Tennessee's Chance at SEC East

#1
Volsfan895

Volsfan895

Formerly Bobby Light
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#1
Does Tennessee have a good chance at winning the SEC East title...or will it go to Florida or Georgia?
 
#3
#3
Volsfan895 said:
Does Tennessee have a good chance at winning the SEC East title...or will it go to Florida or Georgia?
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They have a chance, but it is small. UT needed that game last night really bad to win the east. Also, the game showed us that we are not good at OL or DL. So that makes it even worse.
 
#6
#6
thirdsaturday said:
I wanted to argue, but ... I think you are dead on the money. Those percentages will change drastically (hopefully for UT) as the season continues.
:good!:
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Well, isn't it something like 7 or 8 of the ten SECE winners were the winner of the UT-UF game? Its some big number. This year is particularly interesting because of Florida's very difficult schedule facing the two SECW powers. So I think that opens it up some.

I was going to put UGA and UT tied at 25 % each, but I do think the status of your running game is so much in doubt right now that you have to knock you down a notch.

It is by no means impossible. But 20% basically means if we played five seasons from this point forward, you'd win the SECE once.
 
#7
#7
lawgator1 said:
Well, isn't it something like 7 or 8 of the ten SECE winners were the winner of the UT-UF game? Its some big number. This year is particularly interesting because of Florida's very difficult schedule facing the two SECW powers. So I think that opens it up some.

I was going to put UGA and UT tied at 25 % each, but I do think the status of your running game is so much in doubt right now that you have to knock you down a notch.

It is by no means impossible. But 20% basically means if we played five seasons from this point forward, you'd win the SECE once.
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Right on. I think you were correct. Obviously, we will know more about Georgia's chances after they play a game against an SEC power
 
#9
#9
I think UGA is definitely the favorite now with their schedule. They get Aub., Ole Miss, and Miss. St. from the west while UF gets Aub., LSU, and Alabama. So UGA should have about a 50 percent chance.
 
#10
#10
Our sec season depends on the next game and how well our runing game is at that point. it's a long season and can be won with one loss. Both ga. fla have a harder road.
 
#11
#11
well, we are obviously going to need help along the way....but we have a chance...sure we do.

Uf will get plenty of opportunities to lose with games against Bama, UGA, LSU, AUBURN...TN has plenty of opportunities to get back in it with games against UGA, LSU, BAMA, and USC...

the only two games i can see UF losing realistically is LSU and Auburn...they own UGA, Bama isn't as good as last year, and Spurrier's trip to the swamp as a visiting HC will not have the happy ending that they go in Columbia last year.

And even if they lose those two games, that means we have to win out in conference...which is not likely...but still possible.

Lose to UGA, and it's all but over.
 
#13
#13
tclowers23 said:
That will be a HUGE game... that is, of course, assuming we beat Marshall and Memphis.
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i don't want to assume anything, but i'll say this...if we were to lose to either of those teams....uh, it wouldn't be pretty. We should be 4-1 going in to the UGA game, a record that had you told me about prior to the season, i would have been estatic about...
 
#16
#16
Still too much season to start putting percentages next to it. We'll know more about Florida's chances after a 4-game stretch in October of Alabama, LSU, Auburn and Georgia.

Florida's offense still did not impress me, gaining a majority of their yardage on a tired Tennessee defense near the end of the game. Also, injuries are not predictable. The Vols were already thin at running back and Foster being hurt affected the Vols more than I thought it would.

If Foster gets healthy and Cucliffe can work out the kinks during the next 2 ballgames, the Vols can very easily win their remaining conference games. Remember, -11 yards rushing against Florida AND Florida still had to come from behind to win by 1-Point.

Georgia's schedule is much easier, but they have more questions on offense than any of the 3 contenders. Their schedule includes Tennessee, Auburn and Florida. The western powerhouses Ole Miss and Miss State should not give them any problems.

Tennessee still must play Georgia, Alabama, and LSU. They also have 1 loss already.

So, to sum it up.... Florida has the edge on Tennessee due to the head-to-head win. Georgia has the edge in schedule, but has not been tested by a good team thus far and may end up below both Florida and Tennessee. Tennessee is now in the sit back and wait mode similar to the mid-1990s. However, I don't think Florida is near as good overall as they were in the mid-90s.
 
#19
#19
jakez4ut said:
i don't want to assume anything, but i'll say this...if we were to lose to either of those teams....uh, it wouldn't be pretty. We should be 4-1 going in to the UGA game, a record that had you told me about prior to the season, i would have been estatic about...
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As much as losing to the Gators sucks, I have to agree with you. I really expected the Vols to be 1-2 at this point.
 
#20
#20
VolunteerHillbilly said:
As much as losing to the Gators sucks, I have to agree with you. I really expected the Vols to be 1-2 at this point.
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i think a lot of people did...beating CAl was a huge confidence builder..and it showed as we all expected to beat florida after that game, and i doubt very few truly expected to beat UF before the season started...i don't want to come off like it doesn't matter that we lost, but at the same time, we're 1-1 against top ten teams this year...and will likely get to play two more before the season is over....still a lot to play for considering the mood BEFORE the season started.
 
#21
#21
allvol said:
Remember, -11 yards rushing against Florida AND Florida still had to come from behind to win by 1-Point.

Georgia's schedule is much easier, but they have more questions on offense than any of the 3 contenders. Their schedule includes Tennessee, Auburn and Florida. The western powerhouses Ole Miss and Miss State should not give them any problems.

.
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two good points...UGA has the easiest road, and could be the benfactor of UF's tough schedule. And TN is not done yet, but the UGA game is a must win if there is any chance at an SEC East title this year.

I still feel like UGA though will get their questions answered at Qb in time for the TN game...don't sleepwalk on the Dawgs...

no one is talking about them much right now, but they are in the cat bird's seat....they and Florida are the only one's that control their own destiny. and we all know how good a coach Richt is...he'll have those guys ready.
 
#22
#22
lawgator1 said:
Realistically, I'd say ...

Florida 50 %
UGA 30 %
UT 20 %
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I disagree with those numbers b/c UGA can still win the tiebreaker w/ UF when the square off. UF does own a win over UT which gives them the advantage, but I think that evens out b/c UGA plays Ole Miss and MSU while UF gets Bama and LSU. That is a huge difference. Plus, Bama has had Florida's number lately and in the past.

I would say 40% for both UGA and UF with UT 20%.
 
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