Interesting take on the Bradley Effect

#2
#2
I like how the author uses data to support his point but offers no proof of his "reverse Bradley effect".

Also, exit polls are soundly trashed (perhaps because they don't follow the hypothesis?)

I'd give the author a B- at best in trying to prove the Bradley Effect is a myth.
 
#3
#3
volinbham said:
I like how the author uses data to support his point but offers no proof of his "reverse Bradley effect".

Also, exit polls are soundly trashed (perhaps because they don't follow the hypothesis?)

I'd give the author a B- at best in trying to prove the Bradley Effect is a myth.
Click to expand...

There are other posts in which he has gone into more detail about the "reverse Bradley effect."

His point about cherry picking results is dead on.
 
#4
#4
I think his point in dealing with exit polling was that if the Bradley effect is to rear its ugly head in this election, it will be in exit polling.
 
#5
#5
emainvol said:
I think his point in dealing with exit polling was that if the Bradley effect is to rear its ugly head in this election, it will be in exit polling.
Click to expand...

Exit polling is notoriously flawed (see 2000 and 2004) so it will be nearly impossible to prove that point this year. However, if the Bradley Effect does exist, it should be easier to prove by comparing a composite of the very last presidential polls with the actual election results. We'll see. Obama better hope it doesn't exist.
 
#6
#6
volinbham said:
I like how the author uses data to support his point but offers no proof of his "reverse Bradley effect".

Also, exit polls are soundly trashed (perhaps because they don't follow the hypothesis?)

I'd give the author a B- at best in trying to prove the Bradley Effect is a myth.
Click to expand...

Don't worry, Dude. Obama may be black, but he's got nothing against White Russians. :)
 
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