I think people have a really exaggerated perception of how speed truly works on a football field.
Relying on your natural speed to cover your mistakes is really easy in HS. Guys who have even modest D1 speed are almost always the fastest guy in the field in HS. At that level, you can use it to bail you out when you screw up, but it just doesn't work in D1.
ALL of the D1 players are fast - just not comparatively fast. The "fast" guys are running 4.3 - 4.4. The "slow" guys are running 4.8 - 4.9. 4.8 is still the fastest player in the field in most HS games.
If an "elite" 4.3 speed player makes a mental mistake - bites on a fake, takes a bad angle, etc - and that mistake allows a "slow" ball carrier or receiver (lets say a 4.8 guy) to get two strides on him, it will take the "fast" guy 25-30 yards to catch him straight line running with both at a full sprint.
And for the nay-sayers, the "math:"
- 4.3 second 40YD = 120 ft / 4.3 secs = 27.9 ft/sec. I'll give him the benefit of 28.
- 4.8 second 40YD = 120 ft / 4.8 secs = 25 ft/sec.
- So the 4.3 guys is covering an extra 3 ft. per second.
- If two strides is 10 ft, that means it takes him more than 3 seconds to catch the "slow" guy. 3.33 seconds x 25 fps = 83.25 ft / 3 = about 28 yards.
Angles and technique, mental discipline and ball awareness are ALWAYS far more important than speed.
No matter what some at Volnation may think, speed is not the primary reason the defense leaks like sieve. It's poor play. IMO, the real debate is the degree to which this coaching staff should be able to change the habits of the players and how quickly it can be done.
Yes, coaching matters a great deal. But, all players hit a ceiling at some point. That ceiling may be the player's physical abilities, mental capacity, ability to control emotions, etc. You never know. This is why you inevitably see players wash out unexpectedly and others accelerate well beyond what was believed to be their potential.
I just don't know where the breakdown is. I am willing to concede it could be on either side at this point. Only time will tell.