tennessee's sec tournament seed

#1

csprig9

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#1
Is there a chance that ut is a 2 seed if they beat vandy and FL loses to uk?
 
#5
#5
so whats the whole scenario here. If Tennessee wins are they in the 4th spot or is there a chance they could win out and still not get a bye?

Edit* check that nvm
 
#6
#6
There are 3 seeding possibilities for Tennessee at this point- 2, 3, and 5

Scenario for the 2 seed:
-We beat Vandy and Kentucky beats Florida.

Scenario for the 3 seed:
-We beat Vandy, Florida beats Kentucky, Alabama loses at Ole Miss

Scenarios for a 5 seed:
-We beat Vandy, Florida beats Kentucky, Alabama beats Ole Miss

-We lose to Vandy


I think UK beats Florida, and Alabama beats Ole Miss. So it will come down to either a 2 or 5 seed for us. Out of all these scenarios, I think the 3 seed is by far the least likely, and the 5 seed is most likely.
 
#7
#7
There are 3 seeding possibilities for Tennessee at this point- 2, 3, and 5

Scenario for the 2 seed:
-We beat Vandy and Kentucky beats Florida.

Scenario for the 3 seed:
-We beat Vandy, Florida beats Kentucky, Alabama loses at Ole Miss

Scenarios for a 5 seed


-We beat Vandy, Florida beats Kentucky, Alabama beats Ole Miss

-We lose to Vandy


I think UK beats Florida, and Alabama beats Ole Miss. So it will come down to either a 2 or 5 seed for us. Out of all these scenarios, I think the 3 seed is by far the least likely, and the 5 seed is most likely.

End thread! Great analysis.
 
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#8
#8
If we get a 5 seed, it's for certain that our first round opponent will be South Carolina, and our quarterfinal opponent would be Alabama.

If we get the 2 or 3 seed, our quarterfinal opponents would likely be either Miss St or LSU (as long as one of them doesn't lose in the first round to Georgia or Auburn but with MSU, that is a distinct possibility)

I'm kind of split who I'd rather play between LSU and Miss St. I think MSU is better but obviously not playing well as of late, and LSU will be playing in New Orleans with revenge fresh on their mind.
 
#9
#9
UT really needs to win and hope for a UF or Bama loss.

5th seed would not help UT get to the NCAA tourny. USC rpi would kill UT's chances and they would play UK before the SEC finals.

UT is on the bubble of the bubble...they need every break.
 
#10
#10
Why does Bama have to lose to Ole Miss to get the two seed?
 
#14
#14
IMO,

UT's best scenario is they win Sat. and win 2 SEC games. That will give them 19 wins that count. Is that enough? If the committee looks at the body of work starting with SEC play then it may.

If they lose Sat. it doesn't matter...NIT.
 
#15
#15
Yes this. 3rd seed would be fine...almost as good as the 2nd. Would basically be in the same boat.

The difference would be between playing LSU or MSU in the quarterfinals. Also, with being the 2 seed, it would allow the coaches to stick around and scout the 3 seed game that is played immediately afterwards
 
#16
#16
Two years ago Miss St barely missed beating Ky in the SEC tourney finals and still didn't make the NCAA tourney with a resume similar to UT's if I remember correctly. They needed to go on a run and did, but still didn't make it. Most everyone thought they had done enough to get in and should've beaten Ky, but Ky sent it into OT and got the win. I just don't see UT getting in unless they win the SEC tourney. Too many bad losses and not enough good wins before Jan.
 
#17
#17
Two years ago Miss St barely missed beating Ky in the SEC tourney finals and still didn't make the NCAA tourney with a resume similar to UT's if I remember correctly. They needed to go on a run and did, but still didn't make it. Most everyone thought they had done enough to get in and should've beaten Ky, but Ky sent it into OT and got the win. I just don't see UT getting in unless they win the SEC tourney. Too many bad losses and not enough good wins before Jan.

What year was this?

Edit: I believe you're referring to 09-10 season. If so their resume was...

20-10(9-7)
Last 10 games: 5-5
RPI on Selection Sunday: 69

That in now way compares to what tennessees resume would look like with a win over vandy, and 2 wins in sec tournament.
 
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#20
#20
There are 3 seeding possibilities for Tennessee at this point- 2, 3, and 5

Scenario for the 2 seed:
-We beat Vandy and Kentucky beats Florida.Scenario for the 3 seed:
-We beat Vandy, Florida beats Kentucky, Alabama loses at Ole Miss

Scenarios for a 5 seed:
-We beat Vandy, Florida beats Kentucky, Alabama beats Ole Miss-We lose to Vandy


I think UK beats Florida, and Alabama beats Ole Miss. So it will come down to either a 2 or 5 seed for us. Out of all these scenarios, I think the 3 seed is by far the least likely, and the 5 seed is most likely.

Most likely scenario (in BOLD) and we get the 2 seed. :hi:
 
#21
#21
What year was this?

Edit: I believe you're referring to 09-10 season. If so their resume was...

20-10(9-7)
Last 10 games: 5-5
RPI on Selection Sunday: 69

That in now way compares to what tennessees resume would look like with a win over vandy, and 2 wins in sec tournament.

It wouldn't in the last 10 games, but it would RPI wise and record wise. The resumes are very similar. They finished 9-7 and we'll finish 10-6 or 9-7. One game difference at that.

Their overall record was better and their RPI would end up being about the same if we win our next 3 games. Would we get as far as #69? We'll see. Our non-conference losses are going to be our albatross.
 
#22
#22
Everyone keeps pointing to Alabama, and now Mississippi state as teams we'd be comparable to.

Both those teams closed the year badly and both had RPI near 70. If Tennessee wins the next 3 as we're all referring to, they've closed the year as well as most tea in the country. And would have a RPI in the 45-55 range. That's a BIG difference from Alabama of a year ago, and Mississippi state from 2 years ago.
 
#24
#24
It wouldn't in the last 10 games, but it would RPI wise and record wise. The resumes are very similar. They finished 9-7 and we'll finish 10-6 or 9-7. One game difference at that.

Their overall record was better and their RPI would end up being about the same if we win our next 3 games. Would we get as far as #69? We'll see. Our non-conference losses are going to be our albatross.

NO WAY!!!

Our RPI if we win the next 3 is between 45-55, 55 being the VERY HIGHEST.
 
#25
#25
Everyone keeps pointing to Alabama, and now Mississippi state as teams we'd be comparable to.

Both those teams closed the year badly and both had RPI near 70. If Tennessee wins the next 3 as we're all referring to, they've closed the year as well as most tea in the country. And would have a RPI in the 45-55 range. That's a BIG difference from Alabama of a year ago, and Mississippi state from 2 years ago.

What was Bama's RPI on Selection Sunday?

It's not just a comparison. It's a barometer to see what the NCAA uses to select you and how we'll fit in. Every year is different though. I just like to see where each team was and what their record was. I don't feel like looking it up, but I wonder who Bama and Miss St beat in their non-conference schedule those two years. What bad teams did they lose to like Austin Peay if any?

There was an argument that Bama and Miss St deserved to be in the NCAA tourney. Bama went 10-6 and still didn't make the tourney because of their non-conference strength if I remember correctly.

I'd say Miss St going on a run and almost beating (and should've beaten really) a good Ky team gave them a good argument to get in the tourney. Their overall body of work was pretty good. Their RPI was iffy, but they looked like a tourney team in the 3 games I saw them. I went to every game during that tourney and Ky was the only team better than them...barely. They handled a Vandy team fairly easily that made the tourney as a #4 seed.
 

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