Updated "Tennessee set up for success"..

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Ned Ray McWorkher

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https://atozsports.com/nashville/news-tennessee-vols-georgia-bulldogs-knoxville-2023/#



(If you’re reading this, there’s a decent chance you read my recent article about Tennessee being set up better for longterm success than Alabama or Georgia. Stick with me until the end and I’ll add some context to my thoughts and respond to some of the criticism from opposing fan bases, writers, etc.)
"Tennessee being set up better for longterm success than Alabama or Georgia”
Alright, so let’s just dive right into this.
Earlier this week, I wro better for longterm success than Alabama or Georgia.
I think a lot of folks are misinterpreting what I was trying to say, though perhaps I could’ve included some better context.
In no way am I predicting that Tennessee is about to take over college football. I have no idea what the future holds. No one does. Everyone makes predictions — including some of the writers who took a shot at me (good for them I guess?) — and rarely do those predictions pan out. They’re just for fun. And folks tend to take them way too seriously.
But back to the article. I suggested that Georgia is a special team at the moment because they have an elite offense and an elite defense. Their offense was incredibly underrated and overshadowed by their defense. But that offense is what truly made Georgia a juggernaut. It’s why they didn’t lose against LSU in the SEC Championship game or Ohio State in the College Football Playoff semifinal.
With Kirby Smart leading the program as a defensive-minded guy, he’s reliant on someone else running that offense. The same goes for Alabama and Nick Saban.
Tennessee, however, isn’t. Josh Heupel is always going to run the offense in Knoxville as long as he’s the head coach. There will be no risk of a bad offensive coordinator.
Now, obviously, that same concept applies to Georgia/Alabama when it comes to defense. They’ll never have to worry about who runs the defense.
Essentially, my belief is that offense is more important than defense in college football. Maybe other folks disagree or believe my thinking is flawed. That’s fine. I don’t have all the answers (and neither does anyone else). That’s just how I view the sport moving forward.
With that said, I’m not predicting Tennessee’s imminent rise or Georgia’s downfall. I also think success, at least for now, is defined differently for all three programs.
For the Vols, success is an 11-win season. Stacking those types of seasons on top of each other is something Tennessee has to do before they even think about getting to Alabama’s level or Georgia’s level.
But for Bama and UGA, success is a national championship.
 
#2
#2



(If you’re reading this, there’s a decent chance you read my recent article about Tennessee being set up better for longterm success than Alabama or Georgia. Stick with me until the end and I’ll add some context to my thoughts and respond to some of the criticism from opposing fan bases, writers, etc.)
"Tennessee being set up better for longterm success than Alabama or Georgia”
Alright, so let’s just dive right into this.
Earlier this week, I wro better for longterm success than Alabama or Georgia.
I think a lot of folks are misinterpreting what I was trying to say, though perhaps I could’ve included some better context.
In no way am I predicting that Tennessee is about to take over college football. I have no idea what the future holds. No one does. Everyone makes predictions — including some of the writers who took a shot at me (good for them I guess?) — and rarely do those predictions pan out. They’re just for fun. And folks tend to take them way too seriously.
But back to the article. I suggested that Georgia is a special team at the moment because they have an elite offense and an elite defense. Their offense was incredibly underrated and overshadowed by their defense. But that offense is what truly made Georgia a juggernaut. It’s why they didn’t lose against LSU in the SEC Championship game or Ohio State in the College Football Playoff semifinal.
With Kirby Smart leading the program as a defensive-minded guy, he’s reliant on someone else running that offense. The same goes for Alabama and Nick Saban.
Tennessee, however, isn’t. Josh Heupel is always going to run the offense in Knoxville as long as he’s the head coach. There will be no risk of a bad offensive coordinator.
Now, obviously, that same concept applies to Georgia/Alabama when it comes to defense. They’ll never have to worry about who runs the defense.
Essentially, my belief is that offense is more important than defense in college football. Maybe other folks disagree or believe my thinking is flawed. That’s fine. I don’t have all the answers (and neither does anyone else). That’s just how I view the sport moving forward.
With that said, I’m not predicting Tennessee’s imminent rise or Georgia’s downfall. I also think success, at least for now, is defined differently for all three programs.
For the Vols, success is an 11-win season. Stacking those types of seasons on top of each other is something Tennessee has to do before they even think about getting to Alabama’s level or Georgia’s level.
But for Bama and UGA, success is a national championship.
That's a valid point.
Still hard to agree totally because of Kirby being a UGA alum, and the level he's recruiting and developing at is above where anyone else is right now. He's not going anywhere...

He and Josh are both in their 40s and have to play each other every year.
I can see us beginning to win the majority of the Bama and Florida games going forward.
But UGA? ....can't see it yet.
They're too good right now
 
#3
#3
That's a valid point.
Still hard to agree totally because of Kirby being a UGA alum, and the level he's recruiting and developing at is above where anyone else is right now. He's not going anywhere...

He and Josh are both in their 40s and have to play each other every year.
I can see us beginning to win the majority of the Bama and Florida games going forward.
But UGA? ....can't see it yet.
They're too good right now

After next season, Tennessee will only play UGA and Florida every other year. We will only play Bama, Kentucky and Vandy annually.
 
