We're two games back, so we have to win out and go 5-3 to make it to ATL.
If SCAR beats UF and we lose a game, SCAR will hold the tiebreaker against us at 4-4.
If UF beats SCAR and loses to LSU and we win out, we'll hold the tiebreaker against them at 5-3. Same scenario but we lose a game, UF will finish 5-3 to our 4-4.
If we lose to UK, then UK will hold the tiebreaker against us at 4-4; no matter what SCAR and UF do, we're knocked out of contention.
Every game is an elimination game for us. That inexplicable SCAR loss was ridiculously costly.