Homestead predictions

#1
rbroyles

rbroyles

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#1
First of all, none of the three contenders will win, and the winner will drive a Ford. It will be either Biffle or Edwards.

Of the three contenders, Harvick will finish highest, moving ahead of Johnson who only knows how to race conservatively at Homestead. Harvick will be just nosed out in points by Hamlin with the championship decided by less than 20 points.

Hamlin will have his butt kicked by his pit crew led by Mike Ford when in victory lane, he screams "I did it, I won this thing by doing my job. I'm da man". The Sprint Cup is presented in the infield care center.
 
#2
#2
I went into the chase wanting Smoke to win it but said I was pulling for any driver not named Jimmie Johnson. Harvick would be my 2nd choice. So here's my prediction.

Harvick will ride around mid pack all day snacking on hot dogs and chex mix While Denny and Jimmie keep swapping the points lead back and forth. With about 30 to go, Jimmie will get loose coming out of turn 2 and take Hamlin out along with him. Harvick will drive off into the sunset with the championship.:crossfingers::crossfingers::angel:
 
#3
#3
jhen713 said:
I went into the chase wanting Smoke to win it but said I was pulling for any driver not named Jimmie Johnson. Harvick would be my 2nd choice. So here's my prediction.

Harvick will ride around mid pack all day snacking on hot dogs and chex mix While Denny and Jimmie keep swapping the points lead back and forth. With about 30 to go, Jimmie will get loose coming out of turn 2 and take Hamlin out along with him. Harvick will drive off into the sunset with the championship.:crossfingers::crossfingers::angel:
Click to expand...

Plausible, however I see Hamlin taking out Johnson more likely.
 
#4
#4
Biffle wins Harvick finishes 3rd, Hamlin 7th, and Johnson runs well but tries strategy to out do Hamlin and finishes 11th.
 
#6
#6
Looks like Hamlin 39th and Harvick 28th will have to pass a few cars to get to the front on Sunday. Johnson will have an advantage there starting 6th and getting a better pit stall selection.

On the other hand, Hamlin won and led the most laps in this race last year after starting 38th.
 
#7
#7
Harvick fans are used to starting in the back. Hamlin won it from 38th last year, but obviously didn't have the pressure on him. Johnson will have the best view, we'll see if his car has the "raw" speed to hold off his 2 competitors.
 
#9
#9
I have got to the point where I don't give a dang about Nascar anymore. The 48 wins the championship every year so why even bother watching these long boring races. Its no wonder Nascar is losing revenue, the sport sucks!
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#10
#10
volnSC said:
I have got to the point where I don't give a dang about Nascar anymore. The 48 wins the championship every year so why even bother watching these long boring races. Its no wonder Nascar is losing revenue, the sport sucks!
Posted via VolNation Mobile
Click to expand...
Not so much the 48s fault for success, but the system sucks. The cars suck. A large portion of the season is meaningless. Brian France killed NASCAR, that's just how it is.
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#11
#11
I'm numb to it.... Ford didn't even compete until the FR9 was ready. Here's to next year, I guess.
 
#12
#12
France wants to change the Chase even more. I personally hate it. It was exciting this year, but Nascar shouldn't have to manufacture excitement. Anyway, congrats to Jimmie. Not a fan, but I have mad respect.
 
#17
#17
For anyone to beat Jimmie, they have to have over a 50 point lead going into the final race. How long will we have to wait until we have another(3rd) 7 NASCAR Championships? I'd bet that Jeff is getting tired of Jimmie winning. However, he gets a cut of the winnings. Jeff had a terrible Chase run but still end up in the top 10 who go to Vegas for presentations. He needs to step it up next season.
As far Junior, he's just an also ran anymore and only the 4th best on the HMS team.
 
#19
#19
Nascar needs to get rid of.

1)Cha$e
2)Wave-arounds
3)"Lucky Dog"
4)Brian France
5)Remove the teams out of a "box" for how they prepare cars
 
#21
#21
TennesseeFan07 said:
Nascar needs to get rid of.