#5
#5
That's a valid point.
Still hard to agree totally because of Kirby being a UGA alum, and the level he's recruiting and developing at is above where anyone else is right now. He's not going anywhere...

He and Josh are both in their 40s and have to play each other every year.
I can see us beginning to win the majority of the Bama and Florida games going forward.
But UGA? ....can't see it yet.
They're too good right now
If we can get close to them in recruiting, we'll be fine. We beat Bama with less talent. We can beat UGA if we get somewhat comparable talent.
 
#6
#6
Shorter Updated Article: A complete team will always beat half a team. UGA was a complete team this year, we are hoping they go back to being half a team.
 
#7
#7
It does make me feel better that our HC is the actual OC. What’s going to be entertaining is when the NCAA goes to this 12 team basketball type playoff off and 6 to 8 teams are from the SEC 😆. The rest of the football world is going to lose their minds!!! And I love it! I just wish we could reduce the regular season games to 10.
 
#10
#10
If we can get close to them in recruiting, we'll be fine. We beat Bama with less talent. We can beat UGA if we get somewhat comparable talent.

I agree.

It's about strong QB play with that game.
 
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#11
#11
If our 3 permanent opponents are Bama, vandy, and ky, then that right there helps to set us up for success vs other top programs in the SEC. But here's a what if question: What if every other year our 6 rotational opponents are Georgia, LSU, Auburn, Texas, Oklahoma, and Florida? And then the alternate years it would be SC, Miss, Miss St, Arkansas, Missouri, and Tex A&M. If we ever became a national champ again, it would be in one of those latter years, and we would never be able to repeat. i understand the odds of this are very low, but if it happened, what would our fan base think about it? No chance to win a natty every other year, and a really good chance to win one the other years?
 
#12
#12
If our 3 permanent opponents are Bama, vandy, and ky, then that right there helps to set us up for success vs other top programs in the SEC. But here's a what if question: What if every other year our 6 rotational opponents are Georgia, LSU, Auburn, Texas, Oklahoma, and Florida? And then the alternate years it would be SC, Miss, Miss St, Arkansas, Missouri, and Tex A&M. If we ever became a national champ again, it would be in one of those latter years, and we would never be able to repeat. i understand the odds of this are very low, but if it happened, what would our fan base think about it? No chance to win a natty every other year, and a really good chance to win one the other years?
They aren't going to do that, for anyone. Everybody is going to have 4-5 of the traditional "haves" on their schedule every year, regardless of who their permanents are. If you have fewer "haves" in your 3 permanent slots you will have more "haves" in your 6 game rotational pool. Everybody will have a tough schedule, there will be no where to hide. If you want to win the league, you better be GOOD.
 
#15
#15
Don't forget too that there will be a 12 team playoff. So you don't have to be SEC Champ to make it in every year. I think Tennessee is certainly a perennial playoff team, with a chance to go all the way, every year.
You may have to at least be in the SEC title game to make the playoff. And any SEC team that we could not beat in the regular season would likely be in the playoff as well.
 
#16
#16
Don't forget too that there will be a 12 team playoff. So you don't have to be SEC Champ to make it in every year. I think Tennessee is certainly a perennial playoff team, with a chance to go all the way, every year.

I'm interested to see how this plays out from the standpoint of, let's say, fan satisfaction. On the one hand, the easier path to the playoffs is enticing (I think all the teams from when I was in school would have made the playoffs, and it's interesting to think what some of those late-blooming teams might have accomplished there). On the other hand, almost all those teams that in the past ended the season with a big bowl win (such as, for instance, the big win over Michigan after the '01 season) will now end the season with a disappointing loss (such as, for instance, we experienced against Nebraska after the '97 season). It'll be interesting to me to see how much the euphoria of earning a spot in the playoffs offsets the disappointment of ending most seasons with a loss.
 
