If it were a role reversal. Hypothetical thinking

#1
SolidRockGolf

SolidRockGolf

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#1
If you're not into hypothetical thinking/discussion please move on. This is just food for thought. Nothing more

What would our record be? Note:I replaced ourselves with who's schedule I'm looking at.
UNC
UGA
Vandy
UCF
Kentucky
Arkansas
South Carolina
Missouri
Miss St
Florida
Coastal Carolina
Clemson
I would give 90% chance of wins to UNC (early schedule), Kentucky, Arkansas, Miss St., Florida (which is after team moral is down and injuries), Coastal Carolina.
I would give 80% change of loss to UGA (with no injuries (beginning of season), South Carolina, Missouri, Clemson. I know that we beat USCe but I am talking a whole new schedule
I would give a 65% chance of winning against Vandy and UCF (pretty good team)

Knowing that we seem to be a team that wins when we are suppose to and loses when we are suppose to then I would say our record would end up between 7-5 at worst or 9-3 at best. Best possible scenerio would be 8-4 (conference 5-3). That is with this coaching staff and players we currently have and USCe's schedule.

Vandy's schedule - 8-4
Florida's schedule - 7-5
Missouri's schedule - 7-5
Kentucky's schedule - 7-5
Georgia's schedule - 6-6

Now I'm not saying we are awesome or anything to that manner but if you want to look at these schedules with realistic eyes then you would see we have the toughest schedule. I am all for it as long as everyone remembers it.

Note: I know my records are guess but I tried to be as realistic as possible with what we know now on all teams. I also know that none of these records are 12-0 and to some anything outside of 12-0 to 10-2 is fire our coach. You can look for the small positives or the small negatives. That's totally your choice.

Its just something good to look at and think that we could possibly be going in a good direction but our schedule doesn't allow us to show it well.

Go Vols! / beat Vandy High!
 
#7
#7
whocaresgobobcats said:
UCF would beat UT
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Miss. State could also. As could Arkansas. A lot would depend on where those games are played.

UNC - I'd give a slight edge to UNC given it is first game of year
UGA - loss
Vandy - 50/50 since at home
UCF - loss
Kentucky - edge to us
Arkansas - toss up
South Carolina - loss, since this would be at USC
Missouri - loss
Miss St - since at home i think we got it. though very close
Florida - loss
Coastal Carolina - win
Clemson - loss

So I'd say 5-7 at best. 4-8 probably
 
#8
#8
Reverend Bubba Flavel said:
Seems really odd that you give us 90% chance of winning against a team we lost by 2 touchdowns
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This is more in the season when their team is heavily down in injuries and moral is down as well. I guess the 90% for them is a little much. I would still give it 70% chance of us beating them now.
 
#9
#9
Reverend Bubba Flavel said:
Miss. State could also. As could Arkansas. A lot would depend on where those games are played.

UNC - I'd give a slight edge to UNC given it is first game of year
UGA - loss
Vandy - 50/50 since at home
UCF - loss
Kentucky - edge to us
Arkansas - toss up
South Carolina - loss, since this would be at USC
Missouri - loss
Miss St - since at home i think we got it. though very close
Florida - loss
Coastal Carolina - win
Clemson - loss

So I'd say 5-7 at best. 4-8 probably
Click to expand...
So wait...you think we would end up with a worse record if we had the vastly easier schedule?
 
#10
#10
Reverend Bubba Flavel said:
Miss. State could also. As could Arkansas. A lot would depend on where those games are played.

UNC - I'd give a slight edge to UNC given it is first game of year UNC started out 1-5
UGA - loss
Vandy - 50/50 since at home
UCF - loss I would give odds to Vandy or UCF as a loss and the other as a Win. Don't see Worley losing both
Kentucky - edge to us - That's a Win
Arkansas - toss up
South Carolina - loss, since this would be at USC
Missouri - loss
Miss St - since at home i think we got it. though very close Win
Florida - loss In the first 3 games, Yes but not now after the team has rhythm and they are running very low
Coastal Carolina - win
Clemson - loss

So I'd say 5-7 at best. 4-8 probably
Click to expand...

Just a few thoughts added. Keep inmind this team upset USCe and you are giving us no edges or upsets in your assesment. Their SOS is lower then ours and you have us at 4-8.
 
#11
#11
volfanhill said:
So wait...you think we would end up with a worse record if we had the vastly easier schedule?
Click to expand...
First off, I said 5-7 at best. So I do not get where you are saying I am guessing a worse record, could be the same.

That schedule only has one gimmie game - the Coastal Carolina game. The other 3 OOC games are UNC, UCF, and Clemson. Sure, we had to play Oregon, but our OOC schedule is easier.

And we have the same conference schedule except for the inter-divisional foes. And those are clearly easier for USC - and I gave us both those games.
 
#13
#13
Reverend Bubba Flavel said:
First off, I said 5-7 at best. So I do not get where you are saying I am guessing a worse record, could be the same.

That schedule only has one gimmie game - the Coastal Carolina game. The other 3 OOC games are UNC, UCF, and Clemson. Sure, we had to play Oregon, but our OOC schedule is easier.

And we have the same conference schedule except for the inter-divisional foes. And those are clearly easier for USC - and I gave us both those games.
Click to expand...

Well I said it because you said 4 and 8 was probable and I think we can all agree Kentucky will be a win for is which puts us at 5 wins. So again you predict a worse record with an easier schedule
 
#14
#14
volfanhill said:
Well I said it because you said 4 and 8 was probable and I think we can all agree Kentucky will be a win for is which puts us at 5 wins. So again you predict a worse record with an easier schedule
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He also said a starting 1-5 UNC beats us.
 
#15
#15
volfanhill said:
Well I said it because you said 4 and 8 was probable and I think we can all agree Kentucky will be a win for is which puts us at 5 wins. So again you predict a worse record with an easier schedule
Click to expand...

4-8 is still a real possibility for this team. Correct?

And I explained the reasoning about strength of schedule.

And as for predicting a loss to UNC - that is a lot more reasonable then predicting a win over a team that beat us by 14 while at the same time doing everything in their power to hand us the game.
 
#16
#16
Reverend Bubba Flavel said:
4-8 is still a real possibility for this team. Correct?

And I explained the reasoning about strength of schedule.

And as for predicting a loss to UNC - that is a lot more reasonable then predicting a win over a team that beat us by 14 while at the same time doing everything in their power to hand us the game.
Click to expand...

Yeah right. Florida just lost to Ga Southern and we would have played them last week in that schedule. Your soooo right with your logic.
 
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