I've watched Bama most of the year. They are nothing special. JPW has been worse than expected and the only real strength of the team is the receiving corp. The running game and defense are mid-level at best.
They have 2 wins over poor teams (Vandy and Western Carolina), 1 win over a mid-level team and that went to the wire at home (Ark) and 2 losses; one to a mid-level team FSU and one at home to a good team (UGA).
Saban may get them going in the future but this team is nothing special and the early predictions of 8-4 look pretty accurate. 7-5 is possible and 9-3 is possible.