Tennessee's Roster is Heavy on the Defense, Decimated on Offense

#1

rocktopper16

Don’t mind me, I’m just here for the meltdown.
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#1
SB Nation Article ;

Most of the offensive firepower that gave Tennessee what success it did have in 2012 is now gone. Can the defense or the running game step up to take its place?

Normally, Seventeen returning starters is a pretty solid number for any team on a 26-man team (counting the specialists, as the Tennessee official numbers do). The problem that the Volunteers have this year is that the half of the team that was pretty good last year isn't where most of returning starters can be found, and those players that will come back for the 2013 season were on the half of the team that arguably got Derek Dooley fired.

Only five starters return to the offense that churned out 5,711 yards and 434 points last season. Four of those are offensive linemen -- which is nice, but a lot nicer if at least a few of the skill players return -- and the other is Rajion Neal. (Marlin Lane is not listed as a returning starter in Tennessee's spring guide, but is still listed as a returning letterman.) The intriguing possibility that raises is that Tennessee's defense could improve enough to pass the regressing Tennessee offense -- or that if the offense puts it together quickly, that the Vols could surprise to the upside.

BIGGEST RETURN | LB A.J. Johnson
As you might imagine with all the offensive losses, the most important player who comes back is likely on the defensive side of the ball. Johnson was one of the best linebackers in the SEC last season -- and Tennessee is hoping he can be even better this year. That might be difficult from a purely statistical standpoint -- Johnson had 138 tackles, 8.5 of those for losses, in 2012. (He also rushed for six touchdowns on offense, but that's neither here nor there right now.) But Johnson had a single sack, and will end up in the important middle linebacker position as the Vols transition back to the 4-3 defense. If Tennessee is going to improve significantly on the defensive side of the ball -- and they will have to in order to have a successful season -- then Johnson will be a big part of that.

BIGGEST LOSS | The passing game
I can't recall the last time an offense in the SEC was so thoroughly decimated in one season -- though Arkansas comes close over the last two. The top four wide receivers and the only quarterback who attempted more than 23 passes in 2012 are gone. That's not a small matter for a team that got nearly two thirds of its offense in 2012 through the air. Justin Worley, who had the second-most pass attempts last season behind Tyler Bray, threw for fewer yards per completion than the top four receivers had yards per catch. With those sorts of numbers, it's hard to isolate which loss will hurt Tennessee the most this year. In fact, you could make the argument that the Vols' offense could have moved forward if one or even two of these players had left -- but with all five gone, it's going to be almost impossible to not skip a beat.

BREAKTHROUGH POSSIBILITY | RB Rajion Neal
There are two things that have conspired to increase Neal's potential to be the biggest turnaround on the field for Tennessee this season. The first is the disappearance of the passing game, and the likelihood that the coaching staff is going to feel more comfortable leaning on the running game, at least for the first few weeks of the season. The second is that Neal might get more carries given the still-unsure footing of Marlin Lane with the coaching staff, though Lane appears to be on the road to getting back in Butch Jones' good graces. Lane had better numbers last year on average -- he gained an average of a yard more per carry -- but the question is whether he can regain the coaches' trust. And if he can't, Neal could end up as the man for the Vols' offense.
 
#2
#2
If we can scheme toward our strengths - strong running behind non-predictable Oline assignments; screen passes and short passes to the TE or to a slot WR in the flat - we may be ok on offense. We don't have to throw it 40+ yards down the field to win. In fact, most don't - i.e. Alabama.

If we play each play until the whistle sounds - we're good. Avoid the Mizz game of last year.

Lastly, on defense, we should be better going back to the 4-3. But it really doesn't matter what scheme you run if your DBs get smoked on almost every play or are out of position and an H-back from Fla runs an 80-yard TD on you. If we can tackle in open spaces, play good fundamentals and keep the other offense honest with a blitz or nickel/dime packages occasionally, I believe we'll be better than 50/50 and bowling come December.

If that happens, everyone in Volnation SHOULD be happy at this point in the rebuilding.
 
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#6
#6
Decimated technically means to "be reduced by one tenth"

So our offense is screwed

By my understanding decimated only means 1/10th if you are talking taxes or genocide.

In other uses it means "to reduce drastically especially in number" or "to cause great destruction or harm to".

