Wow. I have almost the exact same thing only I took Bama to beat Texas and then Bama to beat Clemson after Clemson dispatches of Ohio St again. I think UGA finishes 5th this year after losing to Bama. Now if the Big 12 winner or Big 10 winner ends up with 2 losses and UGA only has the Bama loss then UGA gets in.Clemson beats Ohio State, Alabama beats Oklahoma. And we get another year of Clemson/Alabama. I'll go with Clemson for the repeat.
I can’t disagree with the thinking. In fact it was Kelly Bryant that bailed them out at A&M last year. Lawrence played like crap that game. The ACC is so soft that they won’t be challenged there but I could see them losing in the semifinal even though I have them losing to Bama in the championship.I'm sure this comment will end up looking foolish, but I'm wondering if people are a little too high on Clemson in the preseason. Let me preface this by saying they absolutely should be preseason #1 and it would be a shock if they didn't make the CFP. Having said that, there seems to be an implicit assumption by some that Clemson is going to win the title, or at least get to the title game and face Alabama again.
Trevor Lawrence is a great player, but remember our last memory of him was the game of his life against a great defense, by far his best performance of the season. Not every game is going to go that exact same way. Also, a somewhat under the radar fact about their defense last year was that the pass defense was simply "pretty good," not elite or as good as it was when they won the title in 2016. The strength of their D last year was the defensive line, and while it is being replaced with talented recruits they lost all 4 starters to the NFL.
I don't think it'd be the most shocking thing in the world if Clemson cruised into the CFP but lost to an Oklahoma or Georgia in the semifinal. It's very hard to repeat as a champ; even Saban has only done it once.
It seems that's the state of college football at the moment. You have ~5 elite teams, and then the rest. Makes sense right now that the Big 12 would be decided between Texas and OU, but you know E$PN is already salivating at the thought of a Tua/Hurts match up.Wow. I have almost the exact same thing only I took Bama to beat Texas and then Bama to beat Clemson after Clemson dispatches of Ohio St again. I think UGA finishes 5th this year after losing to Bama. Now if the Big 12 winner or Big 10 winner ends up with 2 losses and UGA only has the Bama loss then UGA gets in.
Lawrence wasn't quite ready to be the starter at that point - yes, they don't win that game without Bryant, who had a great game against A&M.I can’t disagree with the thinking. In fact it was Kelly Bryant that bailed them out at A&M last year. Lawrence played like crap that game. The ACC is so soft that they won’t be challenged there but I could see them losing in the semifinal even though I have them losing to Bama in the championship.
Lawrence wasn't quite ready to be the starter at that point - yes, they don't win that game without Bryant, who had a great game against A&M.
The biggest thing I see people doing with Lawrence and Clemson this year is they're looking at his performance in the CFP title game and assuming that is going to be replicated in each game this season. This "greatest NFL prospect ever" stuff...that might end up being true, but it is largely based off his performance in a single game last year. Don't get me wrong - he did absolutely torch what was thought to be a great defense in a huge game, but it was also one game.
You're so deep that the loss of Moses likely won't hurt unless you're facing a great offense plus your offense isn't scoring. When you look at your regular season opponents, A&M should have a good offense but their defense is likely a year + away. LSU and Auburn should have great defenses, but offensive consistency is a question mark, especially with Auburn. I don't know if any regular season opponents are well-rounded enough to truly expose the loss of Moses.The loss of Moses is a killer. However, Bama's secondary should be much better than last year. Bama lost their top 6 DBs following 2017, then Diggs went down for the season in game 3. There was simply way too little experience back there, and Savion Smith simply isn't Trevon Diggs.
That said, Bama has to find a way to mask that hole at ILB. Hopefully the pass rush stays strong (remember the name DJ Dale). It will probably help a lot if Bama continues to score a lot of points.