A closer look at key positions and their rating tells their story and of course departures.
0 4 star, but have only signed 3 4 star DE'S since 2010, 2 in 2010 class 1 in 2013
5 4stars
1 4 star
3 4 stars
Hardest hit position
WR 1-5* and 5-4*
Interesting Facts
we have signed only 2 4* LB"S since 2010
WE have only signed 3 4* RB'S since 2010 and only 2 remain on team.
32 plyers lost and 1 lost in 2013 class = 33 players lost!!!!!!!Our Recruiting Numbers since 2010 according to Rivals.
Signed 1 - 5 Star
signed 40 - 4 Stars
48 - 3 Stars
8 - 2 stars
5 stars remaining - 0
4 - 24
3- 35
2 - 6
It would be interesting to see what other programs have lost over the same period.
It would be interesting to see what other programs have lost over the same period.
Here is a list of the star rankings of each SEC east team, after the spring game. So basically this is before the bulk of any 2013 recruiting class arrived on campus.
This list looks very close to what happens if you simply rank the teams by four years of recruiting rankings (meaning attrition has an effect, but it isn't as bad on the total roster as most would believe).
The only problem with that is we have 1 5* and 8 4* WRs in the 2010, 2011 and 2012 classes.
If those numbers were more evenly spread out across different position groups instead of just being WRs the situation would be different.
Your count is good for seeing overall talent, but there is a glaring lack of quality at DL/LB/DB in particular.
As I've said probably 1,000 times, in the time period where we brought in 9 highly ranked WRs we only brought in 4 total LBs and 2 were 4*. One of those 4* guys isn't active right now.
Give us 4 fewer 4* WRs and 4 more 4* LBs and I would be willing to be this defense is significantly better.... yet your "overall talent numbers" don't change at all.
attached link has SEC attrition numbers going back to 2002.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1...KPUbB7xBo/edit
Looking at the numbers, there definitely seems to be some connection between high attrition and poor performance.
Over the past 4 years, here are the schools with the better attrition numbers: Bama, LSU, Georgia, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, Missouri.
And here are the schools with the poorest numbers: Arkansas, Tennessee, and Florida. Tennessee's 2009 class seems to have some sort of record of futility with 79% attrition! Ole Miss also has had bad numbers in the recent past, but looks like attrition has dropped off significantly in past few years.
Alabama is definitely one of the more interesting teams in the data. Bama's 2005 and 2006 classes both had 50%+ attrition, while the 2004 and 2003 classes were around 45%. Once Saban came in, those numbers dropped significantly. For the 2010 and 2011 classes, there was only 27% attrition.
Of course, it is true that teams that win, have stability, and good culture are probably less likely to experience attrition.
Here is my cursory hypothesis on both Bama and Vandy, two of the more stable teams in recent years. Bama players stay longer because many have to in order to see playing time on such a deep roster. You have to play to raise your draft stock. Vandy, conversely, has few players who would get a look at getting drafted so the only choice is to stay and get a degree. I am over simplifying, but I think that might explain those patterns.