2020 Presidential Race

#60,576
#60,576
tvolsfan said:
Does Trump have any realistic shot if he loses Arizona? Not that he's going to lose, but isn't it essentially a must win?
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LOL. Uh, not even close to a must win. To me, Biden must win PA, WI, and MI or substitute AZ for WI or MI if you like but I don’t think AZ will go blue which means he would need to hold every blue state from 2016 and win all of those from Trump to win. I’m assuming NC and FL stay red as well.
 
#60,579
#60,579
TrumpedUpVol said:
Yes, but the path forward highlights why Pennsylvania and Florida are the most important states. Trump winning Pennsylvania likely means that Michigan and Wisconsin will be close, and winning one of those two while losing Arizona still sees Trump as the winner of the election (winning PA while losing AZ/MI/WI means that Trump's ceiling is more along the lines of a 269 tie contingent on sweeping ME 2 and NE 2).

If Trump loses Florida, there's no realistic chance of him winning the election without getting all three of PA/WI/MI which is not something I'd want as my ace in the hole.
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If all else about 2016 is the same except AZ, WI, and MI flip it’ll be a tie. That would be nuts but would fit right into 2020 nicely.
 
#60,580
#60,580
Orangeburst said:
Trunalimunumaprzure sounds like an election medication with side effects:

download
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#60,588
#60,588
NorthDallas40 said:
You hate to see it, poor Dem turn out in Miami Dade. But with the big donation haul somehow Dem Miami Dade is underfunded? Is Hunter and Jim running the checkbook here with a side cut for The Big Guy?

Democrats turning out at lower rates than Republicans in Miami
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This is a horribly misleading headline from Fox News, which is all too typical of their bias. If you actually bother to read the article, you will see the following two passages right next to each other:

"In Miami-Dade, 152,964 registered Republicans cast early ballots, leading Democratic voters, 146,371 of whom turned out early to the polls, according to state data on Friday."

However, the passage right below that reads:

"Meanwhile, Democrats who mailed in their ballots in the county nearly doubled that of Republicans, 208,803 to 116,040."

If you add up the registered Republicans who cast early ballots in-person (152,964) along with those registered Republicans who mailed in their ballots (116,040), that gives you a total of (152,964 + 116,040 = 269,004). That means that 269,004 Registered Republicans have already voted.

If you add up the registered Democrats who cast early ballots in-person (146,371) along with those registered Democrats who mailed in their ballots (208,803), that gives you a total of (146,371 + 208,803 = 355,174). That means that 355,174 Registered Democrats have already voted.

Finally, that means that (355,174 - 269,004 = 86,170) 86,170 more Registered Democrats have already voted, than Registered Republicans in Miami-Dade County.

Fox News is trying to make it appear as though the early voting favors Trump in Miami-Dade County, but that isn't the case. More registered Republicans are voting in person in Miami-Dade but that isn't a surprise. In fact, it's typical of what we are seeing across the country. Democrats are trusting the mail, because their party nominee hasn't spent the last four months casting doubt on the legitimacy of mail-in voting.
 
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#60,590
#60,590
BowlBrother85 said:
This is a horribly misleading headline from Fox News, which is all too typical of their bias. If you actually bother to read the article, you will see the following two passages right next to each other:

"In Miami-Dade, 152,964 registered Republicans cast early ballots, leading Democratic voters, 146,371 of whom turned out early to the polls, according to state data on Friday."

However, the passage right below that reads:

"Meanwhile, Democrats who mailed in their ballots in the county nearly doubled that of Republicans, 208,803 to 116,040."

If you add up the registered Republicans who cast early ballots in-person (152,964) along with those registered Republicans who mailed in their ballots (116,040), that gives you a total of (152,964 + 116,040 = 269,004). That means that 269,004 Registered Republicans have already voted.

If you add up the registered Democrats who cast early ballots in-person (146,371) along with those registered Democrats who mailed in their ballots (208,803), that gives you a total of (146,371 + 208,803 = 355,174). That means that 355,174 Registered Democrats have already voted.

Finally, that means that (355,174 - 269,004 = 86,170) 86,170 more Registered Democrats have already voted, than Registered Republicans in Miami-Dade County.

Fox News is trying to make it appear as though the early voting favors Trump in Miami-Dade County, but that isn't the case. More registered Republicans are voting in person in Miami-Dade but that isn't a surprise. In fact, it's typical of what we are seeing across the country. Democrats are trusting the mail, because their party nominee hasn't spent the last four months casting doubt on the legitimacy of mail-in voting.
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AAAAAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

The point is you dolt in order to win Florida they need more than that. It’s a given Biden wins inner city Miami. But they need many more to carry Florida.
 
#60,592
#60,592
NorthDallas40 said:
AAAAAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

That is all.
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Great post. Your intellect is such that you probably didn't even realize that you just linked an article from Fox News which shows that registered Democrats in Miami-Dade County have cast 86,170 more ballots than registered Republicans in Miami-Dade County. You read the headline and were sucked in. Simpletons such as yourself are what Fox News counts on.
 
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#60,593
#60,593
BowlBrother85 said:
Great post. Your intellect is such that you probably didn't even realize that you just linked an article from Fox News which shows that registered Democrats in Miami-Dade County have cast 86,170 more ballots than registered Republicans. You read the headline and were sucked in. Simpletons such as yourself are what Fox News counts on.
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Go read the edit Albert I knew I had to spell it out for your dumb azz so I did.
 
#60,597
#60,597
BowlBrother85 said:
That is just early voting... I think having close to a 100,000 ballot edge is a pretty good sign of things to come. Either way, the headline from Fox News was misleading.
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LMFAO suck it Trebec. Election Day voting will lean GOP. Here is the 2016 results. If Hidin Biden doesn’t open up that gap he’s toast. Womp womp.

Jesus I really did have to spell it out for you and I’m the simpleton 😂

CBC2C46C-C307-4C5D-A274-858AD00EBE3F.png
 
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#60,599
#60,599
NorthDallas40 said:
LMFAO suck it Trebec. Election Day voting will lean GOP. Here is the 2016 results. If Hidin Biden doesn’t open up that gap he’s toast. Womp womp.

Jesus I really did have to spell it out for you and I’m the simpleton 😂

View attachment 319210
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That doesn't show anything about election day voting, and Biden isn't the one who has to win Florida... but I think he will anyway.
 
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