Polls

[sjt18]

I like RealClearPolitics for their polling roll up.

RealClearPolitics - Latest Election Polls

IIRC, the GOP was actually a couple of points behind the Dems in the generic Congress polls of likely voters done right before the 94 election.

The Dems still have plenty of time to find the right October Surprise but Rasmussen's 10 pt gap is extremely significant. More Dems than Reps come from districts with high same party affiliation. That means the 10 pt spread is captures many 55-45 or closer districts.

If the election were held today, the GOP would make historic gains. FWIW, I expect more Blue Dogs to switch parties if the GOP wins. The pressure would be on guys like Heath Shuler to switch to a party that aligns with their district much more so than the party of Nancy Pelosi and Barry Obama.

 

[volinbham]

Has Crist said who he'll caucus with if elected to the Senate?

 

[sjt18]

I've read that he would go with the Dems.

IMO, the GOP will eventually pour alot of money into that race to point that out.

Does anyone know if FL requires a run off if no one gets 50%?

 

[volinbham]

Does anyone know if FL requires a run off if no one gets 50%?

Doubtful for a general election.

 

[OrangeYankee]

Curious to what the numbers are on the S.C. Senate race with Al Greene....

 

[joevol320]

blue dogs. after the healthcare vote. there are no 'blue dogs' only liberals.

 

[VOLinthaNATI]

Has Crist said who he'll caucus with if elected to the Senate?

100% Dem.

 

[tigervol9802]

I've read that he would go with the Dems.

IMO, the GOP will eventually pour alot of money into that race to point that out.

Does anyone know if FL requires a run off if no one gets 50%?

Apparently done away with in 2005.

State: Senate writes obituary for runoff elections

 

[volinbham]

Will be interesting to see if Crist still wants to align with Dems if the Senate gets relatively evened out - (could even be less than 50 Dems; I could see 49 D, 3 I and 48 R) - especially if the House swings R and Obama remains unpopular.

 

[OrangeEmpire]

My wish would be for a third party movement........... I hate republicans as much as I hate democrats.

 

[sjt18]

I would too OE... or else a GOP that follows through on its promises once it gains power. I dislike Dems because when they get power they do exactly what they say they believe in- grow gov't and suppress freedom. I distrust Reps because they say all the right things then don't do them.

 

[volfanjustin]

blue dogs. after the healthcare vote. there are no 'blue dogs' only liberals.

:good!:
100% correct.

 

[volfanjustin]

Has Crist said who he'll caucus with if elected to the Senate?

I don't think he has said yet, I think he is waiting until after Labor Day. Either way it would be wise of Rubio to keep painting Crist as dem light.

 

[CSpindizzy]

Crist will caucus with whoever gives him the sweetest deal. He has a huge ego. I think McCain is probably his only friend left in the Senate and McCain is not on best of terms with him of late. But if the GOP needs that one spot to get a majority in the Senate, they would no doubt coddle to him. Problem is that Crist made the mistake of changing his positions overnight on a few key issues.