Here's the 3-10-2015 ESPN Bracketology

#3
#3
Wow, can SC have an easier bracket, if it turns out this way? They have a clear path to Tampa, I don't see anyone competing with them, except Baylor and that is a stretch.
 
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#4
#4
Still a little confused as to why we aren't in Marylands bracket. Doesn't it make sense for the highest #2 seed to be in the same bracket as the lowest #1 seed? Sorry if this question has already been asked and answered
 
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#6
#6
Wow, can SC have an easier bracket, if it turns out this way? They have a clear path to Tampa, I don't see anyone competing with them, except Baylor and that is a stretch.

They have Rutgers, Princeton, Stanford and Miami in the top part of their bracket...all solid teams.

The bottom has Baylor, Duke (who nearly beat them), and South Florida (who gave UConn their toughest game outside of Stanford loss).

I see nothing easy with this bracket. All in all, I think that Creme has the brackets pretty evenly balanced, with the exception of UConn's (which is due more to the fact that they are currently head and shoulders above everyone else).
 
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#7
#7
Has anybody ever checked Creme's bracketology numbers over the years to see how far off (or how close) his predictions are to what the selection committee does? Is he right 10% of the time? 25%? 50%? Anybody got any actual numbers? (I don't).
 
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#8
#8
Kind of stupid for the womens teams to have to wait so long for the pairings --
 
#9
#9
Has anybody ever checked Creme's bracketology numbers over the years to see how far off (or how close) his predictions are to what the selection committee does? Is he right 10% of the time? 25%? 50%? Anybody got any actual numbers? (I don't).

If memory serves me right, he isn't very accurate about the pairings, so there is no telling what the actual pairings will be. It is fun to look at his bracket and kinda speculate about all of it. Does make for some interesting forum discussions
 
#10
#10
Still a little confused as to why we aren't in Marylands bracket. Doesn't it make sense for the highest #2 seed to be in the same bracket as the lowest #1 seed? Sorry if this question has already been asked and answered

Neither the men's or women's bracket is based on the S-curve anymore. Geographic placement trumps so the top 2 seed goes to the region closest to their campus...not the one opposite the worst one seed.

If they follow the roll out pattern of the mens bracket and show the UConn-Albany regional first several teams will know in the first 10 minutes where they are headed including us.

With an eye towards next year I'll be anxious to see what they do with the ND-SC situation in Greensboro. That could play out the same next year with Tennessee-UK and the Lexington regional.
 
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#11
#11
If memory serves me right, he isn't very accurate about the pairings, so there is no telling what the actual pairings will be. It is fun to look at his bracket and kinda speculate about all of it. Does make for some interesting forum discussions

Thanks for the reply. I, too, don't think he is very accurate on the pairings. But I wonder if he is accurate on where a team is sent or their seed?
 
#12
#12
Looks like he is sticking with us as a number two seed in the Greensboro region with Notre Dame. Would love to have been with Maryland but this is probably the second choice.
 
#16
#16
The NCAA committeee probably will. But, Ucon gains nothing this year by beating a injury decimated Lady Vols basketball team. They have everything to lose, reputation wise, by being upset by the Lady Vols.
 
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#17
#17
I think Creme's brackets are reasonably fair, all things considered. We should be in Maryland's bracket--but the geographic necessity thing, which doesn't really boost attendance much, I don't think--but if that's not possible than ND would be most appropriate. There is a general balance of strength--with UConn perhaps having an easier bracket than the others, but as Amb says, that may be because they are so good.
 
#18
#18
The only questions this year is how they place N Dame and SC, and how they rank Tenn and Baylor. IMO opinion, ND is the second best team but a case could be made for SC. The same for Baylor and Tenn. IMO Baylor will be put above Tenn on the curve.

If SC goes to Greensboro, Tenn goes to Albany. If Notre Dame goes to Greensboro, so does Tenn. As the top 2 seed, Baylor would go to OKC in either case. With SC in Greensboro Tenn can't go there so they go to the next closest site which is Albany. The question is does the committee want ND to represent the ACC in greensboro, since if they go there, no other 2-4 ACC school can be sited there. If they put SC in Greensboro they can put either Duke or UNC or Fla St. there.

It's all up to how the committee views the ND/SC question and in my experience they can come with a story to rationalize anything they want. Even if ND is the second best 1 seed, sending ND to Greensboro (200 miles closer than OKC) and SC to OKC involves more overall travel.

If Tenn is going to Albany, ESPN will save that region. If they show the Albany region first it's because Fla St is assigned there. Then it's almost certain that Tenn goes to Greensboro.
 
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#19
#19
I don't think the geography consideration is for boosting attendance as much as it is for lowering travel costs of the teams. Not sure, just my opinion.
 
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#20
#20
Linkster...can you provide your reasoning as to why you think they will put Baylor ahead of Tenn on the S-curve? Just interested to hear what you think.
 
#21
#21
I don't think we get a one seed with that poor second half showing against SC. Really we played poorly both halves but SC only played poorly one half.
 
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#22
#22
Linkster...can you provide your reasoning as to why you think they will put Baylor ahead of Tenn on the S-curve? Just interested to hear what you think.

I'm not saying these are my opinions or even good reasons but:

1)Baylor is a dual champion of a P5 conference.
2)Baylor has 3 losses to Tenn's 5 - Yes, tenn played a tougher schedule.
3) The committee wants Baylor in OKC
4) Tenn has lost their leading scorer and rebounder

I think a very good case could be made for Tenn but the loss of Harrison and the desire to put Baylor in OKC will prevail.
 
#23
#23
This is the thread that we would include all of our responses from previous years. First it is a difficult task with all the crazy concerns that are included followed by the tourney upsets that create what we now accept as "bubble teams."

And when all is over we all know that the only mantra is "win and go forward, lose and go home." Seldom have the LVs lost to a NCAA team short of the final four that was seeded higher than they were. [/I]
 
#24
#24
I'm not saying these are my opinions or even good reasons but:

1)Baylor is a dual champion of a P5 conference.
2)Baylor has 3 losses to Tenn's 5 - Yes, tenn played a tougher schedule.
3) The committee wants Baylor in OKC
4) Tenn has lost their leading scorer and rebounder

I think a very good case could be made for Tenn but the loss of Harrison and the desire to put Baylor in OKC will prevail.

Thanks for your thoughts. I agree with the committee wanting to keep them in OKC if at all possible. But considering the release of the top 20 teams a few weeks ago and what one could read into their thinking, I'd think with Tenn playing a tougher schedule...as well as the fact that all of Tenn's losses were to ranked teams (yes Chatt wasn't ranked at the time they played and TX which was ranked when they played isn't any longer) and Baylor's loss to a totally unranked team, they will put Tenn over Baylor. Even so, it still might not make a difference if geography is what they hold to.
 
#25
#25
Thanks for your thoughts. I agree with the committee wanting to keep them in OKC if at all possible. But considering the release of the top 20 teams a few weeks ago and what one could read into their thinking, I'd think with Tenn playing a tougher schedule...as well as the fact that all of Tenn's losses were to ranked teams (yes Chatt wasn't ranked at the time they played and TX which was ranked when they played isn't any longer) and Baylor's loss to a totally unranked team, they will put Tenn over Baylor. Even so, it still might not make a difference if geography is what they hold to.

Your arguement is better from a strictly basketball viewpoint. The committee can avoid the whole question if they send ND to Greensboro which I believe is what they will do.
 
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