So there is a really funny possibility that the SotH comes from the minority party. I don’t think it will happen but I don’t believe the position is tied to party. Common sense just dictates it should follow from party.
But I’d say if Pelosi isn’t SotH it will probably be Kevin McCarthy then and I just don’t see them imploding that badly. But... this is 2020
It will be Pelosi. She’s a rainmaker fundraising wise. Ultimately that’s all that matters. Plus her top threat, Haakem Harris, has said he has no interest.