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#17
#17



(If you’re reading this, there’s a decent chance you read my recent article about Tennessee being set up better for longterm success than Alabama or Georgia. Stick with me until the end and I’ll add some context to my thoughts and respond to some of the criticism from opposing fan bases, writers, etc.)
"Tennessee being set up better for longterm success than Alabama or Georgia”
Alright, so let’s just dive right into this.
Earlier this week, I wro better for longterm success than Alabama or Georgia.
I think a lot of folks are misinterpreting what I was trying to say, though perhaps I could’ve included some better context.
In no way am I predicting that Tennessee is about to take over college football. I have no idea what the future holds. No one does. Everyone makes predictions — including some of the writers who took a shot at me (good for them I guess?) — and rarely do those predictions pan out. They’re just for fun. And folks tend to take them way too seriously.
But back to the article. I suggested that Georgia is a special team at the moment because they have an elite offense and an elite defense. Their offense was incredibly underrated and overshadowed by their defense. But that offense is what truly made Georgia a juggernaut. It’s why they didn’t lose against LSU in the SEC Championship game or Ohio State in the College Football Playoff semifinal.
With Kirby Smart leading the program as a defensive-minded guy, he’s reliant on someone else running that offense. The same goes for Alabama and Nick Saban.
Tennessee, however, isn’t. Josh Heupel is always going to run the offense in Knoxville as long as he’s the head coach. There will be no risk of a bad offensive coordinator.
Now, obviously, that same concept applies to Georgia/Alabama when it comes to defense. They’ll never have to worry about who runs the defense.
Essentially, my belief is that offense is more important than defense in college football. Maybe other folks disagree or believe my thinking is flawed. That’s fine. I don’t have all the answers (and neither does anyone else). That’s just how I view the sport moving forward.
With that said, I’m not predicting Tennessee’s imminent rise or Georgia’s downfall. I also think success, at least for now, is defined differently for all three programs.
For the Vols, success is an 11-win season. Stacking those types of seasons on top of each other is something Tennessee has to do before they even think about getting to Alabama’s level or Georgia’s level.
But for Bama and UGA, success is a national championship.
I think and hope that CJH can expand his playbook over the years to keep the big boys from figuring out how to solve our offensive game plans. Georgia did a good job on us by sending the fleet after HH and disrupting our offense. It is obvious that we were the inferior team because we could not stop the GA. defense. I do think CJH has brought two things to the Vols football program that we have not had in the 21st century, ie:
player development and half-time adjustments.
 
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#18
#18
It does make me feel better that our HC is the actual OC. What’s going to be entertaining is when the NCAA goes to this 12 team basketball type playoff off and 6 to 8 teams are from the SEC 😆. The rest of the football world is going to lose their minds!!! And I love it! I just wish we could reduce the regular season games to 10.

6-8 playoff teams will not be from the SEC. Each conference will get their champion in. They will make sure 1-2 teams from G5 make it as well. Rest will be at large, so maybe 2-3 from SEC total.
 
#19
#19
I'm interested to see how this plays out from the standpoint of, let's say, fan satisfaction. On the one hand, the easier path to the playoffs is enticing (I think all the teams from when I was in school would have made the playoffs, and it's interesting to think what some of those late-blooming teams might have accomplished there). On the other hand, almost all those teams that in the past ended the season with a big bowl win (such as, for instance, the big win over Michigan after the '01 season) will now end the season with a disappointing loss (such as, for instance, we experienced against Nebraska after the '97 season). It'll be interesting to me to see how much the euphoria of earning a spot in the playoffs offsets the disappointment of ending most seasons with a loss.
Something to think about,
But how different is it from College Basketball? 64 teams, 63 end their season with a loss.
It will come down to the pride that comes with being a peer at the top level of CFB.
 
#20
#20
Heupel's Vols are still a work in progress.
When we see Milton succeed after Hendon, then I will declare us a perennial playoff team.
I truly believe we will, but I no longer put the cart before the horse after the 2010s.
I feel more excited about next season than any year since 2001.
Yes, obviously, it's a team game, but Milton being successful is critical to Nico and company taking over after. If Milton slides, Nico will get action probably before he should. But, if he's successful...and I'm not even talking beating UGA...I'm saying a 9-10 win season bridging over to Nico and holding our momentum, then he'll have done his job, and I think people can start to understand that the Hooker Vols weren't dependent on one key person.
 
#21
#21
Something to think about,
But how different is it from College Basketball? 64 teams, 63 end their season with a loss.
It will come down to the pride that comes with being a peer at the top level of CFB.

It's actually the college basketball experience I have in mind. A single bad game at the end of the season can sour, in many fans' minds, an entire season's worth of success.

However it turns out. I'm glad that we'll go into the expanded playoff era with a team capable of making it in.
 
#22
#22
That's a valid point.
Still hard to agree totally because of Kirby being a UGA alum, and the level he's recruiting and developing at is above where anyone else is right now. He's not going anywhere...

He and Josh are both in their 40s and have to play each other every year.
I can see us beginning to win the majority of the Bama and Florida games going forward.
But UGA? ....can't see it yet.
They're too good right now
You make some good points. I agree Kirby is recruiting better than Tennessee but I disagree that he's developing talent better, and that's were Josh gets him.
 
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#23
#23
6-8 playoff teams will not be from the SEC. Each conference will get their champion in. They will make sure 1-2 teams from G5 make it as well. Rest will be at large, so maybe 2-3 from SEC total.
I think it will play out roughly like the top 12 spots in the AP poll just prior to the bowl games in any given year.

Sometimes, we'll only have two teams in the playoffs; sometimes, as many as five or six. Look at the pre-bowl polls in 2015 and 2019 for examples of the extremes. Usually somewhere in between those two.

Go Vols!
 
#24
#24
You make some good points. I agree Kirby is recruiting better than Tennessee but I disagree that he's developing talent better, and that's were Josh gets him.
I don't know that he recruits "better", but the narrative that Kirby doesn't develop, like many of the other wishful thinking narratives about him not being able to coach or do this or that, isn't true. He is one of the best coaches in the game and will be a problem for years. Fortunately, it looks like they are going off the every year schedule soon and we will be better off for it.
 

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