Will Tennessee beat Florida?

[SeniorDrill]

I think they will but what do I know? Let's christen those Smoky Grays the right way, Vols!
Here is an interesting scenario I found about the three times in a season theory!
Obviously, basketball games are different from coin tosses for several reasons. Syracuse is the better team, ranked 2nd in the nation while the Huskies are not in the top 25. Syracuse only lost one game all season, and that was when their center, Fab Melo, was sidelined. Fab will be with the team today and Syracuse is the better team. So the probability of a win is significantly greater than 50%.
That still makes a run of three victories less likely than just one. If Syracuse’s probability of success is 80% each time, the odds of winning three games is barely above 50% (0.512). But the odds of winning today are still 80% (not 0.51).
Another caveat is that win probabilities are not independent events. Teams learn from playing each other and can make adjustments. Syracuse and UConn know a lot about each other’s playing styles and strategies at this point. UConn can change strategy. But so can Syracuse. The edge would go to the team with a better coach, but Jim Boeheim and Jim Calhoun are both brilliant coaches. Boeheim is the 3rd winningest coach in NCAA division I history. Calhoun is the 6th. There’s no reason to think that Calhoun would do better with the information gleaned from previous meetings than Boeheim.
Whatcha think?

 

[Lavell2315]

Vols win by 3!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Gbo

 

[99gator]

it's real simple.

florida will double stokes as soon as the ball goes in the post. they will stick wilbekin on mcrae.

if tennessee is going to win, all guards not named mcrae need to show up and get it done.

 

[nunshalpass]

This subject always takes me back to 1979 when Tennessee beat Kentucky three times in one season and won the SEC Tournament Championship on the first year it was brought back into existence. Of course the bad part of that is... that was the last time we won the SEC tourney.

As our perimeter defense goes, so we will go. Florida can hit some threes and if we are not in their face they will make us pay. Offensively, if we are not able to knock down some threes we will become too one dimensional and UF will clog the middle. It will be important for Barton, Richardson, and McRae to be on from beyond the arc, but the feed needs to come inside out.

Tennessee in a close one.

 

[TCbodybuilder]

Florida will control the game and win by 8+.

 

[volger]

Mizzou hung with Fl till 10 minutes into the 2nd half, when Fl went nuts with 10 for 13 3 pt shooting. UT D is much better than MU's. If they play like they have the last 5 games I like UT's chances.

 

[Manvol]

Will we? Eh,
Can we ? Yes, need more offense than today.

 

[RibFeast]

Slowing down their 3 pt shooting will be crucial. Fewer shot opportunities equal fewer points. We need you Richardson! A few blocked shots by Armani would be crucial as well. Defense will win this game.

 

[Nerd-Vol]

I think high quality shots such as dunks will be important.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Barton, Richardson, Moore even Reese will be huge, need contributions from those guys. Florida will double Stokes, Wilbekin will give McRae fits, need the other guys to hit the open looks, because they'll get some.

 

[SCowlsVOL]

Really need Barton to show up again.

 

[vols 30]

Really need Barton to show up again.

This! Realistic chance depends on PG play tomorrow

 

[GOATeric14berry]

it's real simple.

florida will double stokes as soon as the ball goes in the post. they will stick wilbekin on mcrae.

if tennessee is going to win, all guards not named mcrae need to show up and get it done.

So Barton basically.we need him to be great
I hope he reads this. If so I hope u shoot the lights out and become a UT Legend

 

[SCowlsVOL]

This! Realistic chance depends on PG play tomorrow

.

 

[utvolkyle06]

A lot will depend on officiating if the UF is allowed to mug Stokes over and over it will be a long afternoon.

 

[terrypedigo]

Go down to wire last second drive by Barton we win 80 to 79, dancing in the streets till dawn by vol nation hang over effect no posting on vol nation till sunday afternoon.

 

[connor]

If we play them like we did Vandy and Missouri we could most definitely can put an end to their streak.

 

[VolsSportsFan]

The question isn't if, the question is how badly.

 

[99gator]

Barton, Richardson, Moore even Reese will be huge, need contributions from those guys. Florida will double Stokes, Wilbekin will give McRae fits, need the other guys to hit the open looks, because they'll get some.

You could have just quoted my post and wrote "this".

 

[zaqhhh]

Play well but lose by 7
Hope im wrong
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[7Iron]

Does the fact that Calhoun no longer coaches UConn change the odds of us beating Florida? If so we have a chance.

 

[Volman09]

Fab melo plays for the boston celtics. I hope we beat Florida though!

 

[Kvol87]

I think this team is understanding how far their defense is taking them right now. I hope so anyway. We should play loose. GBO.........

 

[YankeeVol]

I wouldn't bet on it, but it's possible

 

[patrick]

Noooooooo