Rivals will add around 151 MORE 4star-or-better recruits

#1
Lord Vader

Lord Vader

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#1
This is based on averages from the 2009 and 2010 classes. I went back and looked at the numbers. More proof that complaining about 3stars in July is dumb. I know it can't be relied on as a hard number, but it is a very good estimator. The class numbers will be similar to these.

2009
4stars- 401
5stars- 35

2010
4stars- 395
5stars- 27

2011 (as of today)
4stars- 267
5stars- 11

The averages of the '09 and '10 classes comes to 398 4stars and 31 5stars for a total of 429 4star-or-better recruits.

That means we can expect around 131 more 4stars and 20 more 5star recruits for a grand total of 151 more 4star-or-better recruits in the final rankings.
 
#4
#4
lylsmorr said:
Smith is a lock to get bumped. Maybe Posey?
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Smith is the best bet. They are all possibilities. Just have to see what they do this year.

Rajion Neal and Tyler Bray were rated awful in the first rankings. They both ended up in the top 9 at their position.

You can bet everything you own on A.J. Johnson and Kyler Kerbyson being 4stars.
 
#5
#5
ernieman84 said:
I don't know why people try to grade our class when it's not even close to signing day.
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What else are people going to do to pass time? Rank last years class? :)
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#6
#6
I am not worried, as long as the product during the season is competitive and TN has a winning season, 2010 will end up being a very solid class. But if the team looks horrible and is dominated against most of the good teams, it could be trouble. I think a lot of recruits like this staff, and TN, but they are still in wait and see mode.
 
#7
#7
Who is most likely this year's Demarco Cobbs or Michael Taylor and decommit on us?......................... or is Dooley's way of having them visit multiple times and making sure they want to commit help prevent that?
 
#8
#8
615 Vol said:
Who is most likely this year's Demarco Cobbs or Michael Taylor and decommit on us?......................... or is Dooley's way of having them visit multiple times and making sure they want to commit help prevent that?
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That will help, also knowing what you are getting into, I think Kiffin and crew made big splashes but when the new wore off that was it, they peaked from the jump.
 
#11
#11
615 Vol said:
Who is most likely this year's Demarco Cobbs or Michael Taylor and decommit on us?......................... or is Dooley's way of having them visit multiple times and making sure they want to commit help prevent that?
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6 of the 10 commits (Smith, Posey, Crowder, Power, Coleman, Harris) are gonna be Early Enrollees.

I am pretty sure Worley, Randolph, and Downs can be EEs if they choose to.

That should help quite a bit.
 
#12
#12
Ut had walkons on the field last year because of depth issues. I think that should be remedied first.
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#13
#13
615 Vol said:
Who is most likely this year's Demarco Cobbs or Michael Taylor and decommit on us?......................... or is Dooley's way of having them visit multiple times and making sure they want to commit help prevent that?
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I think they're also looking for some personality traits that would tend against it.

Even Downs very obviously struggled to turn on Duke. He grew up a UT fan. The football opportunity is significantly better... yet he struggled to do it.

Most kids don't like to switch. I think the types of kids DD pursues will be even less so. Kiffin's recruits were more so.
 
#17
#17
Lord Vader said:
6 of the 10 commits (Smith, Posey, Crowder, Power, Coleman, Harris) are gonna be Early Enrollees.

I am pretty sure Worley, Randolph, and Downs can be EEs if they choose to.

That should help quite a bit.
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not only will it help ensure that we land those guys (because they can't go anywhere else once they sign in december) but it will also help us close strong with other players because cdd and co. can devote all of their attention to non-ee's
 
#20
#20
LV, would you say EE is worth .1 pts?

I think that extra spring practice and S&C can make a lot of difference.
 
#21
#21
Lord Vader said:
This is based on averages from the 2009 and 2010 classes. I went back and looked at the numbers. More proof that complaining about 3stars in July is dumb. I know it can't be relied on as a hard number, but it is a very good estimator. The class numbers will be similar to these.

2009
4stars- 401
5stars- 35

2010
4stars- 395
5stars- 27

2011 (as of today)
4stars- 267
5stars- 11

The averages of the '09 and '10 classes comes to 398 4stars and 31 5stars for a total of 429 4star-or-better recruits.

That means we can expect around 131 more 4stars and 20 more 5star recruits for a grand total of 151 more 4star-or-better recruits in the final rankings.
Click to expand...

So you're not gnawing off your own arm in frustration of not having picked up a bunch of 5-star recruits by the end of July? I'd say your attitude is downright refreshing.
 
#24
#24
sammyjoey said:
not only will it help ensure that we land those guys (because they can't go anywhere else once they sign in december) but it will also help us close strong with other players because cdd and co. can devote all of their attention to non-ee's
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This. and thanks LV. Any tidbit of positive information is wonderful. Keep on being awesome.:salute:
 
#25
#25
615 Vol said:
Who is most likely this year's Demarco Cobbs or Michael Taylor and decommit on us?......................... or is Dooley's way of having them visit multiple times and making sure they want to commit help prevent that?
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Sounds like the recruits talk about liking every visit more than the last time they were on campus. I feel he's going about it the right way. The last staff accepted Cobbs commitment, but when others started signing they stopped recruiting him. Dooley is making sure that by taking multiple visits the recruits are sure that UT is the right place for them. Thus hopefully cutting down on decommits.
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