We would have been 10-3 had our offense beem able to capitalize in key drives or just perhaps sustain a drive longer than 2 mins WITHOUT scoring then giving the ball back to the opposing team...Going with 8-4 until I see how the D is going to turn out. Same as last yr will stick with 8-4 as the ceiling. A better D 9-3.
Assuming you are counting MU, Vandy, and the 3 lesser OOC's as wins... then you believe UT goes 2-3 (or 3-2) vs UF, LSU, Pitt, USCe, and UK?7.6 wins
I chose 8-4, though I don't like these absolutist picks when it's probabilistic in reality.
8-4 most likely
Then 7-5 2nd most likely
9-3 next
And so on
Beat Saban but lose to Beamer? If that happens then some serious questions need to be asked about Heupels future here.
. Beamer is going into his second year at South CarolinaOnly 2 sure (most likely) losses for 2022 - Bama and Georgia
Four sure (most likely) wins - Ball State, Akron, TN-Martin, Vandy
Six toss ups (most likely) Pittsburgh, Florida, LSU, Kentucky, Missouri, South Carolina - I'm thinking 3-3 Unfortunately 4 of these are on the road
So 7-5 is my best guess now. Two very pivotal games early Pittsburgh and Florida - if we can get both of those could be a 9-3 or better year
Two most significant factors for seasons outcome are
1. What the new and relatively new coachs can do at Florida, LSU, and South Carolina.
2. Can our defense significantly improve.
If new the "new" coaches suck and our defense doesn't could easily get to 9-3 or even 10-2