TNSportsman
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- Dec 1, 2011
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Here's an interesting debate though it doesn't involve us this year or any of the last 10 years for that matter:
Locks:
Florida, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Arkansas
UF will be a national seed. UK has a chance. LSU will host and most likely Mississippi State or Arky as well.
In most likely:
Texas A&M - #37 RPI (#53 SOS) - Non-conference SOS is hurting them as well as a 10-15 record vs. the top 50. I still think they get in and play as the #2 seed at Texas Tech or TCU.
Bubble (in order by safest):
Vanderbilt - #23 RPI (#1 SOS) - 11-12 vs the top 50 and 19-17 vs top 100. The only thing keeping them from being bumped up to A&M's status is the 13-13 conference record. A series loss to Alabama might put them out, go 2-1 and they are in.
Auburn - #43 RPI (#34 SOS) - They seemed like a lock just 2 weeks ago and a potential host. Now, losers of 7 straight games and they are in jeopardy of missing the tournament. Must win series vs. Ole Miss this weekend. The committee doesn't like teams trending the wrong direction.
Ole Miss - #34 RPI (#11 SOS) - 10-17 vs. top 50, 15-20 vs. the top 100. The Rebels are 13-14 in conference play and also must win their series @ Auburn to be considered for the tournament.
South Carolina - #30 RPI (#2 SOS) - You could argue that South Carolina should be right behind Vanderbilt in the pecking order but the 7 (SEVEN) straight series losses have all but eliminated the Gamecocks and put Holbrook on the hot seat. 10-15 vs top 50, 16-18 vs top 100. The 12-15 conference record is going to require a sweep of UGA and a deep SECT run.
Locks:
Florida, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Arkansas
UF will be a national seed. UK has a chance. LSU will host and most likely Mississippi State or Arky as well.
In most likely:
Texas A&M - #37 RPI (#53 SOS) - Non-conference SOS is hurting them as well as a 10-15 record vs. the top 50. I still think they get in and play as the #2 seed at Texas Tech or TCU.
Bubble (in order by safest):
Vanderbilt - #23 RPI (#1 SOS) - 11-12 vs the top 50 and 19-17 vs top 100. The only thing keeping them from being bumped up to A&M's status is the 13-13 conference record. A series loss to Alabama might put them out, go 2-1 and they are in.
Auburn - #43 RPI (#34 SOS) - They seemed like a lock just 2 weeks ago and a potential host. Now, losers of 7 straight games and they are in jeopardy of missing the tournament. Must win series vs. Ole Miss this weekend. The committee doesn't like teams trending the wrong direction.
Ole Miss - #34 RPI (#11 SOS) - 10-17 vs. top 50, 15-20 vs. the top 100. The Rebels are 13-14 in conference play and also must win their series @ Auburn to be considered for the tournament.
South Carolina - #30 RPI (#2 SOS) - You could argue that South Carolina should be right behind Vanderbilt in the pecking order but the 7 (SEVEN) straight series losses have all but eliminated the Gamecocks and put Holbrook on the hot seat. 10-15 vs top 50, 16-18 vs top 100. The 12-15 conference record is going to require a sweep of UGA and a deep SECT run.
