting addition to the Natiowide schedule. It will probably be an upgrade from Milwaukee. Milwaukee was built for Indy Cars and they used to have some great racing there but they haven't ever had that many great Nationwide/Truck races there so I'm looking forward to Road America on that front.
 
#4
#4
Just wondering out loud here... Am I the only one out there who looks at the Winston Cup era and the Sprint Cup era differently when it comes to championships? I know the general consensus is that it's all still the "modern era" of Nascar, but come on, they are totally different in the way the championship points are awarded in the end.
 
#5
#5
I don't really care for JJ/Knaus much but I'm also in the mindset that what they are doing is pretty remarkable. Rick Hendrick can spout off all he wants to about all teams sharing notes and no teams hiding anything from the other teams but that 48 team has to be doing something that the other Hendrick cars aren't. Chad has found some secret he's not sharing. He may share most of his information but there is something with that 48 car that just makes it stand out from the crowd. If they are able to cheat somehow and not get caught more power to them with NASCAR's tight rule procedures.

I know in the past Gordon and Johnson have stated that they cannot drive each others setup. That may be why the other teams can't take advantage of whatever is working for the 48 team. IDK, I think if I were Jeff Gordon I would try adjusting my driving style to Jimmie's setup rather that adjusting the setup to his driving style. If I'm not mistaken, Mark martin drives a setup closer to what Jimmie likes and that may be why he had such a great year if he could take advantage of some of the notes.


2010 is likely the most pivotal season for Dale Jr in his Cup career as well. If things don't turn around next year it may get pretty ugly on that front. I don't think Hendrick would just dump him or anything but he needs to run well next season or its just going to get worse.

Dale is running out of time to prove he can be competitive. I like the guy and I hope he can find a way to win races. I think Hendrick would keep Jr. as long as he remains popular because his name brings in more money than other guys bring in for winning. The problem he has to worry about is becoming the next Kyle Petty and eventually his fan base will find other drivers to pull for. I'm sure many of them have already jumped off his bandwagon.
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#6
#6
Will HMS have 3 top 5's or in worst case scenarios 3 top 10's in 2010? Is HMS the best team in the Sprint Cup? What happens if Dale Earnhardt Jr. doesn't finish in the top 12 in 2010? I know HMS has the most popular driver on the team but how long will Jr keep that title? How will the Rousch team fare in 2010? Will Stewart Haas have 3 cars on the team in 2010 and how many of the drivers will make the CHASE?
Will Joe Gibbs have 2 or 3 of his drivers in the CHASE?
 
#7
#7
Will HMS have 3 top 5's or in worst case scenarios 3 top 10's in 2010? Is HMS the best team in the Sprint Cup? What happens if Dale Earnhardt Jr. doesn't finish in the top 12 in 2010? I know HMS has the most popular driver on the team but how long will Jr keep that title? How will the Rousch team fare in 2010? Will Stewart Haas have 3 cars on the team in 2010 and how many of the drivers will make the CHASE?
Will Joe Gibbs have 2 or 3 of his drivers in the CHASE?

I think Gibbs will have 2 in the chase and Logano will be better his sophomore year. I also think Rousch will be better and Hendrick will be good but less dominant than last year. I don't know what to think about Jr., he had a lot of bad luck last year but a lot of times he created his own bad luck by running in the back. I don't think Stewart Haas will run a third car until 2011 since Harvick and Kahne will be available then. It would be a better year for free agents. I could see Kahne replacing Mark Martin and Harvick at Haas in 2011. Kahne has that Hendrick type clean image and Harvick and Stewart are tight.
 
#8
#8
I liked the tradition of Milwaukee and its a shame to see it go as was with some other tracks like Nazareth, South Boston, and Myrtle Beach. However, replacing this with Road America is a good move IMO. I like the road courses and Road America should definitely be an interesting addition to the Natiowide schedule. It will probably be an upgrade from Milwaukee. Milwaukee was built for Indy Cars and they used to have some great racing there but they haven't ever had that many great Nationwide/Truck races there so I'm looking forward to Road America on that front.

