VolinWayne
Well-Known Member
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- Dec 5, 2012
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I believe it is very much a real thing, not Bigfoot.Is someone who is biased themselves, able to be an objective arbiter of bias from others?
... and you are alluding to this concept of the "shy Trump voter", for which there isn't any support - Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight posted a video critique of it on YouTube yesterday.
Per the average of all polls on Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight site (and I use them, because Silver is not a pollster himself, but he is a respected statistician who analyzes polls - and he uses a much larger sample size than Real Clear Politics):
Michigan
Joe Biden (D) ............. 51.4% (plus 8.7)
Donald Trump (R) .... 42.7%
Minnesota
Joe Biden (D) .............. 50.4% (plus 8.4)
Donald Trump (R) ..... 42.0%
Pennsylvania
Joe Biden (D) ............... 50.1% (plus 5.1)
Donald Trump (R) ...... 45.0%
Wisconsin
Joe Biden (D) ................ 51.9% (plus 8.6)
Donald Trump (R) ....... 43.3%
There is not a path to 270 electoral college votes for Donald Trump without winning at least one of these 4 states. Biden's lead has been consistently outside the 4.5% margin of error in these states, over the last month of the campaign, and unlike Hillary Clinton in 2016, Biden has been consistently polling over 50% for over a month now in these states.
I don't condone vandalism and property damage in Portland. I find it to be counterproductive and to hurtful to an otherwise valid cause. I can support the need for police reform without antisocial behaviors of some of its protestors. If you don't see anything wrong with what happened in Texas, then we likely won't see eye to eye because we lack a shared system of values.Just like you didn’t see any intimidation protests in Portland , Most of us didn’t see any intimidating tactics in Texas .. it was just some people that had an idea peacefully protesting . Perception is an odd word huh ?
I have no idea what you're talking about. What sucker punch?So you think a sucker punch doesn't deserve retribution? Don't start something that you can't finish or can't keep from being used against you. But your terrorist types aren't smart enough to think things through to a conclusion. I'll just go with an eye for an eye and fight fire with fire, and you can feel free to sort it all out. I'm sick and tired of watching non-leftists unwilling to fight back.
GOP takes over early voting lead in AZ...great chance it stays Red...and also if McSally can pull out the win to keep Senate with GOP majority View attachment 319723
GOP takes over early voting lead in AZ...great chance it stays Red...and also if McSally can pull out the win to keep Senate with GOP majority View attachment 319723
Did you read the tweet from "This Week"? It says...
"Just days ahead of November 3, the @FiveThirtyEight presidential election forecast has Joe Biden with a 90 in 100 chance of winning the electoral college."
That doesn't sound like much of a "hedge" to me.
I believe they show up in droves. Also, I believe if Trump wins PA, he could win MI as well. They have to be disgusted by Gretchen Whitmer.