I Crunched Some Numbers

#1

BACKDOC

Junior Member
Joined
Aug 13, 2006
Messages
5,006
Likes
3,148
#1
In the past 13 games we have made 113 3 pointers; 8.7 per game. At a 41.24 % clip. And just think, some of those were half court heaves, or prayers thrown up at the end of the shot clock when we were just milking it with a double digit lead down the stretch. If we can keep this up we will be in good shape up thee in Peyton Manning city.
 
#5
#5
JJJ & KC finding their outside shots has been a huge part of our late success, Santi has been consistent…unfortunately we live and die by the 3, pull our numbers in losses, it’s ugly. We’ll need to continue the hot streak to make a deep run, much like Auburn a couple years ago.
 
#6
#6
JJJ is the key. If he is hitting, the game changes completely! It opens up the middle for drives ( his man can’t fall back fo help defensive). In the tournament, when JJJ would nail a couple, the other coach would call time and their defense changed immediately. Chandler and/or Zig would then start driving for layups or easy assist.
 
#7
#7
JJJ & KC finding their outside shots has been a huge part of our late success, Santi has been consistent…unfortunately we live and die by the 3, pull our numbers in losses, it’s ugly. We’ll need to continue the hot streak to make a deep run, much like Auburn a couple years ago.
Just building off this, last 7 games…

JJJ 32mpg 13.7ppg 7rpg 50%3pt 83%FT
Chandler 32.5mpg 15.8ppg 52% 3pt


Really hoping those numbers don’t shift back to reality for about 6 more games, can probably get by today without it, but still.
 
#8
#8
I saw this stat yesterday. The last 22 tourney Champs have finished 20th or higher in adjusted defensive efficiency and 39th or higher in adjusted offensive efficiency. This year 6 teams meet that criteria. Gonzaga, UCLA, Baylor, Auburn, Arizona and our Vols.
 
#9
#9
Just building off this, last 7 games…

JJJ 32mpg 13.7ppg 7rpg 50%3pt 83%FT
Chandler 32.5mpg 15.8ppg 52% 3pt


Really hoping those numbers don’t shift back to reality for about 6 more games, can probably get by today without it, but still.
These stats show how difficult it is to go on prolonged winning streaks. Hard to win when the shots don’t fall as we saw earlier in the season
 
#10
#10
I saw this stat yesterday. The last 22 tourney Champs have finished 20th or higher in adjusted defensive efficiency and 39th or higher in adjusted offensive efficiency. This year 6 teams meet that criteria. Gonzaga, UCLA, Baylor, Auburn, Arizona and our Vols.

People repeats this stat, I’ve seen 25/25 but who knows, but the bolded is what the issue is…those teams finished the NCAAT at that, that’s not where they were entering it. There was an article last week iirc discussing it and there are some examples of 40/40 entering the NCAAT iirc, but obviously their numbers went up as they made runs.
 
#11
#11
These stats show how difficult it is to go on prolonged winning streaks. Hard to win when the shots don’t fall as we saw earlier in the season
We are getting really good shots and we are finally looking much like the 3pt shooting team that entering the year folks hoped we would be…even in our wildest dreams though don’t think anyone expected Chandler & JJJ to be 50%.

The big thing imo is what I said months back when we were struggling, Santi/ZZ/KC/JJ/JP need to take about 99% of the 3’s we take, they’re 259/702 from deep on the season, good for 37%. we may not shoot 45-50% but we can absolutely consistently shoot 37-40% which will win us most games.

On the season when we are under 28% from deep we are 3-6, over 28% and we are 23-1.
 
#12
#12
JJJ & KC finding their outside shots has been a huge part of our late success, Santi has been consistent…unfortunately we live and die by the 3, pull our numbers in losses, it’s ugly. We’ll need to continue the hot streak to make a deep run, much like Auburn a couple years ago.
I disagree that we "live and die by the 3." Early in the season I would agree with you, we relied on the 3 too much. But since we've been in this run we've been utilizing shot fakes and drive and kicks a lot more. That Auburn team a couple of years ago shot way more 3s a game than we do (I didnt look it up but it seems like it)
 
  • Like
Reactions: sami
#13
#13
As long as we are playing full effort Tennessee defense, I can live with what falls on the other end.

No disrespect, but if our heads are right on D, we should be able to take Longwood on just turnover points.
 
#14
#14
I disagree that we "live and die by the 3." Early in the season I would agree with you, we relied on the 3 too much. But since we've been in this run we've been utilizing shot fakes and drive and kicks a lot more. That Auburn team a couple of years ago shot way more 3s a game than we do (I didnt look it up but it seems like it)
Shot fake, drive and kicks that are resulting in 3pta, that’s still considered living and dying by the 3…what game have we shot poorly from 3 and won?
 
#15
#15
Shot fake, drive and kicks that are resulting in 3pta, that’s still considered living and dying by the 3…what game have we shot poorly from 3 and won?
I consider a team that lives and dies by the 3 to shoot 3's almost exclusively, like that Auburn team did. We aren't that team.
 
#18
#18
We are getting really good shots and we are finally looking much like the 3pt shooting team that entering the year folks hoped we would be…even in our wildest dreams though don’t think anyone expected Chandler & JJJ to be 50%.

The big thing imo is what I said months back when we were struggling, Santi/ZZ/KC/JJ/JP need to take about 99% of the 3’s we take, they’re 259/702 from deep on the season, good for 37%. we may not shoot 45-50% but we can absolutely consistently shoot 37-40% which will win us most games.

On the season when we are under 28% from deep we are 3-6, over 28% and we are 23-1.
What was the one loss over 28%?
 
#20
#20
Key is making opponents respect the inside game enough to commit to double teams when ball goes inside.
 

VN Store



Back
Top