Two things about Summitt. First, for a program of our stature and for a coach of HER stature, her recruiting is spotty. She gets some great players, but she misses on a number of players, too--or fails to develop them on the offensive end.
PS recruited two point guards in recent years--McMahon and Bobbitt, and neither is or, in McMahon's case, would have been that good. Bobbitt could yet become an effective player--but her tiny size is a definite limitation. McMahon, whose career is over sadly owing to bad knees, has a lot of toughness and heart but wasn't destined to be a great player. My point is, PS could have done better at that position.
Look at shooting guard: PS seems to have an affinity for heady girls who can shoot--but none of the last three shooting guards she's recruited--Zolman, Bjorklund and the Indiana kid who comes off the bench--is athletic enough to be really effective at that position. Shooting guards have to be able to create off the dribble; get their shots off while being guarded--and that requires athleticism, and none of this three could or can do that. Zolman was very good at making treys when she was wide open--but that was the ONLY thing she could do. Could not create shots on her own. Bjorklund is a little better, and has some game, but she's lanky and not very quick and that hurts her game. She is UT's best scoring option--and yet she scored her first point against Duke with about five minutes to go in the game!
Most of UT's problems over the last decade have been related to offense and scoring: PS has missed on a number of recruits, and beyond she tends to browbeat the offensive game out of a lot of players with her obsession with defense and rebounding. Anosike was a GREAT defensive player but it took her four years to learn how to make a four-foot shot. Because the women's game has been slow to develop, and there aren't a lot of great offensive players or teams out there, this PS strategy has worked: Look at the duke game: Even the Vols were terrible and clearly outplayed, they played enough defense to stay somewhat close to Duke--they were down less than 10 points late after a pathetic offensive performance.
That's the PS MO: Play tough defense and find a way to win even though the Vols often struggle offensively. Summitt managed to break her title drought and win two straight championships because she recruited Parker, who was not only the best offensive player in the game but a great defensive player too. She and Anosike were so good defensively and on the boards that the Vols could beat anybody even though they had to rely heavily on one player (parker) to score. Team offense is not PS's strength--that's why so many of UT's wins cannot be described as pretty.
As for CT: they are much better this year than last and it will take a HUGE upset to beat them, even tho they too have lost one starter for the year. I hope they lose in the tourney--would be sweet--but I can't see it happening.