1)Cha$e
2)Wave-arounds
3)"Lucky Dog"
4)Brian France
5)Remove the teams out of a "box" for how they prepare cars
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1) No. It needs tweeking (different tracks, formula, etc.), but not done away with.
2) Definately no. I don't see this as a problem. The leader of the race doesn't need to start behind tail-of-lead-lap cars on a restart. The leader starts on the front row, plain and simple.
3) No again. I don't see this as a problem either.
4) Yes. I agree with you on this one.
5) Sorta agree. But when Knaus can fully set up the car the way he wants it, the 48 will be even better, meaning more than 5 championships.

TennesseeFan07, I'm curious as to why you think #2 and #3 are problems. They seem like a couple of the few goods things in NASCAR.
 
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#22
#22
TheSyxxSynse said:
1) No. It needs tweeking (different tracks, formula, etc.), but not done away with. It doesn't reward the true consistancy throughout the entire season. I've never liked the Cha$e even before Harvick had the huge lead this year. Hamlin finished outside of the top 10 in half of his races this year, but still had the points lead going into the finally. That's not championship worthy.
2) Definately no. I don't see this as a problem. The leader of the race doesn't need to start behind tail-of-lead-lap cars on a restart. The leader starts on the front row, plain and simple. It's never a big deal unless a caution comes out during a green flag pit stop cycle. The only reason cars stay out now is because they want to get a free lap back. It usually works because one of the 10-15 that stay out wrecks on worn tires. I'd hate for a driver to actually earn his lap back.
3)No again. I don't see this as a problem either. Some tweak should be in order. It takes away drivers from racing hard to stay on the lead lap. They now know they can either get the wave-around or "Lucky Dog". This allows them to not race as hard. Look at Richmond early this year for example. Kyle Busch was stinking up the show. He had lapped up around 8th spot and Nascar threw a "debris" caution. He pitted, 30 cars stayed out. I don't think that it's really fair for the lead lap cars that hit the setup on the long green flag run.
4) Yes. I agree with you on this one.
5) Sorta agree. But when Knaus can fully set up the car the way he wants it, the 48 will be even better, meaning more than 5 championships. This may be true, but at least the teams would have something to work with. It would just make the other teams step up. The argument is that some teams aren't economically able to do this. Well, there's now hardly any underfunded teams. That's no longer an excuse.

TennesseeFan07, I'm curious as to why you think #2 and #3 are problems. They seem like a couple of the few goods things in NASCAR.
I'm not a fan of Nascar manufacturing excitement. Late debris cautions, GWC, wave-arounds, "Lucky Dogs", Double file restarts, etc.
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I would prefer
1) 2 caution flags types(1 for if a major incident has occurred and no racing back to the line and 1 for a minor spin, debris out of the groove, etc. that allows teams to race back to the line. Nascar could use this caution flag at the end of the race to allow teams to race back.

2)Use only double file restarts during the final 10% of the race or something around that. This would allow lap cars to have a shot to get a lap back early in the race because they would get to line up on the inside of front. During the final 10% only leaders could start up front.

3)Maybe give out a "Lucky Dog" to the first car behind the leader when a caution comes out. Even if the guy is 5 laps down, he gets it over a 1 lap down driver. They also should limit a driver to just 1 "Lucky Dog" per race.
 
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#23
#23
Maybe Tony Stewart was on to something in regards to the chase drivers having a different point system. How about this for chase drivers, the highest chase finisher gets 12 points, the next highest chase finisher gets 11 on down to 1 point for the lowest finishing chase driver (assuming 12 drivers are in the chase).

That could potentially create a situation where multiple guys are tied for the points lead at the end of the chase, then you go by the "regular season" points to determine the champ in the case of a tie breaker situation. The next tie breaker could be wins if two drivers were tied in "regular season" points.

That would make the regular season important, guys would go for wins, since it would remove a lot of the points cushion of points racing.

That could be tweeked a bit for leading laps and so on but something along those lines could possible work.
 
#24
#24
I just want to see drivers rewarded for wining races, since that's what they get paid to do.
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#25
#25
Well, there's now hardly any underfunded teams. That's no longer an excuse. - TennesseeFan07

This would be interesting news to several teams that either struggle just to make the race and/or start & park because they don't have the funding to race. What is your definition of underfunded?
 
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