What would the CFP Committee do?

[VolCalls]

This is simply based on how the next 3 weeks could play out, but the committee would have a heck of a time sorting through these teams for only four spots:

12-1 Alabama (SEC champs)
12-1 Oregon (Pac 12 champs)
12-1 Texas (Big 12 champs)
13-0 FSU (ACC champs)
13-0 Michigan (Big Ten champs)
12-1 Georgia
12-1 Washington (beat and lost to Oregon)
11-1 Ohio State

I know conference championship carries a lot of weight, but so does body of work, who you beat, and the human element of the eye test.

 

[THEONLYTENISEE]

They don’t want 2 SEC teams, that’s why they keep expanding the playoffs. I don’t think they won’t Washington, they don’t bring the revenue.

 

[CR-vol]

Looks like Georgia won't make the cut. Won't matter if they look deserving either because there's a lot of pent up anti-SEC bias out there. Can't say it would bother me if it happened either because I'll pulling for whoever plays against either one of them (GA & AL) from here on out.

 

[Boston Vol]

UGA, Washington, and Ohio State wouldn’t even be under consideration in that scenario. Resumes wouldn’t be strong enough to warrant a spot without having a conference title. Michigan and FSU would obviously be locks to make it. I think Alabama and Oregon would probably get the other two spots.

 

[SayUWantAreVOLution]

They don’t want 2 SEC teams, that’s why they keep expanding the playoffs. I don’t think they won’t Washington, they don’t bring the revenue.

Expanding the playoffs likely means more SEC "wild card" teams who could reach the finals, IMO.

Washington is a B1G school soon. That brings more eyeballs than they did in the PAC. And if WA replaces MI or tOSU the B1G faithful will tune in to see WTH makes WA better than the usual B1G CFP selection.

 

[Firebirdparts]

As always, you only need 2 spots. Georgia vs Michigan. The other two spots are just a cushion. “Deserving team” concept is stupid.

 

[jaybird_1981]

They would take FSU, Michigan, Alabama, and Texas in this scenario.

 

[AthensVol2007]

They would take FSU, Michigan, Alabama, and Texas in this scenario.

Oregon and Texas would be the debate IMO. TX has a road win at a Bama which is big but their loss will be to a 3 loss OU team (assuming that’s who they beat to win B12). Oregon will have a 3 point loss and win vs 1 loss, regular season champ UW.

 

[volfanhill]

This is simply based on how the next 3 weeks could play out, but the committee would have a heck of a time sorting through these teams for only four spots:

12-1 Alabama (SEC champs)
12-1 Oregon (Pac 12 champs)
12-1 Texas (Big 12 champs)
13-0 FSU (ACC champs)
13-0 Michigan (Big Ten champs)
12-1 Georgia
12-1 Washington (beat and lost to Oregon)
11-1 Ohio State

I know conference championship carries a lot of weight, but so does body of work, who you beat, and the human element of the eye test.

Michigan
FSU
Texas
Bama

 

[Volunteer_Kirby]

Throw in a 1-loss Lou as ACC Champs and you get some fun.

That would be:

Winner of UGA/Bama
Winner of Wash/Ore
Texas if B12 Champs
Winner of Mich/OSU

Lou gets the boot there over Texas but if UGA wins it may shift the ranking enough to bump Lou over Texas.

If FSU wins out then...

FSU in
Winner of UGA/Bama
Winner of Wash/Ore
Winner of Mich/OSU

Texas 1st team out but maybe Texas sneaks in over a 1-loss Ore. Seems unlikely but w/ a Bama win it could sway a few votes towards Texas.

 

[VolCalls]

Throw in a 1-loss Lou as ACC Champs and you get some fun.

That would be:

Winner of UGA/Bama
Winner of Wash/Ore
Texas if B12 Champs
Winner of Mich/OSU

Lou gets the boot there over Texas but if UGA wins it may shift the ranking enough to bump Lou over Texas.

If FSU wins out then...

FSU in
Winner of UGA/Bama
Winner of Wash/Ore
Winner of Mich/OSU

Texas 1st team out but maybe Texas sneaks in over a 1-loss Ore. Seems unlikely but w/ a Bama win it could sway a few votes towards Texas.

I can’t see Louisville cracking the CFP unless they are one of four teams left standing with one loss or fewer. Their best wins would be FSU and ND, and they have a bad loss to Pitt. Texas (if they win out) would have wins against Alabama, Kansas, & Kansas State, and would have avenged their loss vs Oklahoma in the B12 title game.