Here are the only 2 scenarios that could result in UT being in the SECCG

#1
TrueOrange

TrueOrange

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#1
And it’s a very far stretch to begin with:

Scenario 1: - THIS SCENARIO IS NO LONGER POSSIBLE WITH THE FLORIDA UPSET OF OLE MISS. - This requires a 4-team tie with Georgia, Texas, Ole Miss, and TN all at 2-conference losses

That would require:

4-6 Kentucky beating 9-1 Texas
4-6 Auburn beating 9-2 A&M
Texas beating A&M
5-5 Oklahoma or 4-6 Auburn beating Alabama
Ole Miss beating BOTH Florida AND Miss State
And Tennessee beating Vanderbilt

The team would be the second spot participant in the conference championship (as a 4-way tie would be created between Georgia, Texas, Tennessee, and Ole Miss at 6-2, with the tiebreaker being based on the record vs common conference opponents Kentucky, Florida, and Mississippi State, with Georgia and Tennessee both being (3-0) against them while Ole Miss and Texas would now be (2-1), (having each lost to Kentucky in that scenario). Georgia's head-to-head victory over Tennessee would put Georgia in the top spot of the conference championship and Tennessee in the second spot. The result would be them playing Georgia (again)...In Atlanta, GA.


Scenario 2: This involves just every single conference game over the next two weeks.

It would require:

4-6 Auburn beating 9-2 A&M
5-5 Florida beating 8-2 Ole Miss
6-4 Vanderbilt beating 6-4 LSU
2-8 Mississippi State beating 7-3 Missouri
5-5 Oklahoma beating 8-2 Alabama
4-6 Kentucky beating 9-1 Texas

Followed by:
3-8 Mississippi State beating 8-3 Ole Miss
8-3 Alabama beating 5-6 Auburn
6-5 Oklahoma beatinf 6-5 LSU
6-5 Arkansas beating 7-4 Missouri
8-3 Texas A&M beating 9-2 Texas
And 9-2 Tennessee beating 7-4 Vanderbilt

This absolute storm would result in a three-team tie between Georgia, Texas A&M, and Tennessee for the spots in the SEC Championship Game. As the only common opponents the three share are Florida and Mississippi State (both of whom each team beat), it would go to conference opponent strength of schedules. Thanks to this exact series of results, Georgia's and Tennessee's conference opponent strength of schedules would actually shoot up to 0.4688 on the year whereas A&M's would now sit at 0.4375.

This would eliminate A&M, with Georgia's head-to-head victory over Tennessee would once again put Georgia in the top spot of the conference championship and Tennessee in the second spot.The result would be them playing Georgia (again)...In Atlanta, GA.
 
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#3
#3
TrueOrange said:
And it’s a very far stretch to begin with:

Scenario 1: This requires a 4-team tie with Georgia, Texas, Ole Miss, and TN all at 2-conference losses

That would require:

4-6 Kentucky beating 9-1 Texas
4-6 Auburn beating 9-2 A&M
Texas beating A&M
5-5 Oklahoma or 4-6 Auburn beating Alabama
Ole Miss beating BOTH Florida AND Miss State
And Tennessee beating Vanderbilt

The team would be the second spot participant in the conference championship (as a 4-way tie would be created between Georgia, Texas, Tennessee, and Ole Miss at 6-2, with the tiebreaker being based on the record vs common conference opponents Kentucky, Florida, and Mississippi State, with Georgia and Tennessee both being (3-0) against them while Ole Miss and Texas would now be (2-1), (having each lost to Kentucky in that scenario). Georgia's head-to-head victory over Tennessee would put Georgia in the top spot of the conference championship and Tennessee in the second spot. The result would be them playing Georgia (again)...In Atlanta, GA.


Scenario 2: This involves just every single conference game over the next two weeks.

It would require:

4-6 Auburn beating 9-2 A&M
5-5 Florida beating 8-2 Ole Miss
6-4 Vanderbilt beating 6-4 LSU
2-8 Mississippi State beating 7-3 Missouri
5-5 Oklahoma beating 8-2 Alabama
4-6 Kentucky beating 9-1 Texas

Followed by:
3-8 Mississippi State beating 8-3 Ole Miss
8-3 Alabama beating 5-6 Auburn
6-5 Oklahoma beatinf 6-5 LSU
6-5 Arkansas beating 7-4 Missouri
8-3 Texas A&M beating 9-2 Texas
And 9-2 Tennessee beating 7-4 Vanderbilt

This absolute storm would result in a three-team tie between Georgia, Texas A&M, and Tennessee for the spots in the SEC Championship Game. As the only common opponents the three share are Florida and Mississippi State (both of whom each team beat), it would go to conference opponent strength of schedules. Thanks to this exact series of results, Georgia's and Tennessee's conference opponent strength of schedules would actually shoot up to 0.4688 on the year whereas A&M's would now sit at 0.4375.

