SEC Control Ur Own Destiny / Eliminator

[StarRaider]

Huge nerd about stuff like this. Let me know what I am missing. (-X) = minus in the loss column but does not consider head to head unless in the Eliminator tier.

After Week 7:

Tier 1: Teams that control their own destiny (CTOD) to the SEC championship game. Win their conference games, they are in. No tie breaker spin required.

Florida, Ole Miss (did I really type that??), LSU

Tier 2: Need help/possibly tie breakers involved, these team still have to play one or more team(s) that CTOD.

Ga (-1), aTm(-1), Alabama(-1)

Tier 3: Not eliminated but need way more help than Tier 2:

Miss St(-2), Aub(-2), Ark(-2), Vandy(-2), Tenn(-1), SC(-2), Mizzou(-2), Kentucky(-1)

Eliminated: Mathematically impossible

No team yet.

 

[Catbone]

I'm not smart enough to understand this

 

[StarRaider]

I'm not smart enough to understand this

Tier 1 > Tier 2 > Tier 3 > Eliminated

Stuff rolls downhill.

 

[joevol33]

I'm not smart enough to understand this

Admitting it is the first step.

 

[LouderVol]

are the negatives in relation to the tiers? like with TN being -1 yet still tier 3. does that mean we are one away from tier two. because i believe we are.

 

[StarRaider]

Negatives are "games behind in the loss column". Since the teams have played different numbers of conference games, I am using this criteria. Once you lose a game you can't get it back... but also any team could potentially win all their remaining games (Vandy's potential to win all their remaining games is one in a trillion, cue up dumb and dumber's "so your saying there's a chance" meme).

I put UT in Tier 3 since we are one behind in the loss column but have lost to the team that CTOD. Same as UK.

If UT can keep winning and UF loses, then we move up to Tier 2 where tie breakers come into play.

 

[StarRaider]

After Week 8:
__________________________________________
Tier 1: Teams that control their own destiny (CTOD) to the SEC championship game. Win their conference games, they are in. No tie breaker spin required. Team/SEC Games Remaining

Florida (Ga/Vandy/SC), Ga (Fla/Kentucky/Auburn), Ole Miss (Auburn/Ark/LSU/Miss ST), LSU (Ala/Ark/OleMiss/aTm)
No changes.
__________________________________________
(-X) = minus in the loss column but does not consider head to head unless in the Eliminator tier.

Tier 2: Need help/possibly tie breakers involved, these team still have to play one or more team(s) that CTOD.

Alabama(-1)
__________________________________________
Tier 3: Not eliminated but need way more help than Tier 2:

aTm(-2), Miss St(-2), Aub(-3), Ark(-2), Vandy(-2), Tenn(-2), UK (-2), Kentucky(-2)
__________________________________________
Eliminated: Mizzou (-3), SC (-3)

 

[99gator]

Georgia controls its own destiny....but not for long

 

[TrueOrange]

After Week 8:
__________________________________________
Tier 1: Teams that control their own destiny (CTOD) to the SEC championship game. Win their conference games, they are in. No tie breaker spin required. Team/SEC Games Remaining

Florida (Ga/Vandy/SC), Ole Miss (Auburn/Ark/LSU/Miss ST), LSU (Ala/Ark/OleMiss/aTm)
No changes.
__________________________________________
(-X) = minus in the loss column but does not consider head to head unless in the Eliminator tier.

Tier 2: Need help/possibly tie breakers involved, these team still have to play one or more team(s) that CTOD.

Ga (-1), Alabama(-1)
__________________________________________
Tier 3: Not eliminated but need way more help than Tier 2:

aTm(-2), Miss St(-2), Aub(-3), Ark(-2), Vandy(-2), Tenn(-2), SC(-2), UK (-2), Kentucky(-2)
__________________________________________
Eliminated: Mizzou (-3)

Wait, wait...I'm not sure that's correct.

How is South Carolina not also eliminated? They're 1-4 in conference play, and the scenario to get UF down to 4-4 in conference play to tie USCe's record would require UGA to get, at worst, to 4-4 in conference, creating a 3-way tie.

In the 2nd tiebreaker: UF would be 3-3 in East play, USCe would be 3-3 in East play, and UGA would be at worst 4-2 in East play (if they beat UF and lost to UK), meaning UGA would win the East.



I think South Carolina was the first team eliminated from the conference race: eliminated 2 weekends ago (back in week 7).

 

[StarRaider]

Georgia controls its own destiny....but not for long

That is correct thanks!

Wait, wait...I'm not sure that's correct.

How is South Carolina not also eliminated? They're 1-4 in conference play, and the scenario to get UF down to 4-4 in conference play to tie USCe's record would require UGA to get, at worst, to 4-4 in conference, creating a 3-way tie.

In the 2nd tiebreaker: UF would be 3-3 in East play, USCe would be 3-3 in East play, and UGA would be at worst 4-2 in East play (if they beat UF and lost to UK), meaning UGA would win the East.

I think South Carolina was the first team eliminated from the conference race: eliminated 2 weekends ago (back in week 7).

Yep correct as well. Thanks. Maybe I should rethink my density.

 

[The Ron Mexico]

I have completely lost confidence in this spreadsheet.

 

[VolsSportsFan]

Mark Richt has lost control of this spreadsheet.

 

[DeepSpringsVol]

Mark Richt has lost control of this spreadsheet.

You always want to match Richt earlier in spreadsheets. Bound to have suspensions. --Spurrier