Road America is one of the top 3 road courses in the country, and should pose a challenge to the drivers. I find it interesting NASCAR going to the longest venue in road courses when they shortened up both Sears Point and Watkins Glen.
 
#9
#9
I find it harder and harder to get excited when the season comes back around each year.
 
#10
#10
Road America is one of the top 3 road courses in the country, and should pose a challenge to the drivers. I find it interesting NASCAR going to the longest venue in road courses when they shortened up both Sears Point and Watkins Glen.

no kidding. a 4 mile circuit isn't built for stock cars. i wonder what lap times are going to be...2 minutes? more?
 
#12
#12
Jr. has definitely got to get it going this year....I'm not going to jump ship and I know he is never going to be like his Daddy, which is why I like him, but I want him to win.....He just ran poor all year and had a lot of bad luck this year.....Thats part of racing, he has to learn how to bounce back
 
#13
#13
I too am looking forward to Daytona, but after that race it kinda goes downhill for me. The 1.5 mile tracks bore me to sleep and the short tracks aint what they used to be especially Bristol. I generally pull for the chevy teams leaning towards Stewart/Haus racing. As far as jimmie johnson goes, i feel he and Knaus just know the COT better than any team. They just know what adjustments need to be made and when to make them. Dale Jr. is a mystery to me, i mean he is with the best team in the history of nascar and still cant be competitive. He had a better record with DEI when they were in their early years, just doesnt make sense. This definately is a huge year for him and i think he knows it, i wish him all the luck in the world. As far as nascar in general i think they need to cut back on a bunch of rules and let the drivers race instead of worrying about breaking a rule and suffer the penalty. I am still a big fan though and will be for some time. Go TONY STEWART #14
 
#14
#14
I find it harder and harder to get excited when the season comes back around each year.
As do I. I generally lose interest after the second Bristol race, basically the beginning of football season. I've found that my interest overall has become less and less every year for the past 5 or 6 years.
 
#15
#15
I guess the biggest talking point next year will be who if anyone can unseat Jimmie Johnson. Every year I think someone will do it and yet every year no one can answer the challenge once it gets Chase time. As long as JJ/Knaus are together they are going to be hard to beat. Bad luck will eventually have to catch up with them at some point with a broken engine and a couple of crashes in the Chase to keep them from winning but will it be this year?

I don't really care for JJ/Knaus much but I'm also in the mindset that what they are doing is pretty remarkable. Rick Hendrick can spout off all he wants to about all teams sharing notes and no teams hiding anything from the other teams but that 48 team has to be doing something that the other Hendrick cars aren't. Chad has found some secret he's not sharing. He may share most of his information but there is something with that 48 car that just makes it stand out from the crowd. If they are able to cheat somehow and not get caught more power to them with NASCAR's tight rule procedures.
They have obviously found something, but I've also come to the realization that JJ is the greatest driver of this era. It's a shame really that a driver as accomplished as JJ is overshadowed on his own team by a driver who can't even consistently run in the top 15.

2010 is likely the most pivotal season for Dale Jr in his Cup career as well. If things don't turn around next year it may get pretty ugly on that front. I don't think Hendrick would just dump him or anything but he needs to run well next season or its just going to get worse.
Hendrick won't do anything with Jr as long as he is the money machine that he is right now.
 
#16
#16
Jimmie "eyebrows" Johnson winning the championship every year kills it for me, maybe 2010 is the year someone breaks the string, preferably Mark Martin (my fav) considering i have been following him since 1989.
 
#17
#17
Jimmie "eyebrows" Johnson winning the championship every year kills it for me, maybe 2010 is the year someone breaks the string, preferably Mark Martin (my fav) considering i have been following him since 1989.
I couldn't stand JJ at first. I'm still not a fan, but I've accepted that he is one of the best in the history of Nascar, and that we are witnessing history being made. If the 48 team stays together JJ has a real shot at 8/9 championships. I think he's also a serious threat to catch David Pearson's 105 wins. Of course I thought the same thing about Gordon at one time.
 

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