Vols favored by 11.5

#1
M

mattvols

Ocho-Stinko
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Jul 8, 2005
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#1
The line according to Rivals is 11.5. Thats 1/2 a point more than we were favored over AF. Thats scary because thats some definite locker room material.
 
#9
#9
You guys will cover the spread on Saturday, easy. You're hitting on all cylinders, and Bama is fragile on offense.
 
#11
#11
This is truly one of those rivalries where you throw records out the window and go at it. That is why 11 1/2 scares me.
 
#12
#12
The line seems about right. However, I have no idea what 'Bama team will show up. The one that had Arkansas beat or the one who was losing to Duke at halftime.

We've got a little talent, just not enough to shoot ourselves in the foot (see UF game) and come out with the win. I think it will be a great Bama/Tennessee game as they always are. I'm picking your Vols by a TD. I have a feeling that the guys in orange will make a play in the 4th that we won't be able to answer.

Good luck on Saturday and Roll Tide Roll.
 
#16
#16
One of my reasons for placing a wager on UT -10.5.

People are quick to mention that the last 6 seasons, the avg. MOV for this game was like 4 points or something.

Those were terrible offensive years for us. I looked back at the 1995-1998 seasons, and in those seasons, which were the last 4 of Cutcliffe's first tenure, we won by an average of 17 points.

See, trends aren't fair on the surface. For instance, I remember a trend saying Kentucky hadn't covered in their SEC opener in X years. I looked at their last X openers, and I think all but 1 were against Florida.

Anyway, Tennessee at -10.5 is a blessing, even if UT wins by 4. Why? Because I'd bet that -10.5 everyday and twice on Sunday. Tennessee + HFA is better than Alabama, period. If they win Saturday, it's still a good bet. Why? Sample size.
 
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