The Army/Boise State conundrum

#1

zjcvols

"On a Tennessee Saturday night."
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#1
As you guys know, Army is currently undefeated. Now, they play Notre Dame in New York Saturday so there’s a good chance the story ends. But the committee could have a very tough decision to make.

In case you have never realized, the CFP is decided BEFORE the Army/Navy game. If we assume Boise State goes 13-1 and wins the MWC, they are currently the favorites for the G5 spot. But what if Army goes undefeated and beats Notre Dame? Will the committee but both in? Will the committee take the chance and put Army in knowing they could lose to Navy? Will the committee put both in?

It’s a fascinating subplot
 
#2
#2
As you guys know, Army is currently undefeated. Now, they play Notre Dame in New York Saturday so there’s a good chance the story ends. But the committee could have a very tough decision to make.

In case you have never realized, the CFP is decided BEFORE the Army/Navy game. If we assume Boise State goes 13-1 and wins the MWC, they are currently the favorites for the G5 spot. But what if Army goes undefeated and beats Notre Dame? Will the committee but both in? Will the committee take the chance and put Army in knowing they could lose to Navy? Will the committee put both in?

It’s a fascinating subplot
What’s really interesting is that if both make it, the Big XII may be left out entirely.
 
#3
#3
What’s really interesting is that if both make it, the Big XII may be left out entirely.
I don’t understand this, I thought the power 4 conference champions were guaranteed a first round bye spot no matter what.

Even in your scenario how is the Big12 left out?
 
#4
#4
As you guys know, Army is currently undefeated. Now, they play Notre Dame in New York Saturday so there’s a good chance the story ends. But the committee could have a very tough decision to make.

In case you have never realized, the CFP is decided BEFORE the Army/Navy game. If we assume Boise State goes 13-1 and wins the MWC, they are currently the favorites for the G5 spot. But what if Army goes undefeated and beats Notre Dame? Will the committee but both in? Will the committee take the chance and put Army in knowing they could lose to Navy? Will the committee put both in?

It’s a fascinating subplot
Army isn't losing to Navy this year.

I don't think they get in regardless if BS goes 13-1.
 
#5
#5
I don’t understand this, I thought the power 4 conference champions were guaranteed a first round bye spot no matter what.

Even in your scenario how is the Big12 left out?
I believe it is the four top-ranked conference champions, not necessarily P4.
 
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#6
#6
I don’t understand this, I thought the power 4 conference champions were guaranteed a first round bye spot no matter what.

Even in your scenario how is the Big12 left out?

It actually says nothing about power conferences. The committee’s job is take the 5 best conference champions. That’s it. So let’s just create a wild scenario where Let’s say Boise State and Army don’t lose. Miami loses the next 2 games, Clemson loses their next two games and is 8-4 (they would have 2 conference loses compared to Miami’s 3) and then Clemson beats SMU The committee could actually take Boise State and Army over Clemson.

Would the committee do that? No. But they could.
 
#7
#7
Maybe I dreamed this but I thought under the previous playoff system they actually had a clause that if the Army/Navy game somehow factored into the playoff choices i.e. one of the teams has a legit chance to be in the 4 that they would hold off the final rankings. I get even if that were real that doesn't mean the new playoff set up has that but again could have sworn I remember that was a thing even though it was very very far fetched.

I don't think Army will beat ND but if they did and then won the AAC and beat Navy, that's a tough call if Boise ends up winning out, as their only loss would be a 3 point road loss to possibly the #1 seeded team.
 
#8
#8
I don’t understand this, I thought the power 4 conference champions were guaranteed a first round bye spot no matter what.

Even in your scenario how is the Big12 left out?

That was the ORIGINAL criteria but they took that out.
 
#10
#10
If Notre Dame can lose at home to who thry did, I'm believing army can win!
 
#11
#11
As you guys know, Army is currently undefeated. Now, they play Notre Dame in New York Saturday so there’s a good chance the story ends. But the committee could have a very tough decision to make.

In case you have never realized, the CFP is decided BEFORE the Army/Navy game. If we assume Boise State goes 13-1 and wins the MWC, they are currently the favorites for the G5 spot. But what if Army goes undefeated and beats Notre Dame? Will the committee but both in? Will the committee take the chance and put Army in knowing they could lose to Navy? Will the committee put both in?

It’s a fascinating subplot
The committee is going to have to start making strength of schedule more important or some very deserving teams are going to be left out while some undeserving teams with cupcake schedules are going to be annihilated in the playoffs, which nobody cares to see. BYU and Indiana should have never even been in the discussion. Every short bus is going to have one kid smarter that the rest, but it doesn't mean they deserve to be valedictorian.
 

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