brandonco05
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Mar 6, 2009
- Messages
- 2,793
- Likes
- 207
From Scout
Even with a relatively favorable schedule, and whats shaping up to be another sub-par year for the SEC West (dont believe the rebound hype), Alabama is destined for a step back in 2009; at least in terms of wins/losses. And this in a year many experts had predicted the Tide would compete for an SEC/National title.
Moreover, it can be attributed directly to a purposeful choice made by Head Coach Nick Saban last year: Greg McElroy threw only 11 pass attempts.
And in that decision, the fate of Alabamas 2009 season was sealed.
Who is Greg McElroy, you ask? Exactly. In just five months, McElroy is the odds on favorite to be under center as the Tide line up across from the Hokies of Virginia Tech. Unfortunately for Alabama, the junior-to-be has a grand total of only 20 pass attempts under his CFB belt.
AN UNEXPECTED RUN
One cant fault Saban completely. Much like the Major League Baseball team in a playoff hunt that makes a short-sighted trade for a chance to win today, Alabamas top man unexpectedly found his team deep in the season with a shot at the brass ring.
His supporters argue that with that as a baseline, and with only one year under Sabans belt, not to mention a brand new Offensive Coordinator, senior QB John Parker Wilson needed as many game day snaps as possible.
But we still end up at the same number: 11.
Certainly against rent-a-wins/blow-outs like Western Kentucky (41-7), Arkansas (49-14), Tennessee (29-9), Arkansas State (35-0), MSU (32-7), and Auburn (36-0), Saban could have found a few more opportunities to get his 2009 QB some game time experience. Especially if bama was a #1 team in America (as many pollsters believed), then against these teams, with these scores, there should have been ample time to play McElroy and prepare for 2009.
Yet Saban elected instead to jockey it out with JP, as hes done before. Remember 2003? Then the LSU HC, Saban rode senior Matt Mauck all the way to the NC, with backup Marcus Randall rarely seeing any grass. Yet even Randall got ~4 times the number of passing attempts McElroy got.
So what happened to the Tigers in 2004? Not surprisingly, the offense sputtered and the team paid the price, losing 2 more games than the previous year, including both of their tough road games where experience (or lack thereof) is usually key.
JUST HOW IMPORTANT IS AN EXPERIENCED QB
So you still think Alabama has a real chance to win the National Championship this season? Good on ya, skipper. But remembering that the learning curve in the SEC is even steeper than most conferences particularly for QBs, put down the Kool Aid and spend ten seconds on this list of signal callers that raised the crystal football over their heads this decade:
2008 Tebow Jr.
2007 Flynn Sr.
2006 Leak Sr.
2005 Young Jr.
2004 Leinart Jr.
2003 Mauck Sr.
2002 Krenzel Jr.
2001 Dorsey Jr.
2000 Heupel Sr.
Of that list, only one (Krenzel) entered his championship winning season with a dearth of experience comparable to McElroy. As if those odds werent bad enough, in 2001 Krenzel actually started in the road win against Michigan and threw almost four times as many passes (41) then McElroy threw in 2008.
11.
By the way, the other four juniors? All Heisman winners or runners up. Im sure McElroys a nice enough young man, but I wouldnt exactly be buying his plane ticket for NYC just yet.