I think it could be 7 or less either way. UT is better than the 34-10 thing.
My observations -
This is key: on paper, UT doesn't have a chance against UGA. But last week, AU didn't have chance against UT. AU's edge was (1) focus on specific weaknesses, (2) anticipate and immediately take full advantage of UT's reactions, and (3) be less predictable on offense (show UGA something they haven't seen in the films). (Who would have though Ronnie Brown would be a receiver so often?) UT has the horses; I say with the right plan, UT can win.
Every rep *any* UT quarterback takes anywhere, anytime makes them better. More reps, all day, every day until game time. My guess is that the offensive play book got thinner this week, and there were lots of reps. So many that Ainge and Schaeffer are sick of it. Has to be done though.
Tennessee's vaunted O-line has to show up this time. Without them, it will be a very long day for UT. RUN, RUN, RUN, and BALL CONTROL. As many 7, 8, and 9-minute drives as possible.
I don't know how good UGA's secondary is, but it would seem to me that even freshmen can throw 6 and 8 yard passes to tight ends (of course they can) and backs swinging out of the backfield. Could it be that a double tight end set would be the ticket? You could run one or two wide receivers with Ainge, two or three with Schaeffer. Schaeffer may actually be the difference since he's the running quarterback.
Something else, too. If UT can force UGA to punt on its first couple of possessions, and UT's field position sucks, then quick-kick on a second or third down, and down it near the goal line. Bear Bryant did this on occasion. What happens is that the field position part of the game changes dramatically. It only works if UT is basically even with UGA on the scoreboard and having some success defensively.
The play calling has to be better. I don't mean like on the first series - it seemed like there was a fair amount of indecision/delay throughout the AU/UT game. The coaches need to have a clear plan and be able to signal it in without taking so much time.
Zone defense this week, with two DBs on Gibson if at all possible. Disguise that safety!!!!!!!!! And Allen has to make the critical tackles every time.
If UT can keep it close until the fourth quarter, UT's chances improve dramatically - I'd say to at least 50-50. If UGA gets a couple of touchdowns ahead, and the coaches haven't done their jobs, then the defense may let down, and it might get ugly.
Heads up, UT fans. It could happen.