If Merriam-Webster has any say, I think the last use was intended.

...and I've done my good deed for the day. :)
 
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#9
#9
I believe Bullard has started before, maybe even Marcus Jackson, too. I believe both Neal and Lane have started. And Rivera to Downs ... huge drop-off ... OMG, the sky is falling! What a fabricated alarmist waaah article. Let's put the damn ball on the tee and play.
 
#11
#11
We have plenty of players at every position on offense but other than the offensive line all are young and inexperienced. We will see if we can get enough players to step up and play well to make our offense good enough to win. QB is the huge position and I don't think Jones will hesitate to use a freshman if the other guys can't get it done early. Plenty of inexperienced talent at WR we just need four guys to be good. Running back is better than most say I think huge years out of Lane, Neal and Alden will bruise some defenses with his style.
 
#12
#12
The etymology of decimated comes from Roman legions that didn't meet Imperial standards having one in every tenth man killed. The legion would then be decimated. As I recall,a Centurion would march down the ranks killing every tenth man with his gladius. I'd have hated to see the guy ten men away get eviscerated as the centurion marched my way. I bet ol Dools coulda spun us a tale about decimation. lol. I miss him like a bad cold. GO VOLS!
 
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#13
#13
I can't recall the last time an offense in the SEC was so thoroughly decimated in one season -- though Arkansas comes close over the last two. The top four wide receivers and the only quarterback who attempted more than 23 passes in 2012 are gone. That's not a small matter for a team that got nearly two thirds of its offense in 2012 through the air.

That obviously hurts but is somewhat misleading. We threw a lot, and threw long a lot, because 1) we had an OC that likes to throw the ball a lot, and 2) had a strong arm QB and a slew of WR/TE that could go vertical, so was our strnegth, and 3) because of our horrid D had to keep pace with the quick scoring of the opposing offense. If our D is improved it will go a long way to helping the offense, which will not need to be scoring on 1:00 drives the entire game just to stay in the game.

My one worry with the running game this season is that it was much improved last season from the season before, but the running game last season was helped by the fact that we had not one, but multiple quality receivers that could force opposing safeties to play over the top rather than coming into the box. We will definitely need one of the young recievers, North, Croom, Harris, etc, to step up and be that guy that can keep the safeties back to help the running game, as we will likely have to lean on the ground game this season.
 
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#14
#14
My one worry with the running game this season is that it was much improved last season from the season before,

Man, if all you have is one worry about the Vols this season, then DANG, were gonna have one heckuva year!! GBO!
 
#15
#15
OMG, OMG, OMG! I am such a teenage girl about my Vols. lol. Woe is me. They will have to get VOLunteers from the middle school to play. Our little boys will be treated so mean by those big old bullies.

Enough with the goober stuff.
 
#16
#16
For the past 40 plus years I've watched Vol coach after coach avoid freshmen like the plague. Johnny Majors the most obvious, yet other teams around the nation seem to utilize freshmen to great success. Every season I watch games and hear the announcers call out the names of freshman running backs, WRs, and defensive backs on teams like Bama, GA, Fla, SC, etc, and they make it work. I realize there is a great difference btw freshman and soph players in physical development and understanding of the game, but what gives? Do we not get the great recruits capable of playing right away like other schools or are the coaches not willing to risk trying to develop and utilize the younguns?
 
#18
#18
I think every fan base thinks they don't play freshmen enough.
 
#19
#19
I think it is funny how Tyler Bray was known as cocky, never won a meaningful game in SEC, struggled against the blitz, couldn't audible in the right situation and had a run in with the law but it is considered a huge loss on offense. I understand he holds some records at UT and whatever else but loosing Bray isn't going to hurt us like the "experts" think. Patterson is a bigger loss in my opinion. This will be a different offense but much more effective.
 
#20
#20
The only guy I will really miss on offense is Patterson!

Man he was fun to watch! :cray:

.
 
#21
#21
My one worry with the running game this season is that it was much improved last season from the season before,

Man, if all you have is one worry about the Vols this season, then DANG, were gonna have one heckuva year!! GBO!

I believe I said that was my one worry with the running game, which is supposed to be our strength on offense this season, at least in the early part of the season.
 