This would eliminate A&M, with Georgia's head-to-head victory over Tennessee would once again put Georgia in the top spot of the conference championship and Tennessee in the second spot.The result would be them playing Georgia (again)...In Atlanta, GA.
Click to expand...
WE DO NOT WANT TO MAKE ATLANTA!!!!!
 
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#8
#8
VFL-82-JP said:
YES WE DO


Stop planning to lose. Play to win.

Go Vols!
Click to expand...
There is a solid reason Lane said a few coaches do not want to make it to Atlanta. Put your NC hopes on one game that if you win you then have to win 3 more. If the SEC wants to see our opponent in the playoffs instead of us " holding offense" 1000 times
 
#9
#9
Golfprovol said:
And if we get beat then we are out of the playoffs......play the long game, not the short term instant gratification one
Click to expand...

I don't think the SEC championship game loser gets left out of the playoffs, unless it is a 20+ point blowout or a key player gets injured in the game. They will be slotted as the number two SEC team, regardless.
 
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#11
#11
Golfprovol said:
There is a solid reason Lane said a few coaches do not want to make it to Atlanta. Put your NC hopes on one game that if you win you then have to win 3 more. If the SEC wants to see our opponent in the playoffs instead of us " holding offense" 1000 times
Click to expand...
Lane Kiffin is a loser.

You're quoting a loser.

Play to win. Everything. Win in Atlanta, and get a first round bye.

Go Vols!
 
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#12
#12
Golfprovol said:
There is a solid reason Lane said a few coaches do not want to make it to Atlanta. Put your NC hopes on one game that if you win you then have to win 3 more. If the SEC wants to see our opponent in the playoffs instead of us " holding offense" 1000 times
Click to expand...
Who are the few other coaches?
 
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#14
#14
TrueOrange said:
And it’s a very far stretch to begin with:

Scenario 1: This requires a 4-team tie with Georgia, Texas, Ole Miss, and TN all at 2-conference losses

That would require:

4-6 Kentucky beating 9-1 Texas
4-6 Auburn beating 9-2 A&M
Texas beating A&M
5-5 Oklahoma or 4-6 Auburn beating Alabama
Ole Miss beating BOTH Florida AND Miss State
And Tennessee beating Vanderbilt

The team would be the second spot participant in the conference championship (as a 4-way tie would be created between Georgia, Texas, Tennessee, and Ole Miss at 6-2, with the tiebreaker being based on the record vs common conference opponents Kentucky, Florida, and Mississippi State, with Georgia and Tennessee both being (3-0) against them while Ole Miss and Texas would now be (2-1), (having each lost to Kentucky in that scenario). Georgia's head-to-head victory over Tennessee would put Georgia in the top spot of the conference championship and Tennessee in the second spot. The result would be them playing Georgia (again)...In Atlanta, GA.


Scenario 2: This involves just every single conference game over the next two weeks.

It would require:

4-6 Auburn beating 9-2 A&M
5-5 Florida beating 8-2 Ole Miss
6-4 Vanderbilt beating 6-4 LSU
2-8 Mississippi State beating 7-3 Missouri
5-5 Oklahoma beating 8-2 Alabama
4-6 Kentucky beating 9-1 Texas

Followed by:
3-8 Mississippi State beating 8-3 Ole Miss
8-3 Alabama beating 5-6 Auburn
6-5 Oklahoma beatinf 6-5 LSU
6-5 Arkansas beating 7-4 Missouri
8-3 Texas A&M beating 9-2 Texas
And 9-2 Tennessee beating 7-4 Vanderbilt

This absolute storm would result in a three-team tie between Georgia, Texas A&M, and Tennessee for the spots in the SEC Championship Game. As the only common opponents the three share are Florida and Mississippi State (both of whom each team beat), it would go to conference opponent strength of schedules. Thanks to this exact series of results, Georgia's and Tennessee's conference opponent strength of schedules would actually shoot up to 0.4688 on the year whereas A&M's would now sit at 0.4375.

This would eliminate A&M, with Georgia's head-to-head victory over Tennessee would once again put Georgia in the top spot of the conference championship and Tennessee in the second spot.The result would be them playing Georgia (again)...In Atlanta, GA.
Click to expand...
What happens is ole miss loses today and we win out?
 
#24
#24
VFL-82-JP said:
Remember it well.

I remember 1998, too.

Do you?

Remember Syracuse that year? Florida? Arkansas?

You don't plan to lose. You play to win.

Go Vols!
Click to expand...
Lost the CG and ended up in the citrus bowl instead of NC game. Different time, different system, but same principle.

It is not playing to lose, open your mind. You don't see the forest for the trees. It is taking the easiest path to the overall goal.

2022 baseball, remember?
 
#25
#25
Golfprovol said:
Lost the CG and ended up in the citrus bowl instead of NC game. Different time, different system, but same principle.

It is not playing to lose, open your mind. You don't see the forest for the trees. It is taking the easiest path to the overall goal.

2022 baseball, remember?
Click to expand...
Won the SEC championship against Miss St, and then won the National Title vs FSU.

It's playing to win. Stop planning to lose. Take the most exciting path to EVERY goal.

Go Vols!
 
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