Is TX a lock for SEC champ?

#53
#53
If OU beats Bama, TA&M loses too Auburn but beats TX, does that put Vols in sec champ game if they win out? If so then who would they play?
 
#54
#54
Dougie_D said:
If TX doesn’t at least play for the SEC champ then we are 100 percent out of it.
If TX doesn’t win the SEC champ I think we are out.
If TX beats Bama, we replace Ole Miss
If TX beats GA , we replace GA
??? Thoughts??
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IMO Texas is not 1 of the 2 strongest teams in the SEC and its not close. IMO Sankey like UT vs UGA he wanted both to come out with 2 losses. TX vs TAM he wants both to come out with 2 losses, if its close enough one of the refs will throw a well time legitimate (you could call it every play and somehow justify) penalty to get A&M across the finish line. The more 2 only loss teams gives Sankey a good arguing point for 3 to 4 teams.
With these 18 team conferences they need to expand to 16 team playoff ASAP. Texas & Indiana by luck have navigated easy schedules not their fault this will happen every year to some random teams with so many non face to face matchups JMO. It was something they never realized as they dropped PAC 12 and went to 4 super Conferences. Also apology to the word super some of theses conferences are just a little above high G5
 
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#56
#56
jcvol87 said:
If OU beats Bama, TA&M loses too Auburn but beats TX, does that put Vols in sec champ game if they win out? If so then who would they play?
Click to expand...
No, that would put Georgia and Texas A&M in the conference championship game at the result of a 5-way tie (which Tennessee would be at the very bottom of).

The Vols only seem to have 2 ways into the SEC Championship Game:

Number 1: A 4-team tie with Georgia, Texas, Ole Miss, and TN all at 2-conference losses

That would require:

4-6 Kentucky beating 9-1 Texas
4-6 Auburn beating 9-2 A&M
Texas beating A&M
5-5 Oklahoma or 4-6 Auburn beating Alabama
Ole Miss beating BOTH Florida AND Miss State
And Tennessee beating Vanderbilt

The team would be the second spot participant in the conference championship (as a 4-way tie would be created between Georgia, Texas, Tennessee, and Ole Miss at 6-2, with the tiebreaker being based on the record vs common conference opponents Kentucky, Florida, and Mississippi State, with Georgia and Tennessee both being (3-0) against them while Ole Miss and Texas would now be (2-1), (having each lost to Kentucky in that scenario). Georgia's head-to-head victory over Tennessee would put Georgia in the top spot of the conference championship and Tennessee in the second spot. The result would be them playing Georgia (again)...In Atlanta, GA.

Number 2:.. A scenario involving just every single conference game over the next two weeks.

It would require:

4-6 Auburn beating 9-2 A&M
5-5 Florida beating 8-2 Ole Miss
6-4 Vanderbilt beating 6-4 LSU
2-8 Mississippi State beating 7-3 Missouri
5-5 Oklahoma beating 8-2 Alabama
4-6 Kentucky beating 9-1 Texas

Followed by:
3-8 Mississippi State beating 8-3 Ole Miss
8-3 Alabama beating 5-6 Auburn
6-5 Oklahoma beatinf 6-5 LSU
6-5 Arkansas beating 7-4 Missouri
8-3 Texas A&M beating 9-2 Texas
And 9-2 Tennessee beating 7-4 Vanderbilt

This absolute storm would result in a three-team tie between Georgia, Texas A&M, and Tennessee for the spots in the SEC Championship Game. As the only common opponents the three share are Florida and Mississippi State (both of whom each team beat), it would go to conference opponent strength of schedules. Thanks to this exact series of results, Georgia's and Tennessee's conference opponent strength of schedules would actually shoot up to 0.4688 on the year whereas A&M's would now sit at 0.4375.

This would eliminate A&M, with Georgia's head-to-head victory over Tennessee would once again put Georgia in the top spot of the conference championship and Tennessee in the second spot.The result would be them playing Georgia (again)...In Atlanta, GA.
 
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