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#22
#22
TN has enough depth to get things done. It is nowhere near as bad as when Dooley inherited a depleted roster. Is it a little thin at a few positions? Yes. I have full faith that Coach Jones will do a dang good job with this team.
 
#23
#23
SB Nation Article ;

Most of the offensive firepower that gave Tennessee what success it did have in 2012 is now gone. Can the defense or the running game step up to take its place?

Normally, Seventeen returning starters is a pretty solid number for any team on a 26-man team (counting the specialists, as the Tennessee official numbers do). The problem that the Volunteers have this year is that the half of the team that was pretty good last year isn't where most of returning starters can be found, and those players that will come back for the 2013 season were on the half of the team that arguably got Derek Dooley fired.

Only five starters return to the offense that churned out 5,711 yards and 434 points last season. Four of those are offensive linemen -- which is nice, but a lot nicer if at least a few of the skill players return -- and the other is Rajion Neal. (Marlin Lane is not listed as a returning starter in Tennessee's spring guide, but is still listed as a returning letterman.) The intriguing possibility that raises is that Tennessee's defense could improve enough to pass the regressing Tennessee offense -- or that if the offense puts it together quickly, that the Vols could surprise to the upside.

BIGGEST RETURN | LB A.J. Johnson
As you might imagine with all the offensive losses, the most important player who comes back is likely on the defensive side of the ball. Johnson was one of the best linebackers in the SEC last season -- and Tennessee is hoping he can be even better this year. That might be difficult from a purely statistical standpoint -- Johnson had 138 tackles, 8.5 of those for losses, in 2012. (He also rushed for six touchdowns on offense, but that's neither here nor there right now.) But Johnson had a single sack, and will end up in the important middle linebacker position as the Vols transition back to the 4-3 defense. If Tennessee is going to improve significantly on the defensive side of the ball -- and they will have to in order to have a successful season -- then Johnson will be a big part of that.

BIGGEST LOSS | The passing game
I can't recall the last time an offense in the SEC was so thoroughly decimated in one season -- though Arkansas comes close over the last two. The top four wide receivers and the only quarterback who attempted more than 23 passes in 2012 are gone. That's not a small matter for a team that got nearly two thirds of its offense in 2012 through the air. Justin Worley, who had the second-most pass attempts last season behind Tyler Bray, threw for fewer yards per completion than the top four receivers had yards per catch. With those sorts of numbers, it's hard to isolate which loss will hurt Tennessee the most this year. In fact, you could make the argument that the Vols' offense could have moved forward if one or even two of these players had left -- but with all five gone, it's going to be almost impossible to not skip a beat.

BREAKTHROUGH POSSIBILITY | RB Rajion Neal
There are two things that have conspired to increase Neal's potential to be the biggest turnaround on the field for Tennessee this season. The first is the disappearance of the passing game, and the likelihood that the coaching staff is going to feel more comfortable leaning on the running game, at least for the first few weeks of the season. The second is that Neal might get more carries given the still-unsure footing of Marlin Lane with the coaching staff, though Lane appears to be on the road to getting back in Butch Jones' good graces. Lane had better numbers last year on average -- he gained an average of a yard more per carry -- but the question is whether he can regain the coaches' trust. And if he can't, Neal could end up as the man for the Vols' offense.

The only RB we have that I think is built to pound the rock and grind it out is Hill. I don't think CBJ wil over-rely on one back and I think he will be more Les Miles and use a 3 back rotation with Neal-Lane and Hill. But for the moment, I think Neal will get more carries.
 
#24
#24
We lost some physically gifted athletes on offense. However, I think we will be a much improved TEAM this year which is near impossible to quantify at this point.
 
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#25
#25
For the past 40 plus years I've watched Vol coach after coach avoid freshmen like the plague. Johnny Majors the most obvious, yet other teams around the nation seem to utilize freshmen to great success. Every season I watch games and hear the announcers call out the names of freshman running backs, WRs, and defensive backs on teams like Bama, GA, Fla, SC, etc, and they make it work. I realize there is a great difference btw freshman and soph players in physical development and understanding of the game, but what gives? Do we not get the great recruits capable of playing right away like other schools or are the coaches not willing to risk trying to develop and utilize the younguns?

Barring injury, I'm betting Hurd plays, and plays a lot, as a freshman